CONTRIBUTION OF PRIOR KNOWLEDGE TO PROBABILISTIC PREDICTION OF FAMINE

The contribution of prior knowledge in prediction of change in food crop prices using ordinary linear regression (OLR) and Gaussian process (GP) based on a probabilistic approach in famine predictions was established in this study. Prior information was obtained from previous results and incorporated into a new dataset. For GP, both approaches incorporating weight-space view and function-space view were applied and results compared. The function-space view produced a more suitable model than the weight-space view and OLR. Probabilistic inference showed better famine prediction accuracy than the conventional inference approach. Addition of prior information into the prediction framework improved prediction. It is recommended that in addition to the developed model, further modeling should be carried out to include the effects of variables such as bumper harvest, availability of inexpensive alternative foodstuffs for consumption, imported foodstuffs to remedy famine, effect of neighborhood price, and cross-border trade.     

Potato gun ocular injury

PURPOSE: This study aimed to identify a dangerous new weapon capable of causing damage to the ocular and periocular regions. METHODS: The authors report two patients who had penetrating ocular injury in the past year because of homemade recreational potato guns. RESULTS: In one 14-year-old boy, projectiles from the firing of a potato gun resulted in orbital and cranial injuries that were life threatening with widespread fractures, marked disruption of facial structures, a cerebrospinal fluid fistula requiring bifrontal surgical repair, and loss of one eye. In a separate accident with a different potato gun, a 14-year-old boy who was wearing glasses at the time of injury had a sight-threatening perforating corneal laceration. CONCLUSION: Practitioners must be aware of the existence of these new, homemade unregulated devices. Information about the use and construction of these guns is widespread on the Internet, but no injuries resulting from these guns currently are documented in the medical literature.     

8-epi PGF2 alpha generation during coronary reperfusion. A potential quantitative marker of oxidant stress in vivo

BACKGROUND: Myocardial reperfusion is believed to be associated with free radical injury. However, indexes of oxidative stress in vivo have been limited by their poor specificity and sensitivity. Isoprostanes are stable products of arachidonic acid formed in a nonenzymatic, free radical-catalyzed manner. We have developed a sensitive and specific assay for one of these compounds, 8-epi prostaglandin (PG) F2 alpha. METHODS AND RESULTS: To address its utility as an index of oxidative stress during coronary reperfusion, we measured urinary levels by gas chromatography/mass spectrometry in a canine model of coronary thrombolysis, in patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with thrombolytic therapy, and in patients after elective coronary artery bypass surgery. Urinary 8-epi PGF2 alpha was unchanged after circumflex artery occlusion in a canine model of coronary thrombolysis (n = 13; 437.2 +/- 56.4 versus 432.7 +/- 55.2 pmol/mmol creatinine) but increased significantly (P < .05) immediately after reperfusion (553.8 +/- 64.7 pmol/mmol). Urinary levels were increased (P < .001) in patients (n = 12) with acute myocardial infarction given lytic therapy (265.8 +/- 40.8 pmol/mmol) compared with age-matched control subjects (n = 20; 91.5 +/- 11.8 pmol/mmol) and patients with stable coronary disease (n = 20; 95.7 +/- 6.3 pmol/mmol). Preoperative levels rose from 113.2 +/- 11.8 to 248.2 +/- 86.3 pmol/mmol at 30 minutes into revascularization to 332.2 +/- 82.6 pmol/mmol by 15 minutes after global myocardial reperfusion (P < .05) and dropped to 181.2 +/- 50.4 pmol/mmol at 30 minutes and 120.2 +/- 9.9 pmol/mmol at 24 hours after bypass surgery (n = 5). Corresponding changes in spin adduct formation, found with electron paramagnetic resonance, were noted in 2 patients. CONCLUSIONS: These data support the hypothesis that free radical generation occurs during myocardial reperfusion. Measurement of isoprostane production may serve as a noninvasive index of oxidative stress.     

Hippocampal atrophy in normal aging. An association with recent memory impairment

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of radiographically detectable hippocampal atrophy (HA) in a normal aging sample and to test whether such atrophy is associated with memory dysfunction. DESIGN: One hundred fifty-four medically healthy and cognitively normal elderly persons (aged 55 to 88 years) received magnetic resonance imaging and/or computed tomographic scans designed to identify HA. One hundred forty-five of these subjects also underwent psychometric tests of memory function. Multivariate analyses of variance were used to evaluate differences in memory performance between subjects with and without HA. SETTING: This study was conducted at a research clinic for the investigation of age-associated neuropsychological and neuroradiologic changes. PARTICIPANTS: Based on the following criteria, 154 subjects were consecutively selected from a larger group of elderly research volunteers participating in a study of normal aging: age of 55 years or greater; Global Deterioration Scale score of 2 or less; and Mini-Mental State examination score of 28 or greater. Subjects with evidence for significant medical, psychiatric, or neurologic disease were excluded. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Outcome measurements included individual psychometric test scores and computed tomographic-magnetic resonance imaging hippocampal atrophy ratings. RESULTS: Nearly 33% of the subjects had radiographic evidence for HA. The prevalence of HA increased significantly with age and was more common in male than female subjects. After controlling for age, level of education, and vocabulary, subjects with HA were found to perform more poorly on tests of recent (secondary) verbal memory when compared with subjects without HA (P < .01). No significant differences were found for tests of immediate (primary) memory. CONCLUSION: We conclude that HA is a common accompaniment of normal aging and is associated with mild memory impairment. Additional research is needed to determine whether HA constitutes a significant risk for future dementia.     

