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Reliability analysis is especially important when critical decisions are to be made involving potentially severe adverse consequences such as foodborne illness. Owing to uncertainty associated with the parameters controlling survival of Listeria monocytogenes in chorizo (a Mexican‐style sausage), the time needed to reduce the count by a certain number (n) of logs (tnD) is probabilistic. In this paper the first‐order second‐moment (FOSM) method based on Taylor series expansion is used to derive the expected value and standard deviation of tnD as function of the operating conditions (random variables) affecting survival, namely initial water activity (aw0) of the sausage batter, storage temperature (T) and airflow velocity (F), along with their uncertainties characterised by their means and coefficients of variation. For any given n the derived tnD probability distribution enables one to determine an estimate of tnD for any desired level of reliability or confidence level, such as 50% (median value), 95%, 99%, etc. Among the conclusions drawn were: (i) the variability associated with T and F has a minor effect on estimating uncertainty in tnD, whereas the reliability of tnD estimation is greatly influenced by the uncertainty in aw0; and (ii) the uncertainty in aw0 has the greatest impact when aw0 of the sausage formulation exceeds 0.90. The approach used and discussed in this paper can be applied to any survival/inactivation study to incorporate the effect of uncertainty in the various extrinsic and intrinsic parameters on the survival kinetics of the pathogen in a food system under evaluation. Copyright © 2006 Society of Chemical Industry  相似文献   
13.
An application of mathematical programming in the industry selection step of strategic acquisition analysis is presented. Specifically, the management information uses of multiple-objective programming in the strategic planning of organization acquisitions are described. The modeling approach has application to all forms of organization-acquisition analysis (i.e. acquisitions, mergers, joint ventures, etc.). An illustrative application of the modeling approach is presented using data from a regional conglomerate's actual acquisition study. The benefits of the use of the multiple-objective modeling approach include improvements in the efficacy and specificity of information on which acquisition decision making is based, and types of information that are not methodology  相似文献   
14.
The food antioxidants butylated hydroxyanisole (BHA) and butylated hydroxytoluene (BHT) are structurally related to the hypocholesterolemic drug probucol. The purpose of this study was to determine if BHA can lower serum cholesterol levels as is observed with probucol. Treatment of mice with 0.75% BHA in their feed for 10 days resulted in a significant (P < or = 0.01) elevation of serum cholesterol levels. This effect contrasts with the cholesterol-lowering effect of probucol. Further, the degree of cholesterol elevation was comparable to that observed in mice administered 3% cholesterol in their feed for 7 days. The enzyme acyl CoA:cholesterol acyltransferase (ACAT) was decreased significantly (P < or = 0.01) in liver microsomes from BHA-treated mice. In contrast, hepatic microsomal ACAT activity was increased significantly (P < or = 0.01) in cholesterol-fed mice. These results suggested that the increased serum cholesterol observed in BHA-treated mice was not accompanied by an increase in hepatic cholesterol levels. Indeed, hepatic microsomal cholesterol levels were reduced in BHA-treated mice, but were increased significantly (P < or = 0.01) in cholesterol-fed mice. These results demonstrate that the common food additive BHA elevates serum cholesterol levels by a mechanism that apparently involves the decreased uptake of cholesterol by the liver.  相似文献   
15.
The elderly may be considered a group at risk with regard to mental health and the mental health system. Aging women experience a double jeopardy arising from social, economic, and psychological conditions surrounding age and gender—in particular, poverty, widowhood, and the dynamics of family caregiving. This double jeopardy translates into a vulnerability within the mental health system that is seen in issues of service utilization, therapist–client interactions, and diagnosis, most notably in diagnoses of Alzheimer's disease, alcohol and drug misuse, and depression. The failure of the mental health system to consider elderly individuals as psychological survivors further suggests an implicit assumption that mental decline is a normative part of the aging process. Recommendations for change include addressing gender and age interactions in mental health policy and in psychological research, training, and practice. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)  相似文献   
16.
Synthesis of beams with low sidelobe levels is a difficult problem for the case of small phased arrays with few elements. Mutual coupling between elements means that conventional weighting algorithms are not applicable. A technique is presented that calculates a complex weight vector for a five element linear array, giving a reduced sidelobe beam pattern. Sidelobes are reduced by the addition of retrodirective beams to the quiescent beam pattern. No knowledge of the coupling coefficients or element radiation patterns is required  相似文献   
17.
