Reliability analysis in wind turbine engineering

Wind turbines are being designed in accordance with deterministic design rules. As wind turbines increase in size and power, these rules may not be adequate to ascertain a safe and well balanced design. Wind turbine industry can take advantage of the safety and reliability practices in e.g. aerospace, nuclear and offshore industry. These practices include System Reliability (such as FMECA, Event Sequence Analysis and Fault Tree Analysis) and Structural Reliability methods. The approach to introduce Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) which incorporates these reliability methods into wind turbine engineering will be described. By means of two recent case studies, the applicability, benefits, and limitations of these methods will be illustrated.     

Temporary results only in electroconvulsive therapy in therapy-resistant depression; retrospective study

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the use and efficacy of electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) in refractory major depression according to DSM-III-R criteria, and to look for factors predicting response in the acute phase and the occurrence of relapse or recurrence after recovery. DESIGN: Retrospective. SETTING: University Hospital Rotterdam, The Netherlands. METHODS: Of all patients who received ECT between January 1988 and July 1993 data were collected by study of clinical records and of information by treating physicians after discharge. Every patient was visited once, or received an outpatient department appointment, to obtain informed consent, take a follow-up history and evaluate social functioning by scoring Global Assessment of Functioning and Sickness Impact Profile rating scales. RESULTS: 35 patients received ECT. In clinical practice, the guidelines of the Netherlands Psychiatric Association were not violated; most patients had received adequate pharmacological pretreatment before the decision to start ECT was made. Two patients died in hospital (not from ECT). In the acute phase 25 of the 33 patients still alive upon discharge showed good recovery. Seven of these suffered relapse within six months. The number of patients with a return of depressive symptoms rose to 12 by the end of the first year of follow-up. Sociodemographic variables and treatment characteristics did not appear to influence the result of treatment in the acute phase, nor the occurrence of relapse or recurrence. With less intensive pre- and post-ECT drug treatment the chances of relapse were increased. CONCLUSIONS: ECT is an effective treatment in the acute phase of a depression. Results after a longer period of follow-up are less satisfactory.     

Synthesis, estrogen receptor binding, and tissue distribution of a new iodovinylestradiol derivative (17alpha,20E)-21-[123I]Iodo-11beta-nitrato-19-norp regna-1,3,5 (10),20-tetraene-3,17-diol (E-[123I]NIVE)

We have synthesized and evaluated E-11beta-nitrato-17alpha-iodovinylestradiol (E-NIVE; E-3c) and its 123I-labelled form, as a new potential radioligand for imaging of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive human breast tumors. E-[123I]NIVE was prepared by stereospecific iododestannylation of the E-tri-n-butylstannylvinyl precursor (E-2c), obtained from reaction of 11beta-nitrato-estrone (8) with E-tributylstannylvinyllithium. In competitive binding studies, E-NIVE proved to have high binding affinity for both the rat and the human ER (Ki 280-730 pM), without significant binding to human sex hormone binding globulin. Distribution studies in normal and mammary tumor-bearing rats showed specific ER-mediated uptake of E-[123I]NIVE in the estrogen target tissues, i.e., uterus, ovaries, pituitary, and hypothalamus, but not in the mammary tumors. Selective retention in these target tissues, including tumor tissue, resulted in significant increases over time for the target tissue-to-muscle uptake ratios, but not for the target tissue-to-fat uptake ratios. The tumor-to-fat uptake ratio even appeared constantly below 1. In the primary estrogen target tissues, E-[123I]NIVE displayed high specific ER-mediated uptake and retention, which resulted in moderate target-to-nontarget tissue uptake ratios. In contrast, in tumor tissue, E-[123I]NIVE uptake appeared to be rather low and not ER-specific. As a consequence, E-[123I]NIVE appears to be a less favorable radioligand for ER imaging in breast cancer than the previously studied stereoisomers of 11beta-methoxy-17alpha-[123I]iodovinylestradiol (E- and Z-[123I]MIVE; [123I]E- and [123I]Z-3b).     

Visual, cognitive, and neurodevelopmental outcome at 51/2 years in children with perinatal haemorrhagic-ischaemic brain lesions

To determine predictive values of early visual and neurocognitive assessment in children with perinatally acquired haemorrhagic or ischaemic brain lesions selected on the basis of ultrasound, 63 children (37 boys, 26 girls), who had been followed and examined until the age of 18 months, were reexamined at 5 1/2 years. Good correlations between visual and neurodevelopmental assessments at 18 months and at 5 1/2 years were found. When ultrasound abnormalities were combined with early visual and neurocognitive assessment data, good predictive values, especially for the group of children who had grade 2 to 4 leukomalacia, were found for visual acuity and neurodevelopment.     

alpha B-crystallin and hsp25 in neonatal cardiac cells--differences in cellular localization under stress conditions

