Multicast-based inference of network-internal delay distributions

Packet delay greatly influences the overall performance of network applications. It is therefore important to identify causes and locations of delay performance degradation within a network. Existing techniques, largely based on end-to-end delay measurements of unicast traffic, are well suited to monitor and characterize the behavior of particular end-to-end paths. Within these approaches, however, it is not clear how to apportion the variable component of end-to-end delay as queueing delay at each link along a path. Moreover, there are issues of scalability for large networks. In this paper, we show how end-to-end measurements of multicast traffic can be used to infer the packet delay distribution and utilization on each link of a logical multicast tree. The idea, recently introduced in Caceres et al. (1999), is to exploit the inherent correlation between multicast observations to infer performance of paths between branch points in a tree spanning a multicast source and its receivers. The method does not depend on cooperation from intervening network elements; because of the bandwidth efficiency of multicast traffic, it is suitable for large-scale measurements of both end-to-end and internal network dynamics. We establish desirable statistical properties of the estimator, namely consistency and asymptotic normality. We evaluate the estimator through simulation and observe that it is robust with respect to moderate violations of the underlying model.     

The effect of subclinical ketosis in early lactation on reproductive performance of postpartum dairy cows

Data generated from 796 Holstein cows enrolled in a clinical trial to investigate the health effect of a monensin controlled release capsule were analyzed to investigate the association between circulating serum β-hydroxybutyrate (BHBA) concentration in the peri-parturient period and subsequent reproductive performance. Overall, accounting for both repeated measures within cow and clustering at the herd level, non-pregnant cows after first insemination tended to have increased circulating BHBA concentrations from 3 wk before calving to 9 wk after calving relative to pregnant cows. Including the interaction between the week of sample collection and pregnancy outcome, non-pregnant cows had higher circulating BHBA concentrations in the second week after calving than cows diagnosed pregnant after first artificial insemination. Within individual weeks, cows with circulating BHBA concentrations ≥1,000 μmol/L in the first week postpartum were less likely to be diagnosed pregnant after first insemination. In the second week postpartum, the cows with circulating BHBA concentrations ≥1,400 μmol/L were significantly less likely to be pregnant after first artificial insemination. A dose response relationship was found when a comparison of the probability of pregnancy after first insemination and duration of elevated circulating ketone bodies was investigated. The probability of pregnancy was reduced by 20% in cows diagnosed subclinically ketotic in either the first or second week postpartum. Nevertheless, cows above the subclinical ketosis threshold in both the first and second week postpartum were 50% less likely to be pregnant after first insemination. Similarly, the median time to pregnancy increased in cows experiencing elevated BHBA concentrations in either (124 d) or both (130 d) the first and second week postpartum relative to cows never experiencing elevated BHBA concentrations (108 d). To further investigate this, the effect of elevated circulating BHBA was permitted to vary with time. The effect decreased with time, such that the daily probability of pregnancy increased similar to nonsubclinically ketotic cows by approximately 160 d in milk. From this analysis, both the relative circulating concentration of BHBA and the duration of elevated circulating BHBA were negatively associated with the probability of pregnancy at first service.     

Novel attributes of an androgenic steroid-mediated increase in cardiac end diastolic stiffness in rats

The expression of ras was investigated by using immunohistochemistry in 245 primary colorectal adenocarcinomas and 49 corresponding metastases in the lymph nodes. One hundred and forty-four (59%) of the primary tumours presented as ras positive and 37 (76%) were positive in metastases. The ras expression was positively related to cell proliferation (p=0.01) and significantly increased in tumours with aneuploidy (68%) compared to tumours with diploidy (51%) and tetraploidy (53%, p=0.01). The frequency of ras expression was increased from Dukes' stage A to stages B-D (41% vs 62%, p=0.01). ras expression was compared in 40 paired primary tumours and their corresponding metastases, and the difference in expression did not reach statistical significance (73% vs 83%, p=0.32). In survival analyses, ras overexpression predicted a poor prognosis independent of Dukes' stage, DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction (p=0.049). We did not find any significant relationship between ras expression and patients' sex, age, tumour location, growth pattern, differentiation, p53 expression or heat shock protein. The results indicate that the alteration of ras expression may be involved in the instability of DNA and cellular overproliferation, but not in the progression to advanced stage and the development of metastases. The expression of ras was an important biological marker for evaluating the prognosis in patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma.     

