Young children''s understanding of pretense expressions of independent agency

Data from the Cancer Registry of Slovenia were used in a cohort study to determine whether the incidence of second primary cancers in patients with first primary breast cancer differs from the incidence expected in the general population. Special interest was given to long-term survivors. The expected numbers of second primary cancers were calculated by multiplying the number of appropriate person-years at risk by the corresponding age- and calendar-period-specific cancer incidence rates for women in Slovenia. The risk of a second primary cancer was expressed as the standardized incidence ratio (SIR). Of the 8,917 patients newly diagnosed in the period 1961-85 and followed-up to the end of 1994, 547 (6.2 percent) developed second primary cancers, whereas 410 (4.7 percent) were expected (SIR = 1.3, 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 1.2-1.4). The risk was higher among younger patients. In long-term survivors, the risk was increased significantly for second primary cancer of the breast (SIR = 1.4, CI = 1.1-1.7), lung cancer (SIR = 1.6, CI = 1.1-2.3), melanoma (SIR = 2.7, CI = 1.5-4.4) and non-melanoma skin cancers(SIR = 2.0, CI = 1.6-2.4), corpus uteri cancer(SIR = 1.6, CI = 1.2-2.1), ovarian cancer(SIR = 2.3, CI = 1.7-3.0), and thyroid cancer (SIR = 2.5, CI = 1.2-4.6). Our results confirm the findings of several cohort studies carried out in Europe, the United States, and Japan, indicating that breast cancer patients should be monitored carefully for the occurrence of second primary cancers.     

Optimal Locations of Groundwater Extractions in Coastal Aquifers

A regional water supply management model for coastal aquifers was developed. One of its outcomes is the definition of the optimized locations for groundwater withdrawal. Such a tool permits the analysis of alternative plans for groundwater extraction and the sustainable use of water resources in a coastal aquifer subject to saltwater intrusion. The principal components are the evolutionary optimization and the analytical/numerical simulation models. The optimization technique looks for the best well locations taking into consideration the economic results and the satisfaction of the societal water demand. However these two concerns are conditioned by trying to control the saltwater intrusion, i.e., preserving the environmental equilibrium. The simulation model uses the governing mathematical equations for groundwater movement to find the interface between freshwater and saltwater. Because of the non-linearity in the system and the possibility of a jumping interface, a security distance was defined. This is a controlling variable which can be set by the decision makers. The model was applied to a typical case with interesting results. For example, diagrams showing the relationship between the location of the wells and the security distance(s) are of importance to the managers. It was also crucial to have an understanding of the tradeoffs between groundwater withdrawals, positions of the wells from the coast line, and the security distance. The model was also applied to a real case in order to relate the extractions, distances and artificial recharge (not presented in this paper).     

同马大堤施工裂缝情况下的堤坡稳定性分析

 在同马大堤一标段防渗墙施工过程中，堤身出现规模不等的裂缝。介绍了堤身存在裂缝情况下，汛期水位骤降时堤防迎水坡抗滑稳定性的计算过程。重点探讨了堤坡稳定分析中工况选择、计算参数选取和强度参数敏感性分析的思路和依据。研究结果为裂缝的工程处理提供了依据。