Investigation of the impact of changes in demand forecasting method on the financial performance of an electricity supply undertaking

Peak demand forecasts obtained from six different univariate forecasting methods, under a range of conditions, were used to drive a capacity acquisition model of a large electrical supply system; and the resulting physical and financial performance of the model was observed for each set of forecasts. The results obtained are discussed in the context of their implications for the choice of load forecasting method used in capacity acquisition planning by a power supply undertaking.     

High-gain pseudomorphic InGaAs base ballistic hot-electron device

A high-gain ballistic hot-electron device is described. The GaAs-AlGaAs heterostructure device, with a 21-mm-thick pseudomorphic In _0.12Ga_0.88As base, had a current gain of 27 at 77 K and 41 at 4.2 K. As characteristically seen in ballistic devices, transfer into the L valley limited the maximum gain. The Γ-L valley separation in the strained In_0.12Ga_0.88As was estimated to be about 380 meV     

Physical modeling of gas/liquid mass transfer in a gas stirred ladle

The absorption of gas through the plume eye and of an injected gas in a steelmaking ladle process was investigated, using a physical model of CO₂ absorption into a NaOH solution. The results show that the inert gas escaping through the plume eye is ineffective in protecting the bath from the atmosphere, and placing an oil layer (simulated slag) decreases the absorption rate significantly. Increasing the flow rate of the inert gas not only exposes more of the liquid surface to the CO₂ atmosphere, but also increases the mass transfer coefficient at the surface. The overall mass transfer between an injected CO₂ gas and NaOH solution includes the mass transfer through the surface of the bath as well as the mass transfer in the bubble dispersion zone. The difference between the mass transfer in the bubble dispersion zone and the overall mass transfer was found to be significant for relatively low gas flow rates. The mass transfer coefficient of CO₂ in the bubble dispersion zone was estimated using available information regarding the bubble size and velocity. Mass transfer coefficient estimated for the constant bubble frequency regime shows a dependence on gas flow rate. However, if a constant characteristic size of bubbles is assumed as an alternative approach, the mass transfer coefficient is independent of the gas flow rate.     

Pulse stabilisation in harmonically FM modelocked erbium fibre ring laser with DFBLD

A new pulse stabilisation scheme for a harmonically frequency modulated (FM) modelocked erbium fibre ring laser using a distributed feedback laser diode (DFBLD) is presented. More than 65 dB supermode noise suppression in the RF spectrum was obtained with the proposed method. Effective reduction of supermode noise can be accomplished as the DFBLD in the fibre laser acts not only as a fast-gain saturated medium but also as an optical bandpass filter for suppressing supermode noise in a harmonically modelocked laser system.     

Design and fabrication of RESURF MOSFETs on 4H-SiC(0001), (112~0), and 6H-SiC(0001)

Design and fabrication of lateral SiC reduced surface field (RESURF) MOSFETs have been investigated. The doping concentration (dose) of the RESURF and lightly doped drain regions has been optimized to reduce the electric field crowding at the drain edge or in the gate oxide by using device simulation. The optimum oxidation condition depends on the polytype: N/sub 2/O oxidation at 1300/spl deg/C seems to be suitable for 4H-SiC, and dry O/sub 2/ oxidation at 1250/spl deg/C for 6H-SiC. The average inversion-channel mobility is 22, 78, and 68 cm/sup 2//Vs for 4H-SiC(0001), (112~0), and 6H-SiC(0001) MOSFETs, respectively. RESURF MOSFETs have been fabricated on 10-/spl mu/m-thick p-type 4H-SiC(0001), (112~0), and 6H-SiC(0001) epilayers with an acceptor concentration of 1/spl times/10/sup 16/ cm/sup -3/. A 6H-SiC(0001) RESURF MOSFET with a 3-/spl mu/m channel length exhibits a high breakdown voltage of 1620 V and an on-resistance of 234 m/spl Omega//spl middot/cm/sup 2/. A 4H-SiC(112~0) RESURF MOSFET shows the characteristics of 1230 V-138 m/spl Omega//spl middot/cm/sup 2/.     

