Confidence of compliance: a Bayesian approach for percentile standards

Rules for assessing compliance with percentile standards commonly limit the number of exceedances permitted in a batch of samples taken over a defined assessment period. Such rules are commonly developed using classical statistical methods. Results from alternative Bayesian methods are presented (using beta-distributed prior information and a binomial likelihood), resulting in "confidence of compliance" graphs. These allow simple reading of the consumer's risk and the supplier's risks for any proposed rule. The influence of the prior assumptions required by the Bayesian technique on the confidence results is demonstrated, using two reference priors (uniform and Jeffreys') and also using optimistic and pessimistic user-defined priors. All four give less pessimistic results than does the classical technique, because interpreting classical results as "confidence of compliance" actually invokes a Bayesian approach with an extreme prior distribution. Jeffreys' prior is shown to be the most generally appropriate choice of prior distribution. Cost savings can be expected using rules based on this approach.     

The effect of ground leases on house prices in Helsinki

One imperfection in housing markets is imperfect knowledge about legal interests such as ground leases. Both actual reduced legal interest as well as uncertainty surrounding rights and future lease payments for houses constructed on leased land may affect prices relative to houses built on freehold land. We use regression analysis of sales prices of condominium transactions in Helsinki to examine the effect ground leases have on house prices. We find that prices on condominiums constructed on leased lots are discounted at least 5 %, on average. In addition, we see that the announcement of potentially large increases in base rents upon renewal contributes to the discount.     

Intestinal disappearance and mesenteric and portal appearance of amino acids in dairy cows fed ruminally protected methionine

An experiment was conducted to compare the rates of disappearance of amino acids (AA) from the small intestine and their net appearance in the blood draining only the small intestine (mesenteric-drained viscera) and the whole gastrointestinal tract (portal-drained viscera) of cows fed a silage-based diet supplemented or not with ruminally protected Met. Five lactating dairy cows (118+/-4 DIM) equipped with duodenal and ileal cannulae (n = 2) or a duodenal cannula only (n = 3), two of which were multicatheterized, were fed a TMR top dressed with 0 or 72 g of ruminally protected Met per day. The addition of ruminally protected Met to the diet increased the duodenal flux of Met leading to a higher apparent digestibility of Met in the small intestine. Sixty-six percent of Met from ruminally protected Met bypassed the rumen and 82% of that Met disappeared from the small intestine. Arterial plasma Met concentrations numerically increased with ruminally protected Met (45 vs. 18 microM), while total AA concentration decreased. Feeding ruminally protected Met resulted in higher concentrations of urea-N and glucose in arterial plasma. Milk production and milk composition were unaffected. The disappearance of essential AA across the small intestine was equivalent (101%) to their flux through the mesenteric-drained viscera while the portal:mesenteric-drained viscera flux ratio for each essential AA varied from 38% for Thr to 76% for Phe. The portal:mesenteric-drained viscera flux ratio for Met was 66%. These results confirm observations made with pigs and sheep.     

Effect of frequency of feed delivery on the behavior and productivity of lactating dairy cows

The objective of this study was to determine the effect of feed delivery frequency on the behavioral patterns and productivity of lactating dairy cows. Twelve freestall-housed, lactating Holstein dairy cows, including 6 primiparous (PP) and 6 multiparous (MP), milked 3×/d (at 1400, 2200, and 0600h), were exposed to each of 3 treatments (over 21-d periods) in a replicated Latin square design. Treatments included feed delivery frequency of (1) 1×/d (at 1400 h), (2) 2×/d (at 1400 and 2200 h), and (3) 3×/d (at 1400, 2200, and 0600 h). Milk production as well as feeding, lying, and rumination behaviors were electronically monitored for each animal for the last 7 d of each treatment period. Milk samples were collected for the last 3 d of each period for milk component analysis. Dry matter intake (DMI) varied with feed delivery frequency, with greatest DMI observed in cows fed 3×/d (27.8 kg/d) compared with those fed 2×/d (27.0 kg/d) or 1×/d (27.4 kg/d). Treatment had no effect on milk yield (41.3 kg/d) or efficiency of production (1.54 kg of milk/kg of DMI). Cows that did not receive delivery of feed following the 2200 h milking (treatment 1) and 0600 h milking (treatments 1 and 2) had lower DMI during the first hour after milking than those that received feed at all milkings (treatment 3). Total feeding time and meal frequency, size, and duration did not vary by treatment, but PP cows consumed smaller meals at a slower rate, resulting in lower DMI compared with MP cows. Primiparous cows consumed 50.1% and 26.1% less dry matter than MP cows during the first meal following the first and second milkings, respectively. Lying time did not vary by treatment, but PP cows spent more time lying (10.3 vs. 8.3 h/d) than MP cows. Under 3×/d milking schedules, greater feed delivery frequency resulted in greater DMI as a function of increased DMI following the return from milking and the delivery of feed.     