BACKGROUND: Inhaled nitric oxide has been shown to be a potent and selective pulmonary vasodilator. Reports of increases in left ventricular end-diastolic pressure and episodes of pulmonary edema during the clinical use of inhaled nitric oxide in patients with preexisting left ventricular dysfunction have raised concerns that this agent may have myocardial depressant effects. We therefore undertook a study of the effects of inhaled nitric oxide on myocardial contractility in a porcine model of ventricular failure and pulmonary hypertension. METHODS: After inducing heart failure in 10 pigs by rapid ventricular pacing, hemodynamic measurements and pressure-volume diagrams (by the conductance method) were obtained in six animals at baseline and during administration of inhaled nitric oxide at concentrations of 20 and 40 ppm. Myocardial contractile state was assessed by the end-systolic pressure-volume relationship and preload-recruitable stroke work, whereas diastolic function was measured in terms of the end-diastolic pressure-volume relationship and the pressure decay time constant T. RESULTS: Baseline hemodynamics reflected heart failure and pulmonary hypertension, and inhaled nitric oxide induced significant reductions in mean pulmonary artery pressure and pulmonary vascular resistance. Although left ventricular end-diastolic pressure increased during administration of inhaled nitric oxide, no changes were observed in measures of systolic or diastolic function. CONCLUSIONS: Inhaled nitric oxide reduced pulmonary vascular resistance but did not alter myocardial contractility or diastolic function. Increases in left ventricular end-diastolic pressure during inhaled nitric oxide therapy are therefore not due to myocardial depression and may be related to increases in volume delivery to the left side of the heart resulting from reduced pulmonary vascular resistance.  相似文献   
18.
Conventional enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) is a gold standard for screening antibodies and testing for protein or antigen presence. A significant limitation of this assay resides in the fact that only one analyte can be assessed per microplate well. Here, we describe and investigate a new technology consisting of an automated ELISA system in which up to 10 analytes can be measured within one single well, thus improving productivity, accuracy, and repeatability by reducing the amount of human labor required. Another strength of the platform is that a user can load any necessary sets/subsets of beads to perform required assays, with improved flexibility compared to manufactured-loaded arrays for multiplex analysis. We also demonstrate that this system can be used to determine the pathogenicity (i.e., presence of Shiga toxins) and serotype (i.e., Escherichia coli O157) of E. coli isolates.  相似文献   
19.
Fusion is an essentially inexhaustible source of energy that has the potential for economically attractive commercial applications with excellent safety and environmental characteristics. The primary focus for the fusion-energy development program is the generation of centralstation electricity. Fusion has the potential, however, for many other applications. The fact that a large fraction of the energy released in a DT fusion reaction is carried by high-energy neutrons suggests potentially unique applications. These include breeding of fissile fuels, production of hydrogen and other chemical products, transmutation or burning of various nuclear or chemical wastes, radiation processing of materials, production of radioisotopes, food preservation, medical diagnosis and medical treatment, and space power and space propulsion. In addition, fusion R&D will lead to new products and new markets.Each fusion application must meet certain standards of economic and safety and environmental attractiveness. For this reason, economics on the one hand, and safety and environment and licensing on the other hand, are the two primary criteria for setting long-range commercial fusion objectives. A major function of systems analysis is to evaluate the potential of fusion against these objectives and to help guide the fusion R&D program toward practical applications. The transfer of fusion technology and skills from the national laboratories and universities to industry is the key to achieving the long-range objective of commercial fusion applications.  相似文献   
20.
为提高油-气管道检测的效果,结合国内外典型管道机器人的特点,综合分析了管道机器人运动控制技术、定位技术和实时检测技术3个方面的现状,并指出了核心技术的不足;针对石油化工行业高温带压管道环境,提出管道检测机器人的研究重点为分层模糊神经网络运动控制技术、CCD视觉定位技术、低频电磁定位技术和分层图像分割的优化方法等。为进一步提高化工油-气管道内检测机器人的检测效果提供了理论依据。  相似文献   
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