Bewertung von Ausfallvarianten für die Netzsicherheitsanalyse

Übersicht Für die On-line-Netzsicherheitsüberwachung wird eine adaptive Güteindex-Prozedur zur dynamischen Erstellung von Ausfallisten vorgestellt. Mit den bisher bekannten Güteindex-Verfahren konnten aufgrund des Verdeckungseffektes meist nicht alle tatsächlich kritischen Varianten als solche erkannt und deklariert werden. In der neuen Prozedur werden die Ergebnisse der Ausfallsimulationsrechnung der unmittelbaren Systemvergangenheit für die Erstellung der aktuellen Ausfalliste verwendet. Mit einer linearen Korrekturfunktion werden dabei die verdeckungseffektbehaftetenG ₂-Werte des Standard-Güteindex-Verfahrens in verbesserte Werte transformiert.

---

Contingency assessment for power system security analysis

Contents An adaptive procedure for dynamic contingency selection in the on-line security assessment is proposed. Because of the masking effect in conventional performance index algorithms a possibly large number of critical contingencies is misclassified. In the new procedure results of former security checks are used for evaluating the current contingency list. A linear corrective function is applied to transform the standard second orderG-values into improved values.

     

A new microsecond pulse-heating system to investigate thermophysical properties of solid and liquid metals

A new discharge system for resistive self-heating has been constructed for the measurement of accurate thermophysical properties. A constant-current pulse is used to heat metals over a time interval of 50 to 100 s, reaching temperatures up to the boiling point. New techniques have been developed to obtain sound speeds in the pulse-heated sample, emissivities, and vapor pressure. A new pyrometer allows the extension of the measured temperature range down to the melting point of copper.     

The effect of appraisers in estimating metabolic rate with the Edholm scale

A study was made of the appraisers' effect on the estimation of metabolic rate with the Edholm scale and a table of the ISO 7243 heat stress standard. The appraisers, five experienced and five inexperienced persons, estimated the metabolic rate of three different work tasks from videotapes. Analysis of variance indicated significant ( [Formula: see text] ) differences in the appraisers' recordings of the activities. The appraisers were grouped according to the similarity of the estimated values they gave. The groups thus contained both experienced and inexperienced appraisers, and it was not possible to classify the appraisers into experienced and inexperienced groups according to their earlier experience. The metabolic rates according to the Edholm scale were higher than according to the ISO 7243 table. The differences in metabolic rates given by the individual observers varied from 38 to 118 W/m(2). The variations in the estimation of metabolic rates were greater when the Edholm scale was used. This variation caused considerable variation also in the predicted mean vote, PMV index. It is recommended that the appraisers be selected carefully, because it is not possible to know whether a randomly selected appraiser is an 'average' or an 'extreme' appraiser without a test. Before conducting extensive field surveys where several appraisers estimate the metabolic rates, it would be useful to arrange training in order to calibrate the levels of the Edholm scale as well as ISO method among the appraisers because training clearly unified the estimation.     

High-resolution photoelastic pressure sensor using low-birefringence fiber

The effect of birefringence induced in a single-mode fiber by a lateral force has been applied to measure the absolute value of force or pressure with high resolution. A sensor configuration with an extended detecting surface has been investigated by means of calibrated weights. The sensor is sensitive to an incremental force of 2 x 10(-3) N, independently of the length of the fiber. The maximum force applied was 10 N/m of fiber length.     

High-temperature creep and structure investigation of nearly stoichiometric Fe3Si

Single crystals of nearly stoichiometric Fe₃Si were creep-deformed at temperatureT = 450 to 850° C and applied stress=40 to 250 MPa. While the temperature dependence of the steady-state creep rate of crystals with less than 25 at% Si can be described by an exponential function exp (–H _exp/kT), the Fe-26 at% Si samples show an exponential dependence only below 500° C and above 600° C. At intermediate temperatures the dependence is weak. It is suggested that in this intermediate range two phases exist. The experimental results are consistent with the assumption that the phase boundaries do not hinder dislocation movement, and that the disocation velocity in the two phases is different.     

Effect of post-mortem temperature on beef tenderness

Beef adductor muscles were incubated for 4 h post mortem at 10°C and for 4 h and 6 h post mortem at 30°C, 37°C and 42°C. Half of the muscles were cooked just after incubation and the other half was first stored for two days at 4°C and then cooked. Meat kept for 4 h or 6 h at 42°C and for 6 h at 37°C and cooked at once had a significantly (p<0·05) lower shear force than meat kept for 4 h at 37°C, 4 h at 30°C, 6 h at 30°C or 4 h at 10°C. The respective significant differences were also found when the meat was cooked two days after incubation. Organoleptic evaluation showed that meat incubated for 6 h at 37°C or for 4 h at 42°C was not significantly more tender than other samples. However, meat kept for 6 h at 42°C was more tender (p<0·5) than the other samples. After two days of storage, meat incubated for 6 h at 37°C and for 6 h at 42° was more tender (p<0·05) than meat kept for 6 h at 30°C. It was concluded that high temperature conditioning at 37°C or higher for 6 h (4 h at 42°C) just after slaughter makes meat more tender than conventional cooling systems.     

Crystallization of Fe-Si-B metallic glasses studied by X-ray synchrotron radiation

We have studied the crystallization kinetics of Fe_90-x Si _x B₁₀ amorphous alloys withx ranging from 7 to 21, by synchrotron X-ray radiation. Using energy- dispersive X-ray diffraction, the kinetics of the different crystalline phases evolving during isothermal annealing were followed. These crystalline phases were identified as precipitation of-Fe(Si) and/or Fe₃Si in the amorphous matrix. At a later time or at a higher temperature, Fe₂B starts to crystallize (x < 21 ). Only at low iron concentration (x = 21) was the second phase different, namely Fe₅SiB₂ The hypo- and hyper-eutectic Fe-Si-B glasses were found to crystallize differently. The crystallization processes are discussed in some detail.     

Computergestützte Frühwarn- und Entscheidungssysteme

Zusammenfassung Die massive Bedrohung durch Nuklearwaffen, die den Supermächten die Möglichkeit zur Auslöschung allen Lebens auf der Erde geben, erfordert eine Entscheidungsfindung oftmals innerhalb weniger Minuten. Dies hat beide Seiten zum Aufbau von Frühwarn- und Entscheidungssystemen (FWES) veranlaßt, durch deren Einsatz ein atomarer Angriff noch innerhalb der Raketenflugzeit erkannt werden soll. In diesem FWES spielt die Verarbeitung und Weiterleitung von Informationen durch den Computer eine kriegsentscheidende Rolle: Die Informatik ist zu einer der wichtigsten Grundlagenwissenschaften in der Rüstungsforschung geworden. Dieser Artikel gibt eine Übersicht über die Funktionsweise computergestützter FWES und zeigt Fehlerquellen auf, die es möglich und sogar wahrscheinlich machen, daß eine Verkettung unglücklicher Umstände zu einem Nuklearkrieg aus Versehen führen kann.

---

Liste der Abkürzungen ANMCC Alternate National Military Command Center - BMWES Ballistic Missile Early Warning System - CSS Communication System Segment - EMP Elektromagnetischer Puls - FWES Frühwarn- und Entscheidungssystem - ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile - JCS Joint Chief of Staff - NCS NORAD Computer System - NMCC National Military Command Center - NORAD North American Aerospace Defense Command Center - PAC Pacific Command - PARCS Perimeter Acquisition Radar Attack Characterization System - SAC Strategic Air Command - SCC Space Computational Center - SLBM Submarine-launched Ballistic Missiles - WWMCCS World Wide Military Command and Control System