On the use of confidence levels in risk management

A framework for incorporating uncertainty in risk management is developed and applied to two aspects of decision making: meeting standards or safety goals, and cost-benefit criteria. The framework is applied to several case studies including toxic chemicals in water, failure of civil engineering structures and nuclear power plants. The framework proposes that decisions be based on a level of confidence, in addition to comparing best estimate or point values with standards and goals.     

Effects of aging and schedules of knowledge of results on motor learning

Little research has been conducted on aging and the learning of motor skills. In this study, we examined the effects of different schedules of knowledge of results (KR) on the acquisition and retention of a movement timing task by young adults (20-23 years) and older adults (60-82 years). The results indicated that there were differences between young and older adults in the accuracy and consistency of motor performance when KR was provided. Accuracy effects persisted during a retention interval when KR was no longer provided, although there were no differences in variability. There were no interactions of age with any of the KR-related variables. These findings suggest that the ability to process KR, and the effects of KR on motor learning, are similar in young and older adults. These findings are discussed in terms of age-related issues in movement control and learning processes.     

Resistance to vasopressin action on the kidney in patients with Cushing's disease

OBJECTIVE: To assess the plasma levels and action of arginine vasopressin (AVP) in patients with Cushing's disease. There are many reports that patients with Addison's disease have increased AVP levels associated with hyponatraemia and hypoosmolality, but none on the dynamics of secretion of this neurohormone during osmolality-based stimulation in patients with chronic hypercortisolism. DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: The plasma AVP concentration and the urinary and plasma osmolality after a 7.5-h water deprivation test (WDT) were evaluated in 13 patients with Cushing's disease and 15 normal (control) individuals. In patients with Cushing's disease we also assessed the urinary osmolality in response to 10 micrograms i.v. desmopressin (DDAVP) administered at the end of the WDT. RESULTS: At the end of the WDT, urinary osmolality was significantly lower in patients with Cushing's disease (511.5 +/- 148.5 mOsm/l) than in the normal subjects (981.1 +/- 107.1 mOsm/l, P < 0.001), whereas plasma osmolality did not differ between the two groups. Consequently, the urine/plasma osmolality ratio (Uosm/Posm) was lower in patients with Cushing's disease than in normal individuals (1.8 +/- 0.5 compared with 3.4 +/- 0.4, P < 0.001). The AVP concentration also was greater (7.3 +/- 3.1 pmol/l) in those with Cushing's disease than in the controls (3.9 +/- 2.3 pmol/l, P < 0.005). After administration of DDAVP to the hypercortisolaemic patients, the urinary osmolality attained (718.0 +/- 200.0 mOsm/l) was still lower than that in the normal group at the end of WDT (P < 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with Cushing's disease presented higher AVP levels and smaller Uosm/Posm ratios than normal subjects. After DDAVP, the patients with Cushing's disease were unable to concentrate the urine adequately. These data suggest that the kidney shows resistance to the action of both endogenous and exogenous AVP in patients with Cushing's disease.     

T cell response to two immunodominant proteolipid protein (PLP) peptides in multiple sclerosis patients and healthy controls

Despite the fact that the neuroleptic drugs have been widely used for more than 40 years, one of their most common side-effects, akathisia, has been relatively neglected. There are still no universally agreed diagnostic criteria for akathisia, particularly chronic akathisia, and in this review article, we discuss the controversies surrounding the voluntary nature of its motor features and the importance of the dysphoric component. We also review the published epidemiological studies to show the great variation in frequency of occurrence. Finally, we discuss the possible neurotransmitters involved in the pathophysiology and treatment of this condition.     

Breast cancer screening of the medically underserved: results and implications

Socioeconomic status is the most significant factor influencing the decreased survival associated with breast cancer in minority groups in the United States. Barriers to the use of early detection programs by low-income women often result in the detection of breast cancer at stages too advanced to assure optimum outcomes. In an effort to increase accessibility of breast cancer screening among such individuals, the Early Detection Program (EDP) was initiated in 1987. The program provided breast cancer screening to women 40 years of age and older who attended eight primary healthcare centers located in low-income neighborhoods throughout Dade County, Florida. From its inception in October 1987 through December 1993, 23,866 medically underserved women had mammography examinations, with more than 17,000 of these women undergoing baseline mammograms. Since the program's inception, 126 cancers were diagnosed in 123 women. A dramatic shift from later to earlier stage breast cancers was observed. These results warrant a greater inclusion of medically underserved and lower socioeconomic status women in screening programs for the early detection of breast cancer.