Prevalence of Campylobacter and Salmonella in raw chicken on retail sale in the republic of Ireland

To assess the current risks to consumers from Campylobacter and Salmonella in raw chicken products sold in the Republic of Ireland, a retail survey was undertaken to define their prevalence. Samples (n = 510) were analyzed using protocols based on ISO 10272-1:2006 and ISO 6579:2002. Processor codes on pack labels showed that 67% of samples were produced in the Republic of Ireland and 25% in the United Kingdom. Salmonella was present in 5.1% of samples, but the eight serovars found caused less than 7% of human salmonellosis reported in the Republic of Ireland. The results suggest that on-farm controls to limit Salmonella infection of broilers have been successful and that in Ireland raw chicken is not a significant cause of salmonellosis in humans. The overall prevalence of Campylobacter spp. was 84.3%. Isolation by the ISO method found 52.7% of samples to be positive, but overgrowth by contaminants was frequently evident. Therefore, in addition to enrichment, an homogenized sample was plated directly onto modified charcoal cefoperazone deoxycholate agar, and this detected a further 31.6%. Speciation of isolates (n = 426) determined that 67% were Campylobacter jejuni and 32% were Campylobacter coli. These species are the most common cause of campylobacteriosis in man. The results indicate that there is a need for poultry producers to introduce interventions to minimize the exposure of consumers in the Republic of Ireland to Campylobacter spp., as has been successfully done for Salmonella.     

Forgetting rates are comparable in conscious and automatic memory: A process-dissociation study.

The forgetting functions for conscious and automatic components of memory were evaluated in 2 stem completion experiments with retention delays ranging from 1 to 70 min. L. L. Jacoby's (1991) process-dissociation equations were used to estimate conscious and unconscious memory. Two guessing-elaborated multinomial models of process dissociation as well as a generate-source model were also evaluated. Different levels of processing produced differing levels of initial availability. However, the form and rate of forgetting did not differ for conscious and automatic memory estimates under any model. The results are consistent qualitatively and quantitatively with findings (D. M. McBride & B. A. Dosher, 1997) on forgetting in implicit stem completion and explicit stem-cued recall. Either conscious and automatic memory reflect different systems with very similar forgetting characteristics, or they reflect different types of information in a common memory store. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Type B CTD Proteins Secreted by the Type IX Secretion System Associate with PorP-like Proteins for Cell Surface Anchorage

The Bacteroidetes type IX secretion system (T9SS) consists of at least 20 components that translocate proteins with type A or type B C-terminal domain (CTD) signals across the outer membrane (OM). While type A CTD proteins are anchored to the cell surface via covalent linkage to the anionic lipopolysaccharide, it is still unclear how type B CTD proteins are anchored to the cell surface. Moreover, very little is known about the PorE and PorP components of the T9SS. In this study, for the first time, we identified a complex comprising the OM β-barrel protein PorP, the OM-associated periplasmic protein PorE and the type B CTD protein PG1035. Cross-linking studies supported direct interactions between PorE-PorP and PorP-PG1035. Furthermore, we show that the formation of the PorE-PorP-PG1035 complex was independent of PorU and PorV. Additionally, the Flavobacterium johnsoniae PorP-like protein, SprF, was found bound to the major gliding motility adhesin, SprB, which is also a type B CTD protein. Together, these results suggest that type B-CTD proteins may anchor to the cell surface by binding to their respective PorP-like proteins.     

Synthesis and characterization of core∕shell Fe(3)O(4)∕ZnSe fluorescent magnetic nanoparticles

We report on the successful preparation and characterization of fluorescent magnetic core∕shell Fe(3)O(4)∕ZnSe nanoparticles (NPs) with a spherical shape by organometallic synthesis. The 7 nm core∕3 nm shell NPs show good magnetic and photoluminescence (PL) responses. The observed PL emission∕excitation spectra are shifted to shorter wavelengths, compared to a reference ZnSe NP sample. A dramatic reduction of PL quantum yield is also observed. The temperature dependence of the magnetization for the core∕shell NPs shows the characteristic features of two coexisting and interacting magnetic (Fe(3)O(4)) and nonmagnetic (ZnSe) phases. Compared to a reference Fe(3)O(4) NP sample, the room-temperature Néel relaxation time in core∕shell NPs is three times longer.     

Multiplexed detection of antibodies to nonstructural proteins of foot-and-mouth disease virus

Liquid array technology was used to develop a multiplexed assay for the detection of antibodies to viral nonstructural proteins (NSPs), raised in cattle in response to infection with foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) virus. Two assays, one based on recombinant NSPs and the other on synthetically produced peptides, were developed and compared side-by-side. Serum samples from serial bleeds of cattle, each experimentally infected with one of the seven serotypes (C, A, O, Asia, SAT1, SAT2, SAT3) of FMD virus were analyzed. A distinct pattern in the detection of NSP antibodies and a close correlation of the recombinant protein and peptide-based assays were observed. The detection of antibodies to NSPs is a method to differentiate FMD-infected and FMD-vaccinated animals, and a high-throughput assay would be an invaluable tool in the case of an outbreak of FMD in North America, when emergency vaccination may be utilized to spare vaccinated, noninfected animals from slaughter and subsequent disposal.