Simulation of the initial stages of nucleation and growth of Au/NaCl(100)

The results of a computer simulation of the initial stages of the nucleation and growth of gold on NaCl(100) are presented. A potential energy scaling Monte Carlo model employing a 50 × 50 array, mobile monomers, dimers and trimers, and gold atom vertical “roll up” was used. The parameters in the model were obtained from the work of Robinson and Robins, other published sources and/or found by calculation. Simulations of the migration of single gold adatoms over the surface permitted the determination of the diffusion coefficient as a function of the reciprocal temperature which returned the same activation energy given by the potential field, thus indicating the consistency of the model. Initial cluster densities were determined using deposition rates of R_d = 10¹⁵cm^-2s^-1 and R_d = 10¹⁴cm^-2s^-1 over the temperature range T=200–425 K. Initial cluster growth was found to occur primarily by surface phase transport and resulted in clusters that were shaped like very thin disks. Using the equations from the work of Velfe and coworkers, calculations were made to extrapolate the computer simulation data in order to permit an indirect comparison with the data of Robinson and Robins. Good agreement was achieved. Initial condensation coefficients determined over a 250 ms interval showed that α ≈ 0 at T > 425 K and α ≈ 1 at T < 325 K for a deposition rate of R_d=10¹⁵ cm^-2 s^-1.     

Effects of flux enhancing polymer on the characteristics of sludge in membrane bioreactor process.

A newly developed membrane performance enhancer (MPE) was used to prevent membrane fouling in a membrane bioreactor (MBR) process. It transpired that 1,000 mg/l of MPE reduced polysaccharide levels from 41 mg/I to 21 mg/I on average under the experimental condition. Repeated experiments also confirmed that 50-1,000 mg/l of MPE could reduce membrane fouling significantly and increase the intervals between membrane cleanings. Depending on MPE dosages and experimental conditions, trans-membrane pressure (TMP) increase was suppressed for 20-30 days, while baseline TMP surged within a few days. In addition, MPE allowed MBR operation even at 50,000 mg/l of total solid and reduced permeate COD. However, no evidence of toxicity for sludge was found from respiratory works.     

From biological inspiration toward next-generation manipulators: manipulator control focused on human tasks

This paper presents our approach to extend the niche of behavior-based robotics toward manipulation. We use results from neuroscience to derive some qualitative design rules for the mechanics of the manipulator, resulting in a next-generation manipulator, the "soft arm". By defining the basic behaviors of the manipulator as trajectory-producing behaviors (which is also biologically plausible), we have designed a first test case: writing on a board with a mobile manipulator. The soft arm has not yet been developed; therefore, we have emulated such a soft robot arm on an industrial robot.     

InAs quantum dot photonic crystal lasers and their temperature dependence

We report on the demonstration of optically pumped photonic crystal lasers with InAs quantum dot active regions operating at room temperature near 1310 nm. Absorbed threshold pump powers as low as 25 /spl mu/W are observed. We also extract a characteristic temperature of 17 K, which is attributed to limitations caused by surface recombination.     

Experiments with small V-band waveguide reflector feeds

The radiation patterns of simple rectangular waveguide feeds have been measured at V band. A low-cost test arrangement, operating in the far field but without any absorbers, is shown to give better than 0.5 dB repeatability and more than 30 dB of dynamic range. The general rules of waveguide-feed design for reflector antennas are applicable, but the tendency of narrow feed patterns is somewhat emphasized compared to observations in earlier work at C or X band. For horizontal polarization, the difference is 5 dB at 90/spl deg/ between WR-28 and WR-90 hardware. This is partly caused by an increase in the relative guide material thickness at shorter wavelengths. No clear connection between pattern widths of the two linear polarizations was observed if the guide height was increased, the largest momentary deviation being 3 dB for a rectangular 7.1 by 7.1 millimeter feed. Changes in the guide width had a monotone effect up to 3 dB at 90/spl deg/ offset. Very small feed aperture sizes, around /spl lambda//4 or less, did not show respective widening of 1 dB patterns, although such expected effects were visible at lower amplitude levels.