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71.
While rural freeways generally have lower crash rates, interactions between driver behavior, traffic and geometric characteristics, and adverse weather conditions may increase the crash risk along some freeway sections. This paper examines the safety effects of roadway geometrics on crash occurrence along a freeway section that features mountainous terrain and adverse weather. Starting from preliminary exploration using Poisson models, Bayesian hierarchical models with spatial and random effects were developed to efficiently model the crash frequencies on road segments on the 20-mile freeway section of study. Crash data for 6 years (2000–2005), roadway geometry, traffic characteristics and weather information in addition to the effect of steep slopes and adverse weather of snow and dry seasons, were used in the investigation. Estimation of the model coefficients indicates that roadway geometry is significantly associated with crash risk; segments with steep downgrades were found to drastically increase the crash risk. Moreover, this crash risk could be significantly increased during snow season compared to dry season as a confounding effect between grades and pavement condition. Moreover, sites with higher degree of curvature, wider medians and an increase of the number of lanes appear to be associated with lower crash rate. Finally, a Bayesian ranking technique was implemented to rank the hazard levels of the roadway segments; the results confirmed that segments with steep downgrades are more crash prone along the study section. 相似文献
72.
We present a dynamical theory of asset price bubbles that exhibits the appearance of bubbles and their subsequent crashes. We show that when speculative trends dominate over fundamental beliefs, bubbles form, leading to the growth of asset prices away from their fundamental value. This growth makes the system increasingly susceptible to any exogenous shock, thus eventually precipitating a crash. We also present computer experiments which in their aggregate behavior confirm the predictions of the theory. 相似文献
73.
Macrocellular and microcellular SiOC open cell ceramic foams were fabricated from a preceramic polymer. Macrocellular foams, with a cell size ranging from about 100–600 μm and a bulk density ranging from about 0.25–0.58 g/cm3, depending on the processing parameters, were fabricated using a direct foaming approach. Microcellular foams, with a cell size of about 8 μm, were fabricated using poly(methyl methacrylate)microbeads as sacrificial templates. The bulk density ranged from about 0.31–0.48 g/cm3, depending on the amount of microbeads in the starting material. The compression strength of the foams increased with increasing relative density, and microcellular foams possessed a 2–5 times higher crushing strength than macrocellular foams of similar density. 相似文献
74.
A case study is presented which concerns the design of an adaptive mechanism for packetised audio for use over the Internet.
During the design process, the audio mechanism was modelled with the stochastically timed process algebra EMPA and analysed
via simulation by the EMPA based software tool TwoTowers in order to predict the percentage of packets that are received in
time for being played out. The predicted performance figures obtained from the algebraic model illustrated in advance the
adequacy of the approach adopted in the design of the audio playout delay control mechanism. Based on these performance figures,
it was possible to implement and develop the complete mechanism without incurring additional costs due to the late discovery
of unexpected errors or inefficiency. Performance results obtained from experiments conducted on the field confirmed the predictive
simulative results.
Received March 1997 / Accepted in revised form July 1998 相似文献
75.
N Bernardo C Scorticati P Holst M Soldano T De Lasa P Suárez M López F Bencardino E Sotero Falco F Coste Delvecchio F Rendón 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1996,49(8):813-818
OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the management of the regional lymph nodes to determine the appropriate treatment for carcinoma of the penis. METHODS: The records of 36 patients with carcinoma of the penis were reviewed. Lymphadenectomy was performed in 18 patients, 17 were managed conservatively (watchful waiting) and 1 patient had a biopsy and received radiotherapy. RESULTS: Positive nodes were found in 2 of 2 pT4, 2 of 3 pT3, 8 of 13 pT2 and 2 of 12 pT1 patients submitted to lymphadenectomy. Concerning the histological grade, positive nodes were found in all of the 4 G3, 5 of 12 G2 and 3 of 20 G1 patients. The survival rate was 100% for the patients with negative lymph nodes (pNO = 6) or a single positive inguinal lymph node (pN1 = 5). A correlation was found between the T and the histological grade and the likelihood of lymph node invasion. CONCLUSIONS: The T and the histological grade of the primary lesion must be considered when deciding the approach in the management of the lymph nodes as unnecessary lymphadenectomy can be avoided and those at high risk of lymph node invasion can be treated radically and timely. 相似文献
76.
Alessandra Cirillo Stefania Del Gaudio Giovanni Di Bernardo Umberto Galderisi Antonino Cascino Marilena Cipollaro 《European Food Research and Technology》2009,228(6):875-881
Random amplified polymorphic DNA (RAPD) is an efficient tool to detect DNA polymorphisms and to distinguish different clones
and cultivars. We have applied the RAPD technique to distinguish, starting from a single rice seed, among some Italian rice
cultivars from market and from National Institute for research on food and nutrition, Italy. We also estimated the genomic
similarity among the rice cultivars object of this study taking advantage of the amplification patterns. Despite the low genomic
variability among Italian rice cultivars, RAPD technique allowed us to distinguish among them. This indicates that RAPD can
be used routinely to verify the identity of Italian rice cultivars in order to prevent fraudulent commercial activity. 相似文献
77.