An autoantibody to C1-inhibitor recognizes the reactive center of the inhibitor

Immunohistochemistry was applied to AMeX-fixed sections of twelve cases of gastric carcinoma obtained at surgical resection to explore the occurrence and distribution of fibrin deposits in situ. Fibrinogen was distributed in abundance throughout perivascular zones and in the connective tissue of the tumor stroma. Fibrin II (des-fibrinopeptide B-type fibrin) was easily identified in a direct apposition to the surface membranes of viable carcinoma cells, predominantly at the host-tumor interface and in the regions immediately adjacent to the zones of angiogenesis. Further studies are required to identify the triggers of the coagulation reactions as well as fibrinolytic system components in the gastric cancer tissue.     

The electrophysiological effects of tetraphenylphosphonium on vascular smooth muscle

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether luteal secretion of inhibin-a is altered in the perimenopausal transition and to evaluate whether luteal inhibin secretion is correlated with other markers of ovarian reserve such as FSH and inhibin-b. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: Reproductive Endocrinology Laboratories at The Ohio State University. PATIENT(S): Twenty-five women 39-52 years of age with regular menstrual cycles. INTERVENTION(S): Daily urine samples were monitored (LH predictor kit) to identify the day of ovulation. Blood samples obtained on days 6 and 8 after the LH surge and on day 3 of the subsequent follicular phase were assayed for FSH, E2, progesterone. inhibin-a, and inhibin-b. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Serum levels of inhibin-a, inhibin-b, FSH, E2, and progesterone. RESULT(S): Luteal phase inhibin-a and follicular phase inhibin-b were correlated inversely with age in perimenopausal women. In addition, luteal phase inhibin-a and follicular phase inhibin-b levels were correlated inversely with follicular phase FSH levels. CONCLUSION(S): Both luteal phase inhibin-a and follicular phase inhibin-b levels are correlated inversely with age during the fifth decade of life. These findings suggest that corpus luteum function is altered during the perimenopausal transition. Moreover, these direct measures of ovarian function may be more sensitive indicators of "ovarian reserve" than indirect indicators such as pituitary FSH secretion.     

Metabolism of ricinoleate by Neurospora crassa

BACKGROUND: From January 1993 to December 1994, we conducted a prospective study to investigate the evolutionary change of rebleeding risk in bleeding peptic ulcers. To obviate possible confounding factors that would influence decision making for discharge of patients, subjects with coexistent acute illnesses, systemic bleeding disorders, alcoholism, and use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were excluded. METHODS: Emergency endoscopies were performed in patients with hematemesis or a melena within 24 hours of admission. Ulcer lesions were divided into six categories according to endoscopic findings. The residual risks of rebleeding of each type of ulcers were calculated for 10 days, and the critical point of acceptable rebleeding risk after discharge was set at 3%. RESULTS: Three hundred ninety-two patients with bleeding peptic ulcers completed the study. The ulcers, characterized by clean bases, red or black spots, adherent clots, nonbleeding visible vessels without local therapy, nonbleeding visible vessels with local therapy, and bleeding visible vessels with local therapy took 0, 3, 3, 4, 4, and 3 days, respectively, to decrease rebleeding risk to below the critical point. All episodes of fatal rebleeding (n = 4) occurred within 24 hours after admission. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with clean-based ulcers can be discharged in the first day of admission. The optimal duration required for hospitalization of patients with ulcers characterized by nonbleeding visible vessels at initial endoscopy is 4 days. The remaining patients with ulcers marked by other bleeding stigmata may be discharged after a 3-day observation.     

Effect of thapsigargin on calcium homeostasis in Trypanosoma cruzi trypomastigotes and epimastigotes

By using the fluorescent calcium indicator fura-2, it was found that the concentration of free Ca2+ in the cytoplasm of Trypanosoma cruzi trypomastigotes incubated in the presence or absence of external calcium was maintained at very low levels (10-20 nM). When trypomastigotes were incubated in the presence of succinate and ATP and permeabilized with digitonin, they lowered the medium calcium concentration to a submicromolar level. In the presence of 1 microM FCCP the initial rate of Ca2+ sequestration by these permeabilized cells was very slow. When succinate alone was present, the initial rate of Ca2+ accumulation was slower than with ATP plus succinate, and the calcium set point was about 0.6 microM. The succinate dependence and FCCP sensitivity of the later Ca2+ uptake indicate that it may be exerted by the mitochondria. High concentrations of the tumor promoter thapsigargin slightly increased cytosolic Ca2+ in the presence of extracellular Ca2+ but had no effect on the FCCP- and oligomycin/antimycin A-insensitive Ca2+ pool. In addition, when used at those concentrations (4-20 microM), thapsigargin was shown to release Ca2+ from the mitochondria and to decrease the inner mitochondrial membrane potential of trypomastigotes and epimastigotes as measured using safranine O. Despite the presence of inositol phosphates as determined by [3H]inositol incorporation, no IP3-sensitive Ca2+ release could be detected in trypomastigotes.