Should we be surprised at expert system success ?

Abstract. Expert systems proliferate. They are now a usable and used tool in a variety of organizations. However, little research has been undertaken on the quantification of success or failure of expert system projects. By and large the only test carried out for expert system validation is one of comparison of the conclusions of the system with those of an expert or team of experts. While questioning the validity, this paper accepts that this method is being used and analyses whether or not the results obtained from this type of test should be a surprise. That is, what sort of results should be expected and to what extent do the reported ones live up to these expectations? Earlier research from the field of human information processing casts doubts on the success claims made for current expert systems. The implications of this research are then analysed in order to explore the possible redeeming features of expert systems which are not taken into account in such comparisons. The use of linear models as comparators for expert systems may prove beneficial.     

Dental evidence for the peopling of the New World: some methodological considerations

Turner (1985b) and Greenberg et al. (1986) proposed that New World populations originated in northern Asia and entered the Americas in three migratory waves: Macro-Indian, Aleut-Eskimo, and Na-Dene. Biological support for this model comes from Turner's unweighted pair group (UPGMA) cluster analysis of discrete dental traits in world populations. Unfortunately, UPGMA analysis often creates suspect clusters and may not be valid as a method for displaying evolutionary relationships because it assumes that rates of evolution are equal among all populations. To test whether Turner's results are an artifact of his analytical method, I analyzed his published data (Turner 1985b) using two alternative techniques that do not assume homogeneous rates of change: a Wagner distance algorithm employing the Fitch-Margoliash criterion for goodness of fit and a maximum parsimony analysis using segment-coded dental trait frequencies. Both alternative methods produce trees that are similar to the UPGMA analysis results, supporting Turner's original results and basic conclusions. Comparisons of tree topology demonstrate that there is strong congruence between trees produced by all three methods, although the placement of certain populations, such as Na-Dene, depends on the method of analysis employed.     

The impact of III-V semiconductors on microelectromechanicalsystems

This article examines the special features of the III-V semiconductors, such as gallium arsenide and chemically related compounds, which make them an attractive alternative to silicon-based technology in the field of microelectromechanical systems. As in conventional electronic systems, it is not expected that the III-V compounds will become exclusively used in all instances, but rather a substantial niche market-exploiting the special advantages of the compound semiconductors-is likely to be established     

Envelope glycoprotein gp120 of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 alters ion transport in astrocytes: implications for AIDS dementia complex

Infection by human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) is often complicated by a variety of neurological abnormalities. The most common clinical syndrome, termed acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) dementia complex, presents as a subcortical dementia with cognitive, motor, and behavioral disturbances and is unique to HIV-1 infection. The pathogenesis of this syndrome is poorly understood but is believed to involve interactions among virally infected macrophages/microglia, astrocytes, and neurons. In this study, we show that exposure of primary rat and human astrocytes to heat-activated HIV-1 virions, or to eukaryotically expressed HIV-1 and HIV-2 envelope glycoproteins (gp120) stimulates amiloride-sensitive Na+/H+ antiport, potassium conductance, and glutamate efflux. These effects are blocked specifically by amiloride, an inhibitor of Na+/H+ antiport and by the selective removal of gp120 with immobilized monoclonal antibody. As a result of modulation of astrocytic function by gp120, the ensuing neuronal depolarization and glutamate exposure could activate both voltage-gated and N-methyl-D-aspartate-regulated Ca2+ channels, leading to increases in intraneuronal Ca2+ and neuronal death. These findings implicate the astrocyte directly in the pathogenesis of AIDS dementia complex.     

An investigation of sex discrimination in recruiters' evaluations of actual applicants.

This study investigated whether sex discrimination existed in recruiters' evaluations of applicants in real employment interviews and, if so, whether other variables could explain it. The variables examined were the perceived similarity of the applicant to the recruiter, the interpersonal attraction felt by the recruiter toward the applicant, and the applicant's objectively measured and subjectively measured qualifications. Applicant sex did not directly or indirectly affect recruiters' evaluations of applicants in campus interviews, providing no evidence of sex discrimination. Instead, subjective qualifications had a significant effect on evaluations and also mediated the effects of perceived similarity, interpersonal attraction, and objective qualifications on evaluations. Recruiters saw stronger subjective qualifications in applicants with high scholastic performance whom they viewed as similar to themselves and whom they liked. Perceptions of these qualifications, in turn, were the primary determinant of evaluations. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)