Prediction of Water Level using Monthly Lagged Data in Lake Urmia,Iran

Water Resources Management - Prediction of water level fluctuations in lakes is a necessary task in hydrological and limnological studies. Lake Urmia, a hyper-saline lake in the North Western part...     

Enzyme‐assisted aqueous extraction of safflower oil: optimisation by response surface methodology

Aqueous enzymatic oil extraction of safflower seeds was assisted by Alcalase 2.5L and Celluclast 1.5L. Enzyme type and amount, pH, time, temperature, churning rate, dilution ratios and particle size were varied to determine their influence on the oil amount. The amount of oil recovered was higher using seeds ground to a particle size of <0.6 mm. Response surface methodology was employed for the optimisation of aqueous enzymatic oil extraction conducted with Celluclast 1.5L. When the extraction was assisted by Celluclast 1.5L, the maximum oil amount and yield were 33.3 (% w/w) and 79.7 (% w/w), respectively. The optimum conditions were 48.3 °C; 0.25 mL enzyme g^?1 substance; pH, 4.84; resulting oil amount and yield were 28.2 (% w/w) 65 (% w/w), respectively. The predicted critical values were experimentally verified, and an oil amount of 27.1 (% w/w) was achieved. The enzyme treatment did not have any determining effect on the physicochemical properties of extracted oil.     

Field and laboratory performance comparison for asphalt mixtures with different moisture conditioning systems

The purpose of this study is to compare laboratory and field performances for dense graded asphalt mixtures. Control road pavement section was constructed in Black Sea Coast Highway. Marshall identical control samples produced in laboratory and core samples taken from wearing courses before the traffic opened were used. Three different moisture conditioning methods were applied to control laboratory and core samples. Mechanical properties of samples were evaluated with indirect tension, indirect tension strength and repeated creep tests. Indirect tensile strength test results for laboratory mixtures were found 1.22 and 1.30 times more in accordance with field samples at 10 °C and 20 °C respectively. Marshall samples gave higher resilient modulus for all control and conditioned mixtures. Repeated creep test results also proved the difference between laboratory and field sample performance. Laboratory samples protected their structural integrity along with the test duration and did not showed tertiary creep. It is concluded from this study that laboratory samples state expressly higher performance according to the core field samples.     

Fracture of the ossified Achilles tendon

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the relation between induced abortion and risk of subsequent miscarriage. DESIGN: Case-control study conducted between February 1990 and May 1995. PARTICIPANTS: Case group included 782 women (median age 32 years, range 14-46) admitted for spontaneous abortion (within the 12th week of gestation) to a network of obstetric departments in the greater Milan area. The control group was recruited among women who gave birth at term (> 37 weeks of gestation) to healthy infants on randomly selected days at the hospitals where cases had been identified. A total of 1543 controls (median age 30 years, range 14-45) were interviewed. RESULTS: A total of 102 cases (13%) and 181 controls (12%) reported one or more induced abortions. No clear relation emerged between miscarriage and induced abortions. In comparison with women reporting no induced abortion the odds ratio (OR) for miscarriage were 1.1 (95% CI 0.8-1.4) in women reporting one induced abortion and 0.9 (95% CI 0.4-1.8) in women reporting two or more. Likewise, there was no association between time since last and age at first induced abortion and risk of miscarriage. CONCLUSIONS: This study did not find any strong association between induced and spontaneous abortion.     

Doppler velocimetry of the uterine arteries after hysteroscopic rollerball endometrial ablation

The aim of this study was to document the Doppler indices [pulsatility index (PI) and resistance index (RI)] of the uterine arteries in 30 patients who underwent hysteroscopic rollerball endometrial ablation for dysfunctional uterine bleeding by transvaginal pulsed Doppler sonography, and to reveal whether treatment failures (persistent menometrorrhagia) can be predicted by the blood flow characteristics of the uterine arteries in advance. On the basis of the outcome of patients at the end of the first postoperative year, the Doppler indices of the uterine arteries were meaningful 1 year after the operation when PI (1.32 +/- 0.11; mean +/- SD) and RI (0.71 +/- 0.04) in six menometrorrhagic patients were statistically different from PI (2.19 +/- 0.28; 1.95 +/- 0.36 and 1.82 +/- 0.37) and RI (0.87 +/- 0.06; 0.82 +/- 0.06 and 0.81 +/- 0.04) in normally menstruating, amenorrhoeic and hypomenorrhoeic patients respectively (P < 0.05). On the other hand, the patients who would be menometrorrhagic one year after the operation had a thicker endometrium in the first post-operative month. These findings suggest that the angiogenetic role of the persistent endometrial islands after endometrial ablation needs at some time to be reflected as changes in the Doppler parameters of the uterine arteries.     

Prediction of building energy needs in early stage of design by using ANFIS

Studies performed on the prediction of building energy consumption are increasingly important for selecting the best control strategies against the excessive energy consumptions. This paper presents Adaptive Network Based Inference System (ANFIS) model to forecast building energy consumption in a cold region. The objective of this paper is to examine the feasibility and applicability of ANFIS in building energy load forecasting area. Different combinations of building samples formed by using three different form factors (FF 1/2, FF 1/1 and FF 2/1), nine azimuth angles varied 0^o–80^o, three transparency ratios of 15%, 20%, 25% and five insulation thicknesses of 0, 2.5, 5, 10 and 15 cm. Finally, it is observed that ANFIS can be a strong tool with the 96.5 and 83.8% for heating and cooling energy prediction in pre-design stage of energy efficient buildings for choosing the best combinations.     

Near optimal buffer allocation in remanufacturing systems with N-policy

We introduce a near optimal buffer allocation plan (NOBAP) specifically developed for a cellular remanufacturing system with finite buffers where the servers follow N-policy. The term N-policy is used for the situation where the server leaves primary work to tend to an external workload assigned to him (such as processing additional tasks or performing preventive maintenance of equipments) every time the server becomes idle and does not return back to his primary work until the queue size in front of the primary work reaches a threshold value of N (?1). The remanufacturing system considered here consists of three modules, viz., the disassembly module for returned products, the testing module and the remanufacturing module. In order to analyze the system we propose an algorithm that uses an open queueing network, decomposition principle and expansion methodology. The buffer allocation algorithm distributes a given number of available buffer slots among the remanufacturing system stations to optimize the system’s performance. The algorithm has been rigorously tested using a variety of experimental conditions. From the results, it is clear that the algorithm’s performance is robust, consistent and produces excellent results.     

Production of structured lipids containing conjugated linolenic acid: optimisation by response surface methodology

Structured lipids containing conjugated linolenic acid (CLNA) were produced separately by enzymatic acidolysis reaction of corn and canola oils (CAO) with bitter gourd (Momordica charantia L) seed oil fatty acids [bitter gourd seed oil fatty acids (BGFA)]. Reactions were conducted using a commercial immobilised sn‐1,3‐specific lipase from Thermomyces lanuginosa (Lipozyme TL IM) in hexane. The effects of reaction time, substrate molar ratio, temperature and enzyme amount on incorporation yield of CLNA were investigated and optimised by response surface methodology with three‐level, two‐factor face‐centred cube design. When reactions were conducted using 10% enzyme for 3 h, the optimum reaction conditions were found for corn oil (CO) as 53.5 °C and 5.9:1 BGFA/CO molar ratio. At these conditions, the incorporation of CLNA into CO was determined as 41.4%. However, CLNA incorporation into CAO was resulted as 37% at optimum conditions which were 54.2 °C and 6.8:1 BGFA/CAO molar ratio.