A Bayesian spatial econometric analysis of the 2010 UK General Election

The Conservative Party won the 2010 General Election in the United Kingdom, gaining the most votes and seats of any single party. Using Bayesian spatial econometric methods, we show that significant spatial dependence exists in Conservative voting behaviour and select the spatial Durbin model as the best model to explain this phenomenon. This paper examines these spatial effects as well as the effects of a range of economic, socio‐economic, and political variables. Perhaps the most interesting result is that incumbency has effects beyond an incumbent's own constituency.     

Evaluation of performance and load in simulated rescue tasks for a novel design SCBA: effect of weight,volume and weight distribution

A self-contained breathing apparatus (SCBA) with an innovative rucksack shape that provides a better distribution of its weight over the middle and lower parts of the back (device C: 6l, 13.7 kg) was compared with two conventional SCBA which differed from each other in volume and weight (A: 6l, 15 kg, B: 6.8l, 11.7 kg). Twelve fire-fighters (27-49 yr) performed three exercises while using the three SCBA in a systematically permuted sequence. The exercises consisted of simulated rescue work under natural climatic conditions in a dwelling on the second floor and several typical elements of severe fire-fighting actions. Duration, heart rate, breathing frequency, rectal temperature, and sweat loss were recorded. Perceived exertion was rated and the carrying features of the SCBA were subjectively evaluated. The exercise was executed faster with the rucksack device, heart rates were then lower and the carrying features were evaluated as better. Thus, the weight of the SCBA was shown to be less important than its distribution.     

The significance of air velocity and turbulence intensity for responses to horizontal drafts in a constant air temperature of 23°C

Aim: The aim was to prove the significance of air velocity and turbulence intensity on the responses to drafts and if air velocity is adequately weighted in the draft rating model (DR-model) proposed in ISO 7730 (1994). Methods: Seventeen healthy persons (9 women, 8 men, 19–51 yr) took part in 12 randomly arranged 1-h sessions where horizontal drafts were directed towards the dorsolateral body sites of the sedentary persons. Mean air velocity was varied in 4 (  m/s) and turbulence intensity in 3 steps (Tu: <30,≈50,>70%) but were kept constant during the single sessions, whereas air velocities were increased every 15 min in the basic experiments performed for the DR-model. Air temperature was 23°C, humidity varied between 40% and 60%. Subjective perception and annoyance due to drafts were registered every 5 min using a list of prescribed body parts and skin temperature was measured continuously throughout the sessions at the forearm and at the neck. Results: Draft-induced general annoyance (if draft-induced annoyance was stated for at least one body site) and draft-induced local annoyance as stated for the neck and for the forearm increased with air velocity and/or with turbulence intensity. The decrease in skin temperature, however, was only related to air velocity but not to turbulence intensity. Air velocities are obviously not accurately weighted in the draft-rating model (ISO 7730, 1994). As compared to the effects observed here, the effects predicted with the DR-model were smaller in case of mean air velocities of 0.3 m/s and less but greater for 0.4 m/s. Concerning rather sedentary persons it seems that drafts are tolerable as long as mean air velocities do not exceed 0.2 m/s and as long as turbulence intensity remains below 30% in air temperature of 23°C.

Relevance to industry

Drafts are the most annoying climatic factor at many workplaces and assumed to reduce satisfaction with work, to impair performance and perhaps even health (Griefahn et al., Ind. Health 38 (2000b) 30). The limitation of drafts is therefore an important contribution to industrial safety. Using the draft-rating model proposed in ISO 7730 (1994) for the evaluation and for the prediction of draft-induced annoyance, it must be considered that the model underestimates the effects of drafts in case of air velocities of 0.3 m/s which prevail at more than 85% of workplaces in offices and in the industry (Griefahn, 1999; Zhou, Ph.D. Thesis, International Center for Indoor Environment and Energy, Department of Energy Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, 1999).     

Rapid differentiation of new apple cultivars by headspace solid‐phase microextraction in combination with chemometrical data processing

The aim of this study was to test a combination of automated headspace solid phase‐microextraction gas chromatography (GC) with chemometrical data treatment for the rapid differentiation of enzyme‐inactivated homogenates of new apple cultivars. The four cultivars Pinova, Piflora, Renora and Florina are characterized by different volatile patterns. Differences in the contents of volatiles were especially found for butyl acetate, ethyl butanoate, 2‐methyl butanol, ethyl acetate and 6‐methyl‐5‐hepten‐2‐ol. The used sample preparation method for GC coupled with pattern recognition of chromatograms is a useful tool for rapid and reliable determination of large numbers of samples.     

Heterogeneous Reactions of Chlorine Nitrate and Dinitrogen Pentoxide on Sulfuric Acid Surfaces Representative of Global Stratospheric Aerosol Particles

Increasing evidence from field measurements, modeling studies, and laboratory experiments suggests that heterogeneous reactions on stratospheric sulfate aerosol particles can change the partitioning in the nitrogen and chlorine families and thereby affect global ozone levels. In this study, a Knudsen cell flow reactor was used to measure the uptake of ClONO₂ and N₂O₅ by sulfuric acid solutions representative of background and volcanic stratospheric aerosol particles. The uptake coefficient (γ) of chlorine nitrate on 50–75 wt% H₂SO₄ at 223 K was found to be markedly dependent on the acid concentration, with γ ranging from about 1 × 10⁻² to 1 × 10⁻⁴. These results are in good agreement with literature reports and the data fit the expression log γ= 1.87 – 0.074 × (wt% H₂SO₄). This reaction will thus have its largest impact when stratospheric temperatures are low and sulfuric acid aerosols are most dilute. Uptake of N₂O₅ was studied on solutions with compositions in the range 58–96 wt% H₂SO₄ at temperatures from 193 to 303 K. N₂O₅ reacted readily on sulfuric acid surfaces with uptake coefficients of about 0.06. The uptake coefficient was found to be independent of the sulfuric acid concentration and the solution temperature over the ranges studied. These results suggest that the reaction of N₂O₅ with H₂O will occur readily on sulfuric acid aerosol particles for most stratospheric conditions.     

Announcement of upcoming conferences

Announcement of upcoming conferences     

Anwendung der analytischen Größenausschluß-Chromatographie zur Untersuchung des Substratahbaus einer kommerziellen Pektatlyase ausErwinia carotovora

Within the scope of the characterization of a commercial pectate lyase (PAL) the pattern of substrate degradation by that enzyme was investigated with oligogalacturonic acids as well as pectins with various degrees of esterification as substrates. For this purpose an analytical size exclusion chromatographie method (HPSEC) was elaborated in order to evaluate the reaction products of the degraded substrates over the whole range of molecular weight with the main interest lying in the emerging oligogalacturonic acids. The degradation of polygalacturonic acid by PAL was additionally investigated by means of thin-layer chromatography (TLC) and viscosimetry. Furthermore spontaneous depolymerization and deesterification of the substrates occurring under the chosen conditions were examined. The PAL showed to be anendo-enzyme both by means of TLC and HPSEC. Polygalacturonic acid was broken down, mainly generating unsaturated tri- and digalacturonic acid; the corresponding monomer was not found. The mode of cleavage is discussed.