Longitudinal element size effect on load sharing, internal loads, and fatigue life of tri-level spinal implant constructs

The effects of implant stiffness on load sharing and stress shielding, of vertebral column load sharing on implant fatigue life, and of instrumenting two versus one level adjacent to a comminuted segment on implant internal loads were studied. Finite element models of six screw constructs with 4.76 mm rod; 6.35 mm rod, and VSP plate tri-level instrumentation of two motion segments (healthy vertebra case and comminuted) and an adjacent healthy motion segment with dimensions representative of the human lumbar spine were used. Also a simplified model was developed to predict the percent of axial load passing through the column, which is a function of ki/kv the ratio of implant axial stiffness to instrumented vertebral column axial stiffness. For constructs with dimensions typical of the human lumbar spine, 77 to 80% of the axial load was predicted to pass through one or two healthy motion segments when instrumented with either 6.35 mm rod or VSP plates, compared to 90% when instrumented with 4.76 mm rods. When instrumenting smaller motion segments (in dogs) for comparison, 60% of the axial load was predicted to pass through the column for 4.76 mm rod and 33% for 6.35 mm rod constructs due to increased implant stiffness ki as a result of decreased AP and longitudinal construct dimensions, and lower canine motion segment stiffness kv.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Risk factors for postpartum uterine diseases in dairy cows

The objective of this observational study was to investigate the risk factors for metritis, purulent vaginal discharge, and cytological endometritis. The hypothesis was that purulent vaginal discharge and cytological endometritis would have different risk factors because they represent distinct manifestations of uterine disease. Data generated from 1,363 Holstein cows (3 herds) enrolled in a randomized clinical trial were used. Calving history, periparturient disease incidence, and body condition score at calving and at 63 d in milk (DIM) were recorded. Serum nonesterified fatty acid concentration was measured once during the week before expected calving. Serum nonesterified fatty acid, β-hydroxybutyric acid, and haptoglobin (Hapto) concentrations were measured at 4 ± 3, 11 ± 3, and 18 ± 3 DIM. Serum progesterone concentration was measured at 21 ± 3, 35 ± 3, 49 ± 3, and 63 ± 3 DIM. Metritis was diagnosed by farm managers within the first 20 DIM using a standardized definition. Cows were examined at 35 ± 3 DIM by a veterinarian for purulent vaginal discharge (mucopurulent or worse vaginal discharge; Metricheck device) and cytological endometritis (≥ 6% polymorphonuclear cells on endometrial cytology; cytobrush device). Statistical analyses were performed using multivariable logistic regression models for each disease, accounting for the random effect of herd. Risk factors for metritis included increased nonesterified fatty acid prepartum (≥ 0.6 mmol/L), dystocia, retained placenta, and increased Hapto in the first week postpartum (≥ 0.8 g/L). Risk factors for purulent vaginal discharge included twinning, dystocia, metritis, and increased Hapto (≥ 0.8 g/L) in the first week postpartum. Risk factors for cytological endometritis included low body condition score at parturition (≤ 2.75), hyperketonemia (≥ 1,100 μmol/L), and increased Hapto (≥ 0.8 g/L) in the first week postpartum. These results support the hypothesis that some of the risk factors for purulent vaginal discharge and cytological endometritis are different, which supports that they are distinct manifestations of uterine disease.     

