Prior assessments for bands of probability measures: Empirical bayes analysis

Summary A useful non-parametric class of priors is formed as those probability measures which lie between an upper and a lower measure and it is called a Wand of probability measures Lavine (1991), Moreno and Pericchi (1991), Wasserman and Kadane (1992). This class allows considerable freedom in tail behaviour as long as the upper and lower measures have different tails. This property is inherited from the class of Interval of measures DeRobertis and Hartigan (1981), from which the Band of probability measures class is obtained by restricting attention to those measures that integrate to one, Although the analysis of this restricted class is somewhat more involved, the restriction is quite natural and may lead to robustness in situations in which the larger class is not robust. In fact, it is a generalization of the class implicitly considered by Edwards, Lindman and Savage (1963) in “Precise Measurement Theory”. An empirical analysis is performed with the two classes above. That is, we choose within a class of priors that measure which maximizes the probability of the actual data Good (1983). This “optimal” measure is used in this robust Bayesian context to assess the band of probability measures.     

Possible role of an adrenal parasite reservoir in the pathogenesis of chronic Trypanosoma cruzi myocarditis

A non-parametric estimator of the AIDS survival time (after developing AIDS) is computed for the AIDS data set from the US Air Force (USAF). Survival times are unobservable. They are censored by the screening mechanism. The Armstrong Laboratory's Epidemiologic Research Division maintains data on over 954 active duty US Air Force (USAF) individuals who tested positive for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antibodies. Many have been clinically evaluated seven times since 1986. The HIV-positive individual is classified in seven stages of the disease complex as time progresses. Exact times of transition from one stage to the next are unknown. It is known that transition occurred between two consecutive evaluations. The aim of this study is to analyse distributions of the times that individuals spend in each stage of the HIV disease complex. We will discuss methods used to obtain non-parametric estimators of the distribution of times that individuals spend in stage 6. Finally, it is hoped to model the median time spent in each stage of the disease. This, along with incidence and separation data, will allow the prediction of the impact of HIV disease on USAF individuals and medical care systems.     

Comparative evaluation of macrodilution and alamar colorimetric microdilution broth methods for antifungal susceptibility testing of yeast isolates

A comparative evaluation of the macrodilution method and the Alamar colorimetric method for the susceptibility testing of amphotericin B, fluconazole, and flucytosine was conducted with 134 pathogenic yeasts. The clinical isolates included 28 Candida albicans, 17 Candida tropicalis, 15 Candida parapsilosis, 12 Candida krusei, 10 Candida lusitaniae, 9 Candida guilliermondii, 18 Torulopsis glabrata, and 25 Cryptococcus neoformans isolates. The macrodilution method was performed and interpreted according to the recommendations of the National Committee for Clinical Laboratory Standards (document M27-P), and the Alamar colorimetric method was performed according to the manufacturer's instructions. For the Alamar colorimetric method, MICs were determined at 24 and 48 h of incubation for Candida species and T. glabrata and at 48 and 72 h of incubation for C. neoformans. The overall agreement within +/- 1 dilution for Candida species and T. glabrata against the three antifungal agents was generally good, with the values for amphotericin B, fluconazole, and flucytosine being 85.3, 77.9, and 86.2%, respectively, at the 24-h readings and 69.3, 65.2, and 97.2%, respectively, at the 48-h readings. Most disagreement was noted with fluconazole against C. tropicalis and T. glabrata. Our studies indicate that determination of MICs at 24 h by the Alamar colorimetric method is a valid alternate method for testing amphotericin B, fluconazole, and flucytosine against Candida species but not for testing fluconazole against C. tropicalis and T. glabrata. For flucytosine, much better agreement can be demonstrated against Candida species and T. glabrata at the 48-h readings by the Alamar method. Excellent agreement within +/- dilution can also be observed for amphotericin B, fluconazole, and flucytosine (80, 96, and 96%, respectively) against c. neoformans when the MICs were determined at 72 h by the Alamar method.     

Amniotic fluid lipid profiles: a rapid gas chromatographic method

The lipid extract of amniotic fluid has been analysed for the important fatty acids derived mainly from the lecithin component of lung surfactant. Using gas-liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry, these fatty acids have been identified. A positive correlation between certain lipid profiles and lack of lung surfactant with its associated respiratory problems for the newborn infant has been demonstrated.     

Effect of non-catecholic 2-aminotetralin derivatives on dopamine metabolism in the rat striatum

The concentrations of dopamine (DA), dihydroxyphenylacetic acid (DOPAC) and homovanillic acid (HVA) were measured in the striatum of rats after i.p. injection of dipropyl-2-aminotetralin and the four positional isomers of monohydroxy-dipropyl-2-aminotetralin. All compounds except 8-OH dipropylaminotetralin caused a decrease in DOPAC- and HVA-concentrations. In addition, 5-OH-dipropylaminotetralin produced a small elevation in DA concentrations. In contrast, 7-OH dipropylaminotetralin, in doses of 100 mumol/kg and more, decreased DA to 50% and initially increased HVA and DOPAC to about 200%, after which the concentrations of the metabolites fell to 30% or less. The 5-OH isomer was found to be the most potent compound, decreasing HVA concentrations to 70% at a dose of 0.14 mumol/kg. The potencies are compared to those of catechol-group containing DA-agonists such as apomorphine and N,N-dipropyl-5,6-dihydroxy-2-aminotetralin. In addition, a comparison is made with reported behavioural data. It is suggested that the more active N-alkylated 2-aminotetralins have a conformation which corresponds to that of the alpha rotamer of dopamine.