Information Theory and Neural Networks for Managing Uncertainty in Flood Routing

This paper presents an approach for handling uncertainties arising mainly from ignored or misrepresented processes in physically based models. The approach is based on the application of a parallel artificial neural network (ANN) model that uses state variables, input and output data, and previous model errors at specific time steps to predict the errors of a physically based model. Concepts from information theory are used to discover the relationships between the variables and the model errors, which also serves as a mechanism to detect the predictability of the errors. The resulting information is used to select the best related input data for the error prediction model. The error prediction model is then trained and applied to improve the forecasts made by the physically based model. This approach was applied to a routing model of a 70 km reach of the River Wye, United Kingdom. The results demonstrate that errors from the physically based model show a consistent trend governed by some dynamics of their own, which can be modeled with learning algorithms. Errors were forecasted at different lead times. In all cases the forecasts made by the combined application of both models were more accurate than those made by the physically based model alone. From this it was concluded that, along with proper information analysis techniques, the use of ANN models to predict the forecast errors of physically based models can help to improve significantly the prediction and therefore to reduce the associated uncertainty.     

Performance of a Thermoelectric Module Based on n-Type (La0.12Sr0.88)0.95TiO3−δ and p-Type Ca3Co4−xO9+δ

Here, we present the performance of a thermoelectric (TE) module consisting of n-type (La_0.12Sr_0.88)_0.95TiO₃ and p-type Ca₃Co_4?xO_9+δ materials. The main challenge in this investigation was operating the TE module in different atmospheric conditions, since n-type has optimum TE performance at reducing conditions, while p-type has optimum at oxidizing conditions. The TE module was exposed to two different atmospheres and demonstrated higher stability in N₂ atmosphere than in air. The maximum electrical power output decreased after 40 h when the hot side was exposed to N₂ at 600°C, while only 1 h at 400°C in ambient air was enough to oxidize (La_0.12Sr_0.88)_0.95TiO₃ followed by a reduced electrical power output. The module generated maximum electrical power of 0.9 mW (～?4.7 mW/cm²) at 600°C hot side and δT?～?570 K in N₂, and 0.15 mW (～?0.8 mW/cm²) at 400°C hot side and δT?～?370 K in air. A stability limit of Ca₃Co_3.93O_9+δ at ～?700°C in N₂ was determined by in situ high-temperature x-ray diffraction.

     

The Influence of Dam Construction on the Catchment Hydrologic Behavior and its Effects on a Discharge Forecast in Hydrological Models

Water Resources Management - The hydrological properties of a river basin are extremely affected by the construction of a dam. The discharges and sediment flow distribution, in a modified river...     

Policies and Strategies to Overcome Barriers to Rainwater Harvesting for Urban Use in Ethiopia

The Ethiopian government has been working on rainwater harvesting (RWH) for more than three decades. Despite its efforts, the results are not as expected. Different barriers have posed challenges to promoting RWH in Ethiopia. This study was done to identify the main problems and obstacles, and reflect on potential solutions. As a result, absence of clear policy definitions, lack of sustainably implemented projects, poor societal perceptions of RWH, local professionals lacking proper knowledge, and initial investment costs are found to be major causes of poor outcomes. Considering the site-specific nature of water issues, the authors propose various management strategies such as policy-oriented promotion, formulation of design guidelines, proactive planning, collaborative research, and integration of RWH with cost covering practices.     

Demographic, clinical, and neurocognitive correlates of everyday functional impairment in severe mental illness.

Although cognitive deficits often accompany severe mental illness, their implications for everyday functioning remain poorly understood. In this study, an occupational therapist (OT) rated the everyday functioning of 105 adult psychiatric patients. Using demographic, clinical, and cognitive variables, the authors tested alternative models to account for the observed variability in OT ratings. Although age, education, and the presence of schizophrenia each contributed to a model that accounted for 27% of the variation in functional independence, adding terms for auditory divided attention and verbal learning increased the proportion of explained variance to 45% and decreased the beta weights for age and education—but not schizophrenia—to nonsignificant levels. These findings demonstrate the relevance of cognitive performance to everyday functioning in severe mental illness. They are discussed with respect to hypothesized determinants of psychiatric disability. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Photolithographically patterned smart hydrogel based bilayer actuators

We describe the fabrication of photopatterned actuators, composed of stimuli-responsive hydrogel bilayers made from N-isopropyl-acrylamide (NIPAm), acrylic acid (AAc), and poly-ethylene oxide diacrylate (PEODA). The hydrogels were deposited by spin coating and casting and were patterned by non-contact photolithography. We investigated the swelling behavior of the individual photopatterned hydrogels in aqueous solutions of varying pH and ionic strength (IS). By combining materials with optimal swelling responses, bilayer structures were triggered via changes in pH and IS to actuate into three dimensional (3D) structures. We also used these hydrogel bilayers as hinges to actuate integrated structures composed of rigid polymeric SU-8 panels, patterned to resemble the shape of a Venus Flytrap. This system provides a straightforward way to design and fabricate actuator hinges composed entirely of polymers.     

