Approximate inference for dynamic Bayesian networks: sliding window approach

Dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) are probabilistic graphical models that have become a ubiquitous tool for compactly describing statistical relationships among a group of stochastic processes. A suite of elaborately designed inference algorithms makes it possible for intelligent systems to use a DBN to make inferences in uncertain conditions. Unfortunately, exact inference or even approximation in a DBN has been proved to be NP-hard and is generally computationally prohibitive. In this paper, we investigate a sliding window framework for approximate inference in DBNs to reduce the computational burden. By introducing a sliding window that moves forward as time progresses, inference at any time is restricted to a quite narrow region of the network. The main contributions to the sliding window framework include an exploration of its foundations, explication of how it operates, and the proposal of two strategies for adaptive window size selection. To make this framework available as an inference engine, the interface algorithm widely used in exact inference is then integrated with the framework for approximate inference in DBNs. After analyzing its computational complexity, further empirical work is presented to demonstrate the validity of the proposed algorithms.     

Co-Mo-K催化剂上COS、HCN转化率的热力学分析

利用热力学基础数据和相关软件对Co-Mo-K催化剂上COS、HCN加氢和水解反应进行了热力学计算。在热力学上,COS、HCN加氢和水解反应在耐硫变换条件下均为自发过程。计算结果表明在Co-Mo-K耐硫变换条件下COS、HCN主要发生的是水解反应,该结果与工业经验数据基本一致,可以作为工业实际借鉴。     

Kinetics of epoxy resins formation from bisphenol-A,bisphenol-S,and epichlorohydrin

The kinetics of formation of epoxy resins derived from bisphenol-A, bisphenol-S, and epichlorohydrin under stoichiometric conditions was considered. The kinetics of reaction was studied by taking into account the consumption of the added alkali and epoxide value of epoxide oligomers. The obtained results satisfactorily explained that the reactivity of bisphenol-A with epichlorohydrin is higher than that of bisphenol-S, the rate of dehydrochlorination of chlorohydrin ether in the presence of alkali and water is much higher than that of the rate of condensation of phenolic hydroxyl group with epichlorohydrin. The apparent reaction order of phenolic groups with epichlorohydrin and terminal epoxide group in the oligomer are all second order. The rate constants and activation energy were determined. The results are discussed. © 1993 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

硅压阻式气压高度计的设计与实现

采用硅压阻式压力传感器,以ATmega88PA为控制器设计了气压高度计。内嵌全温度范围的曲面拟合算法进行温度补偿及线性化处理,解决了压力传感器的温漂和非线性问题,并用海拔高度与气压的关系计算高度。测量结果通过RS-485接口发送给上位机。测试结果表明,该气压高度计压力测量误差优于0.50‰,分辨率为0.01 h Pa,线性度为0.999 9;标准大气环境下高度测量误差为0.16 m,线性度为0.999 8。该气压高度计具有质量小、功耗低、精度高、工作可靠等优点。     

嵌入式二维码数据无线多点传输系统设计

设计了一种基于FreeRTOS嵌入式操作系统的二维条码无线传输系统,描述了系统的软硬件实现方法和多点数据传输的链路控制机制。系统主控芯片采用通用的MCU芯片STM32,结合二维码扫描引擎和蓝牙传输模组实现多个扫描终端与基座间的数据传输。     

Preparation and Photoluminescence of Partially Filled ZnO Microtubes Using Block Copolymers

Partially filled ZnO microtubes were synthesized in large scale using block copolymers. The growth mechanism of this unique construction is proposed on the basis of adsorption of block copolymers on {0002} plane of wurtzite ZnO. The photoluminescence property of these unique ZnO microtubes is also studied using a Xe lamp as the excitation source at room temperature. Blue emission band at 425 nm is a much stronger ultraviolet emission band, which is due to laminar structure of ZnO microtubes.     

累托石矿物提纯工艺探讨

以B03作分散剂,对湖北省钟祥县杨榨累托石粘土矿物进行了机械搅拌擦洗,使累托石矿物微粒较充分地分散解离,然后通过离心力场的作用,使累托石与水云母、叶腊石、绿泥石、石英等脉石矿物分离,累托石精矿纯度达90％左右,B03的使用为工业生产高纯累托石产品奠定了基础。     

基于引力搜索算法的分数阶变异时序回归GSA-TSGM(1,1)模型

为了利用分数阶累加算子在灰色短期预测中的高效性能,首次将分数阶累加算子引入变异时序回归模型以期取得更高的预测精度。主要方法如下：首先取湖北省链子崖某监测点1978—1987年的十年数据作为训练集并使用引力搜索算法确定最佳分数阶累加阶数,而1988—1993年的六年数据作为验证集验证提出的模型;其次对比了经典灰色模型GM(1,1)、分数阶累加灰色模型、变异时序回归模型TSGM(1,1)三种灰色模型。结果如下：首先修正了陈西江等人变异时序回归模型仿真时出现的错误,其次表明了相比于其他的模型,基于引力搜索算法的分数阶累加时序回归模型在进行灰色长期预测中具有较高的预测精度。因此,通过分数阶累加算子提高了灰色理论中长期预测模型的精度,为灰色长期预测提供了指导。     

国内外型焦生产工艺及发展前景

介绍了国内外型焦技术的生产工艺、型煤碳化的过程和影响因素,以及国内目前几种碳化窑炉,通过对型焦和焦炭的对比分析,指出洁净型焦生产技术的优势必然会使它在未来具有巨大的发展空间。