Inference for pth‐order random coefficient integer‐valued autoregressive processes

Abstract. A pth‐order random coefficient integer‐valued autoregressive [RCINAR(p)] model is proposed for count data. Stationarity and ergodicity properties are established. Maximum likelihood, conditional least squares, modified quasi‐likelihood and generalized method of moments are used to estimate the model parameters. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are derived. Simulation results on the comparison of the estimators are reported. The models are applied to two real data sets.     

注入剖面五参数组合测井仪的改进

文章介绍了注入剖面五参数组合测井仪及对该仪器的改进与完善，特别是对流量计的结构进行了改进。流量计下端采用水阻尼和机械弹簧两种保护措施，有效地保护了涡轮；过芯加重改成通用加重下挂到涡轮流量计上，有效地减少了涡轮粘污，提高了组合测井仪的测井成功率。改进后测井成功率从60％提高到90％。同时。对数据处理与传输电路也进行了改进，新开发研制了PPM码数据传输体系，使组合仪耐温指标提高到175℃。     

Nonlinear Thermal Analysis for Qing-Tibet Railway Embankments in Cold Regions

Heat convection in ballast mass in railway embankments is a problem of heat convection in porous media. In order to calculate the temperature distribution of the Qing-Tibet railway embankment from the governing equations used to study forced convection for incompressible fluids porous media, detailed finite-element formulas for heat convection in porous media are derived using Galerkin’s method. The temperature distributions on central lines of the traditional railway embankment, the ripped-rock embankment, and the ripped-rock revetment embankment that were constructed on July 15, 2002 have been analyzed and compared on July 15, October 15 in the 24th year after construction, and January 15 in the 25th year after construction under the climatic and geological conditions on the Qing-Tibet Railway. The calculated results indicate that the traditional railway embankment will raise the permafrost temperature under the embankment base and make the permafrost embankment thermally unstable. The ripped-rock embankment and the ripped-rock revetment embankment will reduce the permafrost temperature under the embankment base in cold regions, therefore maintaining the thermal stability of permafrost. However, the ripped-rock embankment needs more rock mass while the ripped-rock revetment embankment need less rock mass, and its construction cost is lower than that of the former. Therefore, it is highly recommended that the ripped-rock revetment embankment be used for the Qing-Tibet railway embankment structure in high temperature permafrost regions so that the permafrost embankment can be protected as much as possible.     

气体传感器的集成化研究状况

集成技术在未来传感器的发展中起重要作用。综述了与集成工艺兼容的气体传感器的研究状况,包括半导体场效应型、晶体管型、薄膜型、微量热计型和声表面波(SAW)型气体传感器。     

激光对望远系统损伤的研究

本文对激光光束通过望远系统后光束的变化进行了分析，并对６倍望远镜进行了激光损伤和破坏的实验研究，实验结果表明，激光对望远系统的损伤破坏主要是热效应所致，损伤破坏的情况与激光的能量，波长，脉冲宽度和望远系统的结构有关。     

技术杠杆系数的研究——技术进步对企业息税前收益的影响

提出了技术杠杆的概念,并就技术成本杠杆和技术价格杠杆对企业息税前收益变化的影响程度进行了探讨,经理论计算说明了通过技术进步不但可以提高企业的息税前收益,而且当企业的经济效益越差时,技术进步使产品的变动成本降低或使产品的单位售价提高而带来的企业息税前收益提高的速度越快。     

添加尖晶石对氧化锌压敏电阻性能的影响

通过添加尖晶石（Ｚｎ７Ｓｂ２Ｏ（１２））改性研制出电位梯度为１００Ｖ／ｍｍ左右，压敏电压在８２～１５０Ｖ，通流容量可达１６００Ａ／ｃｍ２，漏电流＜２μＡ系列压敏电阻器，从而满足了国内电话交换机行业对８２Ｖ、１００Ｖ、１２０Ｖ、１５０Ｖ压敏电阻器的电性能要求。从工艺的角度解释了尖晶石对氧化锌瓷晶粒的作用原理，并分析了尖晶石的微观结构及粒度对瓷片电性能的影响。     

高精度合成地震记录制作技术研究

制作高精度的合成地震记录是精细储层描述的基础，本文在分析合成地震记录原理的基础上，从地震剖面的极性判断、平均速度的选取，反射系数的准确提取，子波的精确估算等方面对制作合成记录的要点进行了分析，通过提高以上四方面的精度，提高了制作合成地震记录的精度，并提出了一套可行的合成地震记录的检查方法。