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81.
Hybrid Approach for Addressing Uncertainty in Risk Assessments 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Dominique Guyonnet Bernard Bourgine Didier Dubois Hélène Fargier Bernard C?me Jean-Paul Chilès 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》2003,129(1):68-78
Parameter uncertainty is a major aspect of the model-based estimation of the risk of human exposure to pollutants. The Monte Carlo method, which applies probability theory to address model parameter uncertainty, relies on a statistical representation of available information. In recent years, other uncertainty theories have been proposed as alternative approaches to address model parameter uncertainty in situations where available information is insufficient to identify statistically representative probability distributions, due in particular to data scarcity. The simplest such theory is possibility theory, which uses so-called fuzzy numbers to represent model parameter uncertainty. In practice, it may occur that certain model parameters can be reasonably represented by probability distributions, because there are sufficient data available to substantiate such distributions by statistical analysis, while others are better represented by fuzzy numbers (due to data scarcity). The question then arises as to how these two modes of representation of model parameter uncertainty can be combined for the purpose of estimating the risk of exposure. This paper proposes an approach (termed a hybrid approach) which combines Monte Carlo random sampling of probability distribution functions with fuzzy calculus. The approach is applied to a real case of estimation of human exposure, via vegetable consumption, to cadmium present in the surficial soils of an industrial site located in the north of France. The application illustrates the potential of the proposed approach, which allows the uncertainty affecting model parameters to be represented in a way that is consistent with the information at hand. Also, because the hybrid approach takes advantage of the “rich” information provided by probability distributions, while retaining the conservative character of fuzzy calculus, it is believed to hold value in terms of a “reasonable” application of the precautionary principle. 相似文献
82.
María Pinto Dora Sales Anne-Vinciane Doucet Andrés Fernández-Ramos David Guerrero 《Scientometrics》2007,72(2):345-370
The purpose of the study proposed in this paper is to evaluate the Spanish public university websites dedicated to the European
Higher Education Area (EHEA). To do so, the quality of these resources has been analysed in the light of data provided by
a series of indicators grouped in seven criteria, most of which were used to determine what information is made available
and in what way. The criteria used in our analysis are: visibility, authority, updatedness, accesibility, correctness and
completeness, quality assessment and navigability.
All in all, the results allow us to carry out an overall diagnosis of the situation and also provide us with information about
the situation at each university, thus revealing their main strengths, namely authority and navegability, and also their chief
shortcomings: updatedness, accessibility and quality assessment. In this way it is possible to detect the best practices in
each of the aspects evaluated so that they can serve as an example and guide for universities with greater deficiencies and
thus help them to improve their EHEA websites. 相似文献
83.
András Ványolos Balázs Dóra Attila Virosztek 《Journal of Superconductivity and Novel Magnetism》2007,20(7-8):643-645
We report of a theoretical study on quasi-one dimensional unconventional charge density wave (UCDW) driven by electron–phonon
interaction. Within mean field theory, we find that the wavevector dependence of the coupling leads to a momentum dependent
single particle gap on the Fermi surface. The presence of small energy single particle excitations around the gap nodes significantly
changes the optical conductivity compared to the conventional CDW result. In addition to that, the collective phase excitation
arising from fluctuation of the order parameter leads to further qualitative changes of the conductivity and results in an
effective mass that is nonmonotonic in temperature.
相似文献
84.
Nilgün Kzlcan Belks Ustamehmetolu Nesrin
z A. Sezai Sara Ahmet Akar 《应用聚合物科学杂志》2003,89(11):2896-2901
Soluble and processable conductive copolymers of silicone tegomers and pyrrole were developed. This was easily accomplished by the oxidative polymerization of pyrrole monomer by Ce(IV) salt in the presence of silicone tegomers with hydroxyl chain ends. The resulting copolymers were soluble in dimethylformamide. The products were characterized by Fourier transform infrared, 1H‐NMR, and four‐point probe conductivity, and their surface properties were investigated with contact‐angle measurements. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Appl Polym Sci 89: 2896–2901, 2003 相似文献
85.
86.
