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The limitation of freshwater resources and the growing demand for water, make the issue of water resource development planning and water allocation among stakeholders even more important. Ideally, water allocation should be economically efficient and socially equitable. In this study, a water allocation model is presented in an integrated framework that considers the interaction of water supply and demand according to economic and social factors. To achieve this, a reliability-based multi-objective optimization - simulation approach has been employed. The objective functions of the problem are: 1) maximizing GDP from agricultural sectors and 2) maximizing social equality in different provinces of the basin (measured using the Williamson coefficient). The fair development and allocation among the shared provinces in the basin can reduce conflicts in the region. Karkheh basin has been considered as a case study and decision variables of the problem are area under cultivation of agricultural development sectors in different provinces. The results show that, without harming the income of the agricultural sector, the spatial distribution of development projects can be done in such a way that equality (according to income level and the number of people working in each province) is achieved. One of the solutions of Pareto front compared to previous studies shows that, in addition to an increase of about 12% of the objective function 1 (GDP), the value of the objective function 2 (Williamson coefficient) decreased from 1.19 to 0.98. This indicates a decrease in income inequality among the provinces of the basin.
相似文献Shear connectors play a prominent role in the design of steel-concrete composite systems. The behavior of shear connectors is generally determined through conducting push-out tests. However, these tests are costly and require plenty of time. As an alternative approach, soft computing (SC) can be used to eliminate the need for conducting push-out tests. This study aims to investigate the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, as sub-branches of SC methods, in the behavior prediction of an innovative type of C-shaped shear connectors, called Tilted Angle Connectors. For this purpose, several push-out tests are conducted on these connectors and the required data for the AI models are collected. Then, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is developed to identify the most influencing parameters on the shear strength of the tilted angle connectors. Totally, six different models are created based on the ANFIS results. Finally, AI techniques such as an artificial neural network (ANN), an extreme learning machine (ELM), and another ANFIS are employed to predict the shear strength of the connectors in each of the six models. The results of the paper show that slip is the most influential factor in the shear strength of tilted connectors and after that, the inclination angle is the most effective one. Moreover, it is deducted that considering only four parameters in the predictive models is enough to have a very accurate prediction. It is also demonstrated that ELM needs less time and it can reach slightly better performance indices than those of ANN and ANFIS.
相似文献Over the last decade, application of soft computing techniques has rapidly grown up in different scientific fields, especially in rock mechanics. One of these cases relates to indirect assessment of uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) of rock samples with different artificial intelligent-based methods. In fact, the main advantage of such systems is to readily remove some difficulties arising in direct assessment of UCS, such as time-consuming and costly UCS test procedure. This study puts an effort to propose four accurate and practical predictive models of UCS using artificial neural network (ANN), hybrid ANN with imperialism competitive algorithm (ICA–ANN), hybrid ANN with artificial bee colony (ABC–ANN) and genetic programming (GP) approaches. To reach the aim of the current study, an experimental database containing a total of 71 data sets was set up by performing a number of laboratory tests on the rock samples collected from a tunnel site in Malaysia. To construct the desired predictive models of UCS based on training and test patterns, a combination of several rock characteristics with the most influence on UCS has been used as input parameters, i.e. porosity (n), Schmidt hammer rebound number (R), p-wave velocity (Vp) and point load strength index (Is(50)). To evaluate and compare the prediction precision of the developed models, a series of statistical indices, such as root mean squared error (RMSE), determination coefficient (R2) and variance account for (VAF) are utilized. Based on the simulation results and the measured indices, it was observed that the proposed GP model with the training and test RMSE values 0.0726 and 0.0691, respectively, gives better performance as compared to the other proposed models with values of (0.0740 and 0.0885), (0.0785 and 0.0742), and (0.0746 and 0.0771) for ANN, ICA–ANN and ABC–ANN, respectively. Moreover, a parametric analysis is accomplished on the proposed GP model to further verify its generalization capability. Hence, this GP-based model can be considered as a new applicable equation to accurately estimate the uniaxial compressive strength of granite block samples.
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