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine (a) whether delay in femur fracture stabilization beyond twenty-four hours in patients with head injury increased the risk of pulmonary complications and (b) whether immediate (up to twenty-four hours) femur fracture stabilization increased the risk of central nervous system (CNS) complications. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-two patients with femur fracture and head injury were identified. Fourteen underwent immediate stabilization of their fractures, and eighteen underwent delayed (four-teen patients) or no (four patients) stabilization of their fractures. RESULTS: In the immediate stabilization group, five patients had severe head injuries [Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) < or = 8] and nine had mild head injuries (GCS > 8). In the mild head injury group, no patient had a pulmonary complication and one had a CNS complication. In the severely head-injured group, one patient had a pulmonary complication and no patient had a CNS complication. In the delayed stabilization group, six patients had mild head injuries (GCS > 8) and twelve had severe head injuries (GCS < or = 8). In the mildly head injured group, one patient had a pulmonary complication, two patients had CNS complications, and one patient died. In the severely head injured group, nine patients had pulmonary complications, three patients had CNS complications, and one patient died. Logistic regression identified delay in femur stabilization as the strongest predictor of pulmonary complication (p = 0.0042), followed by severity of chest Abbreviated Injury Score (AIS; p = 0.0057) and head AIS (p = 0.0133). Delaying fracture stabilization made pulmonary complications forty-five times more likely. Each point increase in the chest AIS and head/neck AIS increased the risk of pulmonary complication by 300 percent and 500 percent, respectively. A statistically significant predictor of CNS complications could not be identified by using logistic regression. CONCLUSION: Delay in stabilization of femur fracture in head-injured patients appears to increase the risk of pulmonary complications. However, due to selection bias in this patient sample, this question cannot be definitively answered. Early fracture stabilization did not increase the prevalence of CNS complications.     

The role of type III collagen in spontaneous cervical arterial dissections

OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy of lymphadenectomy after nephroureterectomy in patients with transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the upper urinary tract. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between January 1986 and December 1995, 72 patients (mean age 67 years, range 45-82) underwent nephroureterectomy for primary TCC of the upper urinary tract. In 35 patients, a lymphadenectomy was also performed. The clinicopathological data were analysed retrospectively, focusing on the significance of lymphadenectomy. RESULTS: Lymph vessel invasion was found in 28 patients and its incidence was closely correlated with both tumour grade and pathological stage. Of the 35 patients who underwent lymphadenectomy, lymph node metastases were found in 13 patients, all of whom had lymph vessel invasion. There was no significant difference in the survival rate between patients with and without lymphadenectomy; however, among the 44 patients with no lymph vessel invasion, the survival rate of those with lymphadenectomy was significantly higher than in those without (P<0.05). CONCLUSION: Lymphadenectomy may provide a therapeutic advantage in patients with upper urinary tract TCC and no lymph vessel invasion. However, patients with lymph vessel invasion seem to have systemic disease; therefore, aggressive systemic adjuvant therapies rather than regional lymphadenectomy should be applied in these patients.     

Adaptation and validation of antibody-ELISA using dried blood spots on filter paper for epidemiological surveys of tsetse-transmitted trypanosomosis in cattle

The indirect enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for the detection of anti-trypanosomal antibodies in bovine serum was adapted for use with dried blood spots on filter paper. Absorbance (450 nm) results for samples were expressed as percent positivity, i.e. percentage of the median absorbance result of four replicates of the strong positive control serum. The antibody-ELISA was evaluated in Zambia for use in epidemiological surveys of the prevalence of tsetse-transmitted bovine trypanosomosis. Known negative samples (sera, n = 209; blood spots, n = 466) were obtained from cattle from closed herds in tsetse-free areas close to Lusaka. Known positive samples (sera, n = 367; blood spots, n = 278) were obtained from cattle in Zambia's Central, Lusaka and Eastern Provinces, diagnosed as being infected with Trypanosoma brucei, T. congolense, or T. vivax using the phase-contrast buffy-coat technique or Giemsa-stained thick and thin blood smears. For sera (at a cut-off value of 23.0% positivity) sensitivity and specificity were 86.1 and 95.2%, respectively. For bloodspots (at a cut-off value of 18.8% positivity) sensitivity and specificity were 96.8 and 95.7%, respectively. The implications of persistence of antibodies following treatment or self-cure are discussed.     

Mumps orchitis; review of 8 cases]

The occurrence of secondary hypogonadism is a common finding in males who seek help with erectile dysfunction, although the relationship to diminished testosterone is unclear. Two possibilities exist regarding both the genesis and maintenance of the hypogonadotropic hypogonadal state. First, a defect in hypothalamic function, resulting in downregulation as well as in alterations of anterior pituitary function; second, estradiol inhibition of gonadotropin release, both of which result in decreased testosterone production. As testosterone levels decrease and estradiol levels increase, the ratio of free testosterone to estradiol reaches a critical point and the estrogenic gonadotropin suppressive effects predominate. This ratio may signal the biological point of no return and could become one of the criteria for defining the separation of the transitional hypogonadal state from the final 'end stage' hypogonadotropic hypogonadal state. As the aging process continues, there is a relative accumulation of fatty tissue, and aromatization accelerates the conversion of testosterone to estradiol. This additional secondary estradiol inhibition results in the maintenance of the testosterone deficient state, and the aging process continues uncontested.