基于有向权值网络的航班运行风险传播与控制

为了分析航班运行风险传播过程,进而有效控制保障飞行安全,基于复杂网络理论,首先参照民航局咨询通告选取机组、航空器、运行环境共29个终端因素作为网络节点,统计民航安全监察记录,根据事件中节点关系,构建无向网络;统计前后节点间的作用关系和发生概率,提出一种有向带权的航班运行风险网络;然后,引入改进感染率和改进恢复率概念,构建一种适用于航班运行风险传播分析的改进SIR(Susceptible-infected-recovered)模型;定义感染起始范围,最后采取多参数控制方式,大规模计算该有向带权网络的传播和控制过程。结果表明:有向网的平均最短路径为1.788,属于小世界网络;参照使用民航常规管控措施,有向网节点感染下降幅度可达到37.4%;对入度值排序前3或前4的节点控制后,感染节点峰值下降率高达50.6%和58.1%,网络传播抑制明显。结果证实:在该航班运行风险有向带权网络中,按入度值控制节点对抑制风险传播最为有效。      

基于环状电极的电容式润滑油磨粒检测系统设计

摩擦副非正常磨损时将产生直径为几十微米的大金属磨粒。采用阻抗类方法检测磨粒时,要求传感器具有较高的灵敏度。为此,设计了差分结构的环状极板电容式传感器。应用电容/数字转换芯片AD7746将传感器的输出直接转换为数字信号,省去了前端复杂的信号调理电路,简化了设计,并且有效地降低了寄生电容和杂散电容的影响。实验表明:系统分辨率可以达到0.125 fF,极大提高了系统灵敏度。     

Recent climate variability and its impact on precipitation,temperature, and vegetation dynamics in the Lancang River headwater area of China

The alpine ecosystem is one of the most fragile ecosystems threatened by global climate change. The impact of climate variability on the vegetation dynamics of alpine ecosystems has become important in global change studies. In this study, spatially explicit gridded data, including the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land-surface temperature (LST) product (MOD11A1/A2), the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall product (3B43), and MODIS net primary productivity (NPP) product (MOD17A3), together with meteorological observation data, were used to explore the spatio-temporal pattern of climate variability and its impact on vegetation dynamics from 2000 to 2012 in the Lancang River headwater area. We found that the variation patterns of LST, precipitation, and NPP in the study area showed remarkable spatial differences. From the northwest to the southeast the spatial variation of average annual LST exhibited a decreasing–increasing–decreasing–increasing pattern. At the same time, most of the study area exhibited an increasing LST during the growing season. The annual precipitation increased in the semi-arid northern part, whereas it decreased in the semi-humid southern part. The precipitation variability during the growing season has a pattern similar to the annual precipitation variability. Although the majority of the regions have seen an NPP increase from 2000 to 2012, the responses of the vegetation to the varied climate factors were spatially heterogeneous. The alpine–subalpine meadows in the high-altitude areas were more sensitive to climate variability in the growing season. It is argued that satellite remote-sensing products have great potential in investigating the impact of climate variability on vegetation dynamics at the finer scale, especially for the Lancang River headwater area with complex surface heterogeneity.     

基于物联网的航空物流查询平台

针对国内航空物流信息化建设方面的问题,提出并设计了一套基于物联网的航空物流查询系统。该系统通过RFID技术完成数据采集,并通过RS232串口将数据传输到ZigBee终端节点,然后利用ZigBee无线网络进行短距离传输到路由节点,最后经过 ZigBee 网关将信息传输出去。实验结果表明该平台可以对航空货物进行智能化、可视化、信息化管理。该设计为航空物流管理提供了新的思路,有良好的应用前景。     

A time-optimal aircraft-following model based on Pontryagin’s minimum principle

A time-optimal aircraft-following model is introduced to address air traffic flow interference by velocity reduction. The objective function is set up as minimizing the recovery time during which the separation minima are not infringed and the separation of the air traffic flow returns to the initial separation at the terminal time. Pontryagin’s minimum principle is used to solve the optimum aircraft-following velocity control law. An analytical minimum safe following separation is also provided under the time-optimal control law. The simulation results show that the precision first-order tracking accuracy is achieved without losing the separation.

     

基于自适应进化神经网络算法的入侵检测

针对目前多数入侵检测系统的低检测率问题,提出一种自适应进化神经网络算法AENNA。基于遗传算法和BP神经网络算法,利用模拟退火算法的概率突跳和局部搜索强的特性对遗传算法进行改进,采用双种群策略的遗传进化规则实现BP神经网络权值和结构的双重优化;通过对遗传算法的交叉算子与变异算子的改进,设计一种自适应的神经网络训练方法。实验结果表明,基于AENNA的入侵检测方法能够有效提高系统的检测率并降低误报率。     

Symbol error probability of an OFDM receiver with pulse blanking based on the peak value threshold

Pulse blanking based on the peak value threshold is a widely used method to eliminate impulsive interference in the orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) receiver. To assess the impact of pulse blanking on the link transmission reliability of the OFDM receiver, the analytical expression for the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of the OFDM receiver with pulse blanking based on the peak value threshold is derived in the frequency selective fading channel. According to this analysis, the calculation method for symbol error probability is given in this paper. Computer simulation indicates that theory accords with simulation and validates the accuracy of theoretical analysis.     

Variable sorting based on fault tree structure adjustment for multi-valued decision diagrams

The dynamic fault tree does not have the ability of fault calculation when analyzing the reliability of the system, so it needs to be modeled and analyzed by means of multi-valued decision diagrams and so on. The dynamic fault tree is translated into a multi-valued decision diagram according to the ordering of variables of basic events which affects the size of the generated multi-valued decision diagram and the cost of traversal to get cut sequences. An adjustment method of the dynamic fault tree structure is proposed based on the importance degree of repeated events, dynamic gates and the locations of events of the dynamic fault tree. By taking the fact that the basic events at the same level are equally important into account, an improved dynamic variable ordering method and ordering generation algorithm for the multi-valued decision diagram are presented in this paper. The result analysis of an example shows that the improved dynamic variable ordering method can reduce the size of the multi-valued decision diagram and space and time complexity of the reliability calculation compared to the similar methods.     

基于FANP的私用飞行驾驶员安全驾驶行为评价模型

为了正确评价私用飞行员的安全驾驶行为,在系统分析飞行运行全过程的基础上,建立了基于模糊网络分析法(FANP)的私用驾驶员安全驾驶行为评价模型.针对模型中三角模糊数互补判断矩阵一致性检验过于复杂的问题,引入了最小方差的非线性规划模型,通过求取最优解以简化计算,获得可信度较高的评价指标权重.以某航校飞行学员的评价为实例进行实证分析,结果表明,该模型较传统评价方式更全面、客观,有助于飞行员的安全驾驶行为训练.     

Q235钢板对平头弹抗侵彻特性研究

为分析靶体结构对其抗侵彻特性的影响,利用轻气炮进行平头杆弹正撞击单层板和等厚接触式三层板的实验,获取相关的撞击过程图片.通过撞击实验,得到这两种结构靶体的初始-剩余速度曲线以及弹道极限,撞击速度为190~450 m/s.研究靶体结构对抗侵彻特性的影响,包括靶板的失效模式和抗侵彻性能.最后,采用ABAQUS/EXPLICIT软件对杆弹撞击金属板的过程进行数值模拟研究,通过对比数值模拟和实验结果,验证了数值模拟材料模型和参数的有效性.结果表明:多层板的弹道极限高于等厚单层板,并且多层板和单层板的主要失效模式之间存在差异.对于多层板,靶板失效模式与其在靶中位置相关.