A bottom-up assessment and review of global bio-energy potentials to 2050

In this article, a model for estimating bioenergy production potentials in 2050, called the Quickscan model, is presented. In addition, a review of existing studies is carried out, using results from the Quickscan model as a starting point. The Quickscan model uses a bottom-up approach and its development is based on an evaluation of data and studies on relevant factors such as population growth, per capita food consumption and the efficiency of food production. Three types of biomass energy sources are included: dedicated bioenergy crops, agricultural and forestry residues and waste, and forest growth. The bioenergy potential in a region is limited by various factors, such as the demand for food, industrial roundwood, traditional woodfuel, and the need to maintain existing forests for the protection of biodiversity. Special attention is given to the technical potential to reduce the area of land needed for food production by increasing the efficiency of food production. Thus, only the surplus area of agricultural land is included as a source for bioenergy crop production. A reference scenario was composed to analyze the demand for food. Four levels of advancement of agricultural technology in the year 2050 were assumed that vary with respect to the efficiency of food production. Results indicated that the application of very efficient agricultural systems combined with the geographic optimization of land use patterns could reduce the area of land needed to cover the global food demand in 2050 by as much as 72% of the present area. A key factor was the area of land suitable for crop production, but that is presently used for permanent grazing. Another key factor is the efficiency of the production of animal products. The bioenergy potential on surplus agricultural land (i.e. land not needed for the production of food and feed) equaled 215–1272 EJ yr⁻¹, depending on the level of advancement of agricultural technology. The bulk of this potential is found in South America and Caribbean (47–221 EJ yr⁻¹), sub-Saharan Africa (31–317 EJ yr⁻¹) and the C.I.S. and Baltic States (45–199 EJ yr⁻¹). Also Oceania and North America had considerable potentials: 20–174 and 38–102 EJ yr⁻¹, respectively. However, realization of these (technical) potentials requires significant increases in the efficiency of food production, whereby the most robust potential is found in the C.I.S. and Baltic States and East Europe. Existing scenario studies indicated that such increases in productivity may be unrealistically high, although these studies generally excluded the impact of large scale bioenergy crop production. The global potential of bioenergy production from agricultural and forestry residues and wastes was calculated to be 76–96 EJ yr⁻¹ in the year 2050. The potential of bioenergy production from surplus forest growth (forest growth not required for the production of industrial roundwood and traditional woodfuel) was calculated to be 74 EJ yr⁻¹ in the year 2050.     

Insights into the formation of microporous materials by in situ X-ray scattering techniques

Here we demonstrate the power of in situ scattering techniques in the understanding of formation of nanoporous aluminosilicate and aluminophosphate materials. We utilised a number of X-ray techniques, in particular, in situ energy dispersive X-ray diffraction (EDXRD) and small angle and wide angle X-ray scattering (SAXS/WAXS) techniques for this purpose. The in situ SAXS measurements show the formation of homogeneous precursors in the size of ca. 10 nm, prior to the crystallization of LTA. The crystal size is estimated by fitting the SAXS patterns with an equation for a cubic particle, and it is revealed that the final crystal size of the LTA depends on the synthesis temperature. Whereas, the crystallisation of CoAlPO-5, occurs through the formation of poly-dispersed particles with an average size of the precursor particle of ca. 50 nm. Also shown the effect of temperature and structure directing organic cations on the production of CoAlPO-5 materials.     

In the eye of the beholder: Perceived, actual, and peer-rated similarity in personality, communication, and friendship intensity during the acquaintanceship process.

The authors examined associations of perceived similarity, actual similarity, and peer-rated similarity in personality with friendship intensity during the acquaintanceship process in a naturalistic setting. Self- and peer-rated personality data were gathered from undergraduates (mean age = 18.9) at 5 time points during the first year of university using a round-robin design. Whereas perceived similarity and peer-rated similarity in personality were concurrently associated with more friendship intensity for just-acquainted individuals, actual similarity in personality was not. Further, bidirectional cross-lagged associations between perceived similarity and friendship intensity were found. Peer-rated similarity was also associated with increases in friendship intensity, and this association was mediated by communication frequency. These results indicate that specific types of similarity in personality are differentially associated with friendship intensity during early phases of acquaintanceship in a real-life setting. Further, insight was provided in the direction of causality between similarity and attraction: Perceived and peer-rated similarity seem to breed friendship intensity, whereas friendship intensity seems to breed perceived similarity only. Finally, peers’ expectations seem to affect individuals’ communicative behaviors, which in turn affect friendship formation. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

A longitudinal study of children’s performance on simple multiplication and division problems.

