Failure in internally pressurized bent tubes

The analysis and modeling of tube-hydroformed components is more complicated than that employed for sheet-metal panels, due to the lengthier process sequence and variable strain path—from flat-rolled sheet to tube; from straight tube to bent tube; and from bent tube to hydroformed component. These additional process steps make it difficult to determine whether post mortem analyses of tube failure during hydroforming can, and should, be conducted with the same tools and databases as used for simple stampings. To provide a partial answer, the properties of commercially fabricated welded straight tubes were evaluated using a free-expansion internal pressure test and compared with those of free-expansion internal pressure tests on bent tubes. The results demonstrated that the behavior of the bent tube was consistent with the mechanical properties of the as-received tube, provided due notice was accorded to the complex strain history of the bent tube. However, due to the strain-path changes occurring at the failure location, conventional approaches for monitoring strain history would yield (apparently) anomalous results.     

The perceived effect of breakdown and repair on the performance of multiprocessor systems

It is argued that classical measures of computer system performance, for example mean response time, are inadequate in the context of fault-tolerant system design. Alternative, perception-based measures are proposed and theorems established describing their properties. Focus is directed upon the homogeneous M/M/m system in which total processor power is constrained by budget and processors are subject to failure and repair. A numerical technique for extracting both classical and perception-based measures from the associated two-dimensional Markov process is offered, along with bounds on time and space required for its execution. It is seen that the perception-based approach to system design can call for twice as many processors as the classical approach.     

Percutaneous radiologic drainage of pancreatic abscesses

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of our study was to review and report the patient selection, techniques, and results of percutaneous drainage of pancreatic abscesses by retrospective review. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty-nine patients (46 men and 13 women) with a mean age of 44 years old had 80 pancreatic abscesses that were drained percutaneously under radiologic guidance (CT, n = 77; sonography, n = 2; and fluoroscopy, n = 1). Abscesses had a wide spectrum of causes, with alcoholic pancreatitis being most common, trauma second most common, and gallstones third. Ten patients had undergone surgery for pancreatic necrosis or abscess. Patients with pancreatic pseudocysts, necrosis, or acute fluid collections were excluded from this study. RESULTS: Of the 59 patients, 51 (86%) were cured with percutaneous drainage and antibiotic therapy. Of the patients who were not cured with percutaneous drainage, seven required surgery and one underwent repeat percutaneous drainage. In the 59 patients, complications included non-life-threatening bleeding in three patients. Ten of 59 patients (17%) had fistulas that spontaneously formed into the gastrointestinal tract. The duration of catheterization ranged from 4 to 119 days, with a mean duration of 33 days. The rate of mortality at 30 days after completion of percutaneous drainage was 8% (5 of 59). CONCLUSION: Percutaneous drainage was an effective therapy for this defined group of patients with pancreatic abscesses. Factors leading to the relatively high success rate described in this study likely included selection of patients; catheters of adequate size, number, and location; careful follow-up with appropriate catheter manipulations; and an integrated, cooperative approach whereby surgeons were willing to permit drainage to effect its benefits, rather than operating prematurely.     

The limitations and potential of AVHRR GAC data for continental scale fire studies

Global Area Coverage (GAC) data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) are available on a daily basis, dating back to July 1981. The AVHRR's 3·55–3·93 μm channel is suitable for detection of terrestrial hot spots, such as bushfires. The long-term archives and global cover make the GAC a potentially valuable data source for large scale fire studies. However, these data are sampled spatially through a combination of line skipping and averaging. This study shows that the sampling affects the sensitivity of GAC for fire detection in relation to ecosystem and season. The GAC are found to provide a reasonable measure of fire activity in grassland and open b'ush savannah, but to perform poorly in the forest margins. Overall at least 79 per cent of fires detected with non-sampled AVHRR data are missed by the GAC. This severely limits the use of GAC data for quantitative fire studies. The GAC does appear to provide a reasonable measure of fire calendar (i.e., variations in fire activity with time) and on a continental scale successfully identifies the main regions of fire activity. The potential of these data for continental scale fire studies is illustrated through the preliminary analysis of 277 GAC mosaics of Africa for the period September 1988 to August 1989.     

PRACTICAL INCONSISTENCY MANAGEMENT FOR CRITICAL-TASKS DECISION-SUPPORT SYSTEMS

Abstract

In this paper, the problem of logical consistency in critical-tasks decision systems is addressed. It is shown how local search techniques can be used to check the (in)consistency of very large propositional knowledge bases (KBs). Using new heuristic findings. we can now implement efficient forms of diagnostic reasoning in the context of very large ICBs modeling deep models of complex devices and including patterns of default reasoning.     

The use of indigenous ecological resources for pest control in Africa

Reducing the losses from crop pests will help to increase food availability and boost economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, the existing crop protection paradigm that relies on synthetic agrochemical pesticides has had only a marginal impact on the productivity of many poor smallholder farmers who constitute a major segment of agriculture in SSA. This is primarily because many of them are not able to afford or access these imported chemicals. A solution to this crop protection problem may be to harness biological resources that are locally available, such as endemic insect natural enemies and indigenous pesticidal plant materials. Two specific examples of this already under development in Africa are the use of the pesticidal plant, Tephrosia vogelii, and the harvesting of the endemic insect baculovirus, Spodoptera exempta nucleopolyhedrovirus (SpexNPV). Both of these can be produced locally and have shown promise in trials as inexpensive and effective tools for pest control in Africa and their use is currently being scaled up and evaluated by African networks of researchers. A focus on these systems illustrates the potential for using locally-available natural resources for improved crop protection in Africa. The consideration of these pesticidal plants and insect natural enemies in the wider context of natural capital that provide valuable ecosystem services (including pest control), will facilitate greater recognition of their true economic and societal worth. While both of these model systems show promise, there are also very significant challenges to be overcome in developing production, supply and marketing systems that are economically viable and sustainable. The regulatory environment must also evolve to accommodate and facilitate the registration of new products and the establishment of appropriate supply chains that share the benefits of these resources equitably with the local communities from which they are harvested.