Comparison of Some Reference Evapotranspiration Equations for California

Four reference evapotranspiration (ETo) equations are compared using weather data from 37 agricultural weather stations across the state of California. The equations compared include the California Irrigation Management Information System (CIMIS) Penman equation, the Penman–Monteith equation standardized by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the Penman–Monteith equation standardized by the American Society of Civil Engineers, and the Hargreaves equation. Hourly and daily comparisons of ETo and net radiation (Rn) are made using graphics and simple linear regressions. ETo values estimated by the CIMIS Penman equation correlated very well with the corresponding values estimated by the standardized Penman–Monteith equations on both hourly and daily time steps. However, there are greater differences between the Rn values estimated by the two procedures. Although there are exceptions, the Hargreaves equation compared well to the FAO Penman–Monteith method. Spatial variability of the resulting correlations between the different equations is also assessed. Despite the wide variability of microclimates in the state, there are no visible spatial trends in correlations between the different ETo and/or Rn estimates.     

Effect of low density lipoprotein on adenosine receptor-mediated coronary vasorelaxation in vitro

We investigated the effect of low density lipoprotein (LDL) on vasorelaxations and nitric oxide generation induced by the adenosine analogs, 5'-(N-ethylcarboxamide)adenosine, 2-p-(2-carboxyethyl)phenylethyl-amino-5'N-ethylcarboxamidoadenosine and/or 2-chloroadenosine in porcine coronary artery rings in vitro. Preincubation of tissues with native LDL (100 and 200 microg/ml) for 4 hr in the absence or presence of copper sulfate (5 microM) selectively attenuated the endothelium-dependent relaxations elicited by 5'-(N-ethylcarboxamide)adenosine and 2-p-(2-carboxyethyl)phenylethyl-amino-5'N-ethylcarboxamideoadenosine+ ++ without altering the response to 2-chloroadenosine which produced endothelium-independent relaxation. The 4-hr exposure of tissues to native LDL (100 microg/ml) also inhibited the production of nitrite induced by 5'-(N-ethylcarboxamide)adenosine in endothelium-intact rings. These effects were associated with enhanced oxidation of the lipoprotein. The inhibitory action of LDL on tissue relaxations and nitrite generation as well as the oxidation of the lipoprotein were all prevented by high density lipoprotein (100 microg/ml). In contrast, a relatively short period (20 min) of tissue incubation with native LDL produced no alterations of the relaxations and nitrite production evoked by 5'-(N-ethylcarboxamide)adenosine and 2-p-(2-carboxyethyl)phenylethyl-amino-5'N-ethylcarboxamidoadenosine. Under this condition, the oxidation of LDL was not also significantly altered. In conclusion, the results indicate that in coronary artery LDL, with oxidative modification, causes attenuation of nitric oxide-mediated endothelial responses induced by adenosine receptors activation, and this effect is prevented by high density lipoprotein. Such modulation may be of importance in hypercholesterolemia and in the development of atherosclerosis.     

Oxidation of Methyl Tert-Butyl Ether in Aqueous Solution by an Ozone/UV Process

In this paper, the oxidation of methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) in aqueous solution by an ozone/ultraviolet (UV) process was described. The oxidation process was investigated experimentally in a semibatch reactor under various operational conditions, i.e., ozone gas dosage, UV light intensity, and water quality in terms of varying bicarbonate concentration. The ozone/UV process was very successful in oxidizing MTBE. The rate of removal of MTBE increased when the incident UV light intensity increased for the same concentration of influent ozone gas. Similarly, an increase in influent ozone gas concentration resulted in faster removal of MTBE for the same incident UV light intensity. However, bicarbonate in the range of 2–8?mM showed no significant effect on MTBE removal for MTBE concentration ( ～ 1.0?mM) used in this study. Moreover, it was observed that the reaction intermediates could react well in the ozone/UV process, and complete mineralization could be achieved by the ozone/UV process, if desired.