The authors investigated the performance on simple multiplication and division problems of 8-year-old children longitudinally to determine the developmental trajectories of both operations. Twice a year, during 2 consecutive school years, children performed a multiplication and division verification task and a number-matching task. All effects that were observed in multiplication performance (problem size, 5, and tie effect and Tie × Size interaction) were also observed in division performance. The developmental trajectories of these effects are described. The authors observed strong developmental parallels between both operations. These results are in line with strongly interconnected memory networks for multiplication and division facts, at least in young children. The results of the number-matching task showed that the interference effect developed differently for multiplication and division, indicating that automatic activation spreading from division operands to division answers is not at work in children of that age. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Reduced autobiographical memory specificity and rumination in predicting the course of depression.

Reduced autobiographical memory (AM) specificity is a known vulnerability factor for depression. AM specificity was investigated as a predictor of depression with the Autobiographical Memory Test (J. M. G. Williams & K. Broadbent, 1986). When baseline depression scores were partialed, reduced AM specificity to negative cue words predicted higher levels of depression at 7-month follow-up. Once rumination was taken into account by means of the Rumination on Sadness Scale (M. Conway, P. A. R. Csank, S. L. Holm, & C. K. Blake, 2000), AM specificity no longer predicted depression, suggesting that the predictive value of AM specificity observed in previous studies might be--at least partly--explained as an effect of rumination. Further mediation analyses indeed revealed support for rumination as a mediator of the relation between reduced AM specificity and poor outcome of depression. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Inverse Routh table construction and stability of delay equations

Based on an inversion of the Routh table construction, a unimodular characterization of all Hurwitz polynomials is obtained. In parameter space, the Hurwitz polynomials of degree n correspond to the positive 2ⁿ-tant. The method is then used to construct classes of stable continuous-time delay-difference equations and delay differential equations of neutral type, by a suitable limiting process.     

An assertional proof for a construction of an atomic variable

The paper proves by assertional means the correctness of a construction of Haldar and Subramanian of an atomic shared variable for one writer and one reader. This construction uses four unsafe variables and four safe boolean variables. Assignment to a safe but nonatomic variable is modelled as a repetition of random assignments concluded by an actual assignment. The proof obligation consists of four invariants. These are proved using 25 auxiliary invariants. The proof has been constructed and verified with the theorem prover NQTHM.Received May 2002 Accepted in revised form March 2004 by D.J. Cooke     

Performance optimization of spectroscopic process analyzers

To increase the power and the robustness of spectroscopic process analyzers, methods are needed that suppress the spectral variation that is not related to the property of interest in the process stream. An approach for the selection of a suitable method is presented. The approach uses the net analyte signal (NAS) to analyze the situation and to select methods to suppress the nonrelevant spectral variation. The empirically determined signal-to-noise of the NAS is used as a figure of merit. The advantages of the approach are (i). that the error of the reference method does not affect method selection and (ii). that only a few spectral measurements are needed. A diagnostic plot is proposed that guides the user in the evaluation of the particular suppression method. As an example, NIR spectroscopic monitoring of a mol-sieve separation process is used.     

Ongoing efforts to improve the international nuclear and radiological emergency response

It is recognised that states, through the development of a consistent, coherent and sustainable joint programme for improved and more efficient international responses to nuclear and radiological emergencies, could achieve a better and more cost-effective response capability. Enhanced efforts by IAEA member states and the IAEA secretariat to improve the implementation of the Convention on Early Notification of a Nuclear Accident and the Convention on Assistance in Case of a Nuclear Accident or Radiological Emergency have been initiated, establishing a national competent authority coordination group (NCACG) and a long-term action plan for the work.     

Nonlinear signal-processing model for scalar diffraction in optical recording

A nonlinear signal-processing model is derived for the optical recording channel based on scalar diffraction theory. In this model, the signal waveform is written in closed form as an explicit function of the channel bits that are stored on an optical disk, thereby comprising both linear and nonlinear terms. Its explicit dependence on the channel bits makes this model well suited for signal-processing purposes. With the model it is also convenient to assess the importance of nonlinear contributions to the signal waveform. The model is applied for one-dimensional optical storage as well as for two-dimensional (2D) optical storage in which bits are arranged on a 2D hexagonal lattice. Signal folding is addressed as a typical nonlinear issue in 2D optical storage and can be eliminated by recording of pit marks of sizes considerably smaller than the size of the hexagonal bit cell. Further simplifications of the model with only a limited number of channel parameters are also derived.