Effect of health status upon arrival at a single milk-fed veal facility on breakeven purchase price of calves

Male calves are purchased from the dairy industry in North America to produce red meat. The price paid for male calves varies widely, and it is unclear which variables influence the price paid for each calf. The objective of this study was to assess how the health traits of calves at the time of arrival and demographic variables affect the breakeven purchase price of a male calf entering the veal industry. A financial model was constructed using the prevalence of health abnormalities, weight at arrival, source of the calf, number of days in the barn, base carcass price, days to mortality, feed costs, season at arrival, interest rate, housing location, carcass dressing percentage, and costs associated with housing, labor, utilities, trucking, and health to calculate the breakeven purchase price and an estimate of profit. Sensitivity analysis was conducted using health variables measured at arrival and demographic variables, including season at arrival and housing location, to identify the factors with the largest impact on the predicted average daily gain, early and late mortality risk, breakeven purchase price, and profit. At the baseline inputs, the average calculated profit was ?$5.36 per calf and it was most sensitive to the location of housing where calves were fed and the body weight of the arriving calf. The mortality risk in the first 21 d after arrival (early) was calculated to be 2.2%, whereas the risk of mortality after 21 d (late) was 3.7%. The risks of early and late mortality were most sensitive to the level of dehydration measured at arrival and the season at arrival for the purchased calves, respectively. The calculated average daily gain was 1.12 kg/d and it was most sensitive to housing location. The breakeven purchase price was calculated to be $242.49 per calf, which was most sensitive to the housing location where the calves were fed. The results of this analysis demonstrate that veal producers need to consider many variables before purchasing calves. In addition to overall market conditions, veal producers should factor health characteristics and the expected performance of the calves they purchase into what they are willing to pay for them.     

Validation of an automated cell counter to determine leukocyte differential counts in neonatal Holstein calves

Recent advances in the understanding of risk factors and biomarkers in calves entering rearing facilities show promise for identifying high-risk calves on arrival at veal and dairy beef operations. Rapid automated leukocyte differential cell counts may be a good addition for augmenting or refining calf risk identification on-farm. The objective of this study was to validate an automated leukocyte cell counter, the QScout BLD test (Advanced Animal Diagnostics, Morrisville, NC), for its ability to determine leukocyte differential cell counts in neonatal Holstein calves. From June to July 2018, blood samples collected in EDTA anticoagulant from 235 calves upon arrival at an independent veal research facility in Ontario, Canada, were evaluated using the QScout BLD test and manually by microscopy. We compared these leukocyte differential counts using Lin's concordance correlation coefficient (ρ) and found very good agreement between tests for neutrophil counts (ρ = 0.83); fair agreement for lymphocyte counts (ρ = 0.32); fair agreement for the ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes (ρ = 0.36); slight agreement for monocyte counts (ρ = 0.14); and slight agreement for eosinophil counts (ρ = 0.20). We further examined test results to determine if they differed in their classification of samples as being above, within, or below reported 95% reference intervals for neonatal Holstein calves. Classification between tests resulted in very good agreement for neutrophils and lymphocytes, with only 4.2% and 5.8% disagreement in classification, respectively. We observed moderate agreement for monocytes, with 23.3% classified differently, and poor agreement for eosinophils, with 70.3% classified differently. Further study is required to determine the role of leukocyte profiling in the risk assessment of calves arriving at calf-rearing facilities.     

Short communication: Validation of a test-day milk test for β-hydroxybutyrate for identifying cows with hyperketonemia