Using recent original data from three different sources, the article exhibits some strengths and weaknesses of science in Colombia. It shows that research in this country is in a process of growth although recent results of this positive trend are still to be confirmed. Comparing the evolution of science in Colombia with that of Latin America as a whole, describing and explaining its geographical and institutional concentration as well as its thematic distribution, it also reveals the interdependance between science production dynamics and international cooperation programmes. A basic argument is that the development of science in this country, even though it is fragile and erratic, does not lack sound bases. The indicators used suggest indeed an autonomous scientific motion and inspiration which does not contradict the internationalization process of Colombian science but rectifies the picture of an excessively isolated or dependent community that used to be portrayed. 相似文献
87.
Mazzocco Michèle M. M.; Freund Lisa S.; Baumgardner Thomas L.; Forman Lisa; Reiss Allan L. 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1995,9(4):470
An extensive evaluation was conducted with 16-yr-old monozygotic twins concordant for the fragile X full mutation but discordant for mental retardation. The clearly affected twin had an IQ score of 47; 77% of her neuropsychological z scores were at least 2 SDs below average. Her sister had an IQ score of 105 and average neuropsychological performance. However, each girl demonstrated relative verbal strengths and visual-spatial weaknesses. Their parents rated each girl as having significant problems with attention, conduct, anxiety-withdrawal, and hyperactivity. The girls did not rate themselves as having significant anxiety. These findings are consistent with group data on females with fragile X and demonstrate the wide range of effects associated with the fragile X full mutation. This case report implicates the importance of a psychosocial phenotype of fragile X independent of cognitive ability level. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved) 相似文献
88.
Loranger Michel; Pépin Michel; Gignac Guy; Benoit Geneviève 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1995,36(1):59
Presents results of 3 studies on the psychometric properties of the LP-ABC (M. Loranger and M. Pépin, 1993), a French-language instrument for assessing general functioning in adults with mental retardation. The studies involved a total of 299 male and female Canadian adults with mental retardation. Results confirm the internal consistency, construct validity, criterion validity, discriminant validity, interrater reliability, and test–retest reliability of the LP-ABC. (English abstract) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved) 相似文献
89.
TG Orsière MM Chauvet MH Dell''Amico MJ Bourdeaux 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1995,291(3):237-243
Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is a potent mitogen for the maturation of hepatocytes in vitro which plays a role in liver regeneration in vivo. In addition, transforming growth factor-beta 1 (TGF-beta 1) is also a potent regulator of liver regeneration. In attempting to clarify the mechanisms related to liver regeneration after partial hepatectomy, we investigated the expression of HGF and TGF-beta 1 in rats with liver cirrhosis (LC). A rat model of LC was prepared using carbon tetrachloride (CCl4). The expression of HGF mRNA in both the LC and control groups showed a similar time-course with the highest expression seen at 18h after a 70% hepatectomy. The expression of TGF-beta 1 mRNA peaked at 18h after partial hepatectomy in the LC group and at 48h in the control group. The 5-bromo-2'-deoxyuridine (BrdU) labeling index for the LC group at 24, 48, and 72 h after partial hepatectomy was 9.2%, 5.9%, and 1.8%, while for the control group it was 7.0%, 11.7%, and 6.8%, respectively. The BrdU labeling index in the LC group was thus suppressed earlier than that in the control group. We therefore postulate that regeneration of the remnant liver in the presence of LC accelerates immediately after partial hepatectomy, but the extent of regeneration is insufficient because of an early cessation due to an early expression of TGF-beta 1. 相似文献
90.
Antnio Ravara Ana G. Matos Vasco T. Vasconcelos Luís. Lopes 《Electronic Notes in Theoretical Computer Science》2003,85(1):61-79
We define a lexically scoped, asynchronous and distributed π-calculus, with local communication and process migration. This calculus adopts the network-awareness principle for distributed programming and follows a simple model of distribution for mobile calculi: a lexical scope discipline combines static scoping with dynamic linking, associating channels to a fixed site throughout computation. This discipline provides for both remote invocation and process migration. A simple type system is a straightforward extension of that of the π-calculus, adapted to take into account the lexical scope of channels. An equivalence law captures the essence of this model: a process behavior depends on the channels it uses, not on where it runs. 相似文献