Bernardo Zimberg Carlos E. Testuri 《International Transactions in Operational Research》2006,13(5):387-402
Bunker fuel oil (ifo), one of the products of petroleum refining, has a strong impact in the production process because it drives the availability of heavy residues that depend on the crude quality. A simplified stochastic model for the Administración Nacional de Combustibles Alcohol y Portland refinery, based on the uncertainty of the demand for ifo, is proposed for comparison with the current approach of deterministic demand. In this model, the benefits of the production process are maximized, taking decisions on the more suitable raw material, intermediate products and final blends in order to fulfill quality and demand requirements of final products. A specific case is analyzed where the maximum benefit is achieved when the most expensive crude quality is purchased, due to a lack of incentive to produce extra amounts of heavy fuel oil that must be exported at a non‐attractive price. Results are compared with the solution of a deterministic model with mean demand. In addition, the stochastic model solution depicts how the refinery should operate for each scenario of ifo demand. 相似文献
78.
Formal notations for system performance modeling need to be equipped with suitable notations for specifying performance measures. These companion notations have been traditionally based on reward structures and, more recently, on temporal logics. In this paper we propose an approach that combines logics and rewards, together with a definition mechanism that allows performance measures to be specified in a component-oriented way, thus facilitating the task for non-experts. The resulting Measure Specification Language (MSL) is interpreted both on action-labeled continuous-time Markov chains and on stochastic process algebras. The latter interpretation provides a compositional framework for performance-sensitive model manipulations and emphasizes the increased expressiveness with respect to traditional reward structures for implicit-state modeling notations. 相似文献
79.
80.
E. M. Rudnic C. T. Rhodes S. Welch P. Bernardo 《Drug development and industrial pharmacy》1982,8(1):87-109
The disintegrant properties of eight tablet disintegrants (a cation exchange resin, cross-linked carboxymethyl cellulose, sodium starch glycolate, U.S.P., Crospovidone, U.S.P., corn starch, an insoluble anionic cellulose polymer, a modified food starch, and a soybean cellulose derivative) have been evaluated. Three techniques were applied to some or all of the materials. Water uptake rates and capacities were determined for all disintegrants in bulk powders. Disintegration times of tablets formulated with varying concentrations of the different disintegrants in a matrix comprising 75% unmilled dibasic calcium phosphate dihydrate and 25% anhydrous lactose were measured. For four disintegrants, a novel computer assisted cinsphotomicrographic technique was applied to investigate the interaction of water with individual disintegrant particles, both in terms of swelling rate and maximum water capacity
Comparative evaluation of tablet disintegrants and studies of the mechanism of disintegrant action have quite properly attracted the attention of a number of pharmaceutical scientists. (1-16) However, it is clear that at present there is no concensus concerning a general theory rationalizing disintegrant action and at least five separate mechanism have been proposed (1, 2, 4)
In the present paper, the disintegrant action of eight disintegrants has been studied using three separate approaches. Firstly, the rate and capacity of the bulk powders to take up water and to swell as a result has been evaluated using an apparatus similar to that used by Nogami and coworkers (5). Secondly, the disintegration times of tablets containing varying concentrations of disintegrant and compressed using a matrix of 75% unmilled dibasic calcium phosphate dihydrate and 25% anhydrous lactose were determined in a manner similar to that described by Rudnic and his associates (6). Thirdly, the authors are able to report - apparently for the first time - the use of a new method for evaluating the rate and extent of swelling of individual units in an assembly of disintegrant particles. This method exploits a cinephotomicrographic technique in which groups of disintegrant particles are photographed under a microscope by a high speed movie camera with the resultant film being analyzed by a special computer technique which allows the size of both individual and all particles, in any given visual field, to be followed over the very short period of time which elapses during the interaction of the disintegrant particles with water. The results presented in this paper demonstrate that a combination of the three methods described above and, in particular, the computer assisted cinemicrophotographic technique allow considerable insight to be gained of the disintegration process 相似文献
Comparative evaluation of tablet disintegrants and studies of the mechanism of disintegrant action have quite properly attracted the attention of a number of pharmaceutical scientists. (1-16) However, it is clear that at present there is no concensus concerning a general theory rationalizing disintegrant action and at least five separate mechanism have been proposed (1, 2, 4)
In the present paper, the disintegrant action of eight disintegrants has been studied using three separate approaches. Firstly, the rate and capacity of the bulk powders to take up water and to swell as a result has been evaluated using an apparatus similar to that used by Nogami and coworkers (5). Secondly, the disintegration times of tablets containing varying concentrations of disintegrant and compressed using a matrix of 75% unmilled dibasic calcium phosphate dihydrate and 25% anhydrous lactose were determined in a manner similar to that described by Rudnic and his associates (6). Thirdly, the authors are able to report - apparently for the first time - the use of a new method for evaluating the rate and extent of swelling of individual units in an assembly of disintegrant particles. This method exploits a cinephotomicrographic technique in which groups of disintegrant particles are photographed under a microscope by a high speed movie camera with the resultant film being analyzed by a special computer technique which allows the size of both individual and all particles, in any given visual field, to be followed over the very short period of time which elapses during the interaction of the disintegrant particles with water. The results presented in this paper demonstrate that a combination of the three methods described above and, in particular, the computer assisted cinemicrophotographic technique allow considerable insight to be gained of the disintegration process 相似文献