Subclinical ketosis is a common metabolic disorder affecting dairy cattle that results in a greater risk for the development of subsequent metabolic and infectious disease. Canwest Dairy Herd Improvement (DHI; Guelph, ON, Canada) has begun to use an infrared test (MilkoScan FT600, Foss Analytical A/S, Hillerød, Denmark) applied to metered composite milk samples to detect β-hydroxybutyrate (BHB) levels as a herd surveillance test for hyperketonemia. However, the test has not been compared with the gold standard, serum BHB as determined in a reference diagnostic laboratory. The objective of this cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study was to validate the DHI milk BHB test to identify cows with hyperketonemia as determined by quantification of BHB in serum. A total of 316 cows from 17 dairy herds in southwestern Ontario had a milk and blood sample taken. Milk was collected at a routine DHI test, and blood from the same cow was sampled within 24 h of the milk test. The BHB concentration in milk was determined using the DHI milk BHB test, and serum was sent to the Animal Health Laboratory at the University of Guelph (Guelph, ON, Canada). A nonparametric receiver operating characteristic curve was generated to compare DHI milk BHB concentrations with serum BHB concentrations. Overall, a total of 34 cows (11%) had a level of serum BHB ≥1.2 mmol/L. The concentration of DHI milk BHB was moderately correlated with the concentration of serum BHB, yielding a coefficient of determination value of 0.61. The optimal cut point for determining hyperketonemia (≥1.2 mmol/L) on the DHI milk BHB test was ≥0.14 mmol/L, yielding a sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 92%. The performance of the DHI milk BHB test varied depending on the days in milk (DIM) of the cows tested, with a higher specificity being found in cows that were ≤25 DIM compared with cows tested >25 DIM. If the herd-level prevalence of hyperketonemia was ≥14%, the DHI milk BHB test had an improved sensitivity when compared with a herd-level prevalence of <14%. This study demonstrates that the DHI milk BHB test is a reliable measure for evaluating hyperketonemia using routine DHI milk samples and could be used as a herd-level monitoring tool for ketosis when evaluating nutritional management or preventative medicine strategies.     

A preliminary study investigating effects of oral monensin sodium in an enteric Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis infection model of calves

Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis (MAP) is the causative agent of Johne's disease, an enteric infection of ruminants that causes significant economic burden for dairy and beef producers. Efforts to control MAP in endemic herds typically focus on herd management practices such as limiting exposure or early culling of infected animals and, occasionally, vaccination. The ionophore monensin sodium may have protective effects against MAP both in vivo and in vitro; however, this has not been thoroughly evaluated experimentally. Using a direct intestinal MAP challenge model, we have observed similarities regarding persistence of MAP in tissues and apparent resilience to infection compared with experimental oral infection or natural disease. Here we sought to investigate the effects of oral monensin supplementation in experimentally MAP-infected calves. We examined the persistence of MAP in the intestinal tissues, MAP-induced intestinal inflammation, fecal MAP shedding, and seroconversion using a commercial serologic assay. Monensin-supplemented MAP-infected calves demonstrated evidence for resilience to MAP infection earlier in this study compared with monensin-free MAP-infected calves. However, statistical modeling did not identify a significant effect of monensin on outcomes of infection, and more work is required to understand how monensin affects early tissue colonization of MAP in calves.     

Short communication: The effect of calcium supplementation at calving on neutrophil function

Low total blood calcium concentration after calving has been demonstrated to be a risk factor for reduced neutrophil function. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether administration of an injectable calcium supplement product soon after calving increased neutrophil oxidative burst or phagocytosis capacity. Cows (n = 27) from 4 farms were blocked by parity and randomly assigned to receive either calcium gluconate (35% wt/vol) in combination with calcium glucoheptonate (10% wt/vol; Theracalcium, Vétoquinol Canada Inc., Lavaltrie, Quebec, Canada) or a placebo within 12 h after calving and again 24 h later. Each dose of 120 mL was injected subcutaneously over 2 sites. Total serum calcium concentration, neutrophil oxidative burst, and neutrophil phagocytosis capacity were measured from coccygeal blood samples before (time 0) and 72 h after first treatment. There was no difference between treatment groups in lactation number, total calcium concentration, oxidative burst, or phagocytosis at time of enrollment. There was no effect of treatment on oxidative burst or phagocytosis by neutrophils. This preliminary study does not support an effect of supplemental calcium to improve neutrophil oxidative burst or phagocytosis capacity of low-parity parturient cows.