燃气涡轮发电机组虚拟评判系统研究

为更好地评判操作人员对燃气涡轮发电机组的操作训练,设计了一种虚拟评判系统.根据操作实际,制定了评判标准,建立了评判指标体系.考虑到指标之间的相互影响和反馈关系,解决指标权重分配问题,利用网络分析法(ANP)处理指标间的复杂关系,并采用三角模糊数和模糊优先规划方法(FPP)完成权重的计算,引入云理论确定隶属度,使用蚁群算法优化BP神经网络,结合模糊综合评判构造模糊蚁群神经网络评判模型.上述方法能够有效减少主观因素对权重的影响,弥补传统评判方法的不足.实际应用表明,改进的评判系统具有很强的实用性,是一种可行的评判系统.     

基于用户特征属性和云模型的协同过滤推荐算法

随着数据的极端稀疏性,仅仅依赖于传统的协同过滤相似性的度量方法已无法取得精确的推荐结果。针对这一问题,提出基于用户特征属性和云模型的协同过滤算法。首先,算法利用云模型计算用户评分云相似性,结合用户打分偏好对原矩阵进行填充,在此基础上得到用户的评分云相似性;其次,再结合用户特征属性相似性通过加权因子计算用户的最终相似性,得到一种新的相似性度量方法;最后,得到算法的评分预测。实验结果表明,该方法能够提高推荐质量。     

适用于RPA工具的卷积序列推荐算法

在机器人流程自动化(Robotic Process Automation, RPA)软件中,经常采用序列推荐系统让机器人完成判断、选择等人工处理的任务。然而常用的序列推荐系统受限于序列信息的提取困难等问题,难以得到广泛应用。为了解决这一问题,构建一种基于Inception的卷积序列推荐模型,把时间和潜在空间中的用户行为序列信息嵌入进一幅“图像”中,并通过动态和静态2种不同的卷积层提取其中的局部特征,全面地提取用户的短期兴趣偏好,同时将用户嵌入矩阵作为用户的长期兴趣偏好嵌入到卷积层的输出中,共同构建完整的用户兴趣偏好,提升推荐性能。通过在3种公开数据集MovieLens 1M、Gowalla、Steam上分别进行实验,验证了基于Inception的卷积序列推荐模型的性能优于最新的序列推荐模型,在Top-N序列推荐的3种评价指标中（精确率、召回率、平均AP值）,平均提升幅度在10%左右,单个指标上的最大提升幅度为14%。     

考虑用户偏好和平台收益的共享泊位分配模型

与机动车数量激增类似,泊位短缺也是导致城市交通拥堵主要问题之一,在不增加车位的情况下提高泊车位利用率也是解决交通拥堵的一种方法。针对城市“泊车难”和部分泊车场利用率较低的问题,考虑了用户的偏好特征,研究了一种具有用户偏好的泊车位共享策略。考虑存在三种不同的泊车方式,在中央商务区（CBD）等待泊车、共享私人泊位、共享公共泊位,运用累积前景理论分析用户的泊车成本,发现用户在不同情形下的选择存在差异。平台通过对关键路径法修改,采用了偏好分组法进行分配。算例对偏好分组的结果与采用关键路径法的分配结果进行了比较,结果表明,基于偏好分组法的分配满足了更多的用户需求,平台收益更高,为管理者提供决策参考。     

无人机群目标搜索的主动感知方法

为提升蚁群搜索算法在规模大的栅格环境中对未知目标的搜索效率,提出基于蚁群算法的主动感知搜索框架。该框架通过应用历史环境信息来选择无人机的运动方式,并由无人机运动方式和感知域信息得到新的环境信息,从而实现无人机群的智能自动化搜索功能。新方法计算出一种具有探索偏好的未搜索概率,可使无人机搜索时偏向未搜索程度高的栅格,以此来提高算法的搜索能力。同时,以未搜索概率和信息素作为运动方式决策的依据来建立一种新的运动方式选择机制。该机制不仅考虑了目标可能出现的区域,又可兼顾未知区域,从而可实现无目标先验信息条件下的搜索过程。仿真结果表明,此算法在规模大的栅格环境中,与现有算法相比具有更高的搜索效率,并且得到的目标分布信息将更加全面。     

基于动态偏好机制的学生群体演化合作研究

社交网络具有随机性和复杂性的特点,针对大学生群体中社交关系的异质性以及动态变化情况,构建博弈模型并设计动态偏好机制用于模拟和促进学生在交互网络中的合作行为。在该机制中,首先构建了加权网络用于描述学生交互网络的异质性;然后通过学生动态的交互关系,模拟学生的社交偏好。仿真结果表明,该机制能够有效促进合作者密度。为了进一步验证该机制在学生群体交互中的有效性,通过线下社交网络收集系统收集学生群体的交互行为信息并构建交互网络,通过数据分析发现学生群体在动态偏好机制下更愿意与其他个体进行交流。研究结果对学生合作行为演化具有参考作用。     

Categorization of risk factors for distributed agile projects

ContextOrganizations combine agile approach and Distributed Software Development (DSD) in order to develop better quality software solutions in lesser time and cost. It helps to reap the benefits of both agile and distributed development but pose significant challenges and risks. Relatively scanty evidence of research on the risks prevailing in distributed agile development (DAD) has motivated this study.ObjectiveThis paper aims at creating a comprehensive set of risk factors that affect the performance of distributed agile development projects and identifies the risk management methods which are frequently used in practice for controlling those risks.MethodThe study is an exploration of practitioners’ experience using constant comparison method for analyzing in-depth interviews of thirteen practitioners and work documents of twenty-eight projects from thirteen different information technology (IT) organizations. The field experience was supported by extensive research literature on risk management in traditional, agile and distributed development.ResultsAnalysis of qualitative data from interviews and project work documents resulted into categorization of forty-five DAD risk factors grouped under five core risk categories. The risk categories were mapped to Leavitt’s model of organizational change for facilitating the implementation of results in real world. The risk factors could be attributed to the conflicting properties of DSD and agile development. Besides that, some new risk factors have been experienced by practitioners and need further exploration as their understanding will help the practitioners to act on time.ConclusionOrganizations are adopting DAD for developing solutions that caters to the changing business needs, while utilizing the global talent. Conflicting properties of DSD and agile approach pose several risks for DAD. This study gives a comprehensive categorization of the risks faced by the practitioners in managing DAD projects and presents frequently used methods to reduce their impact. The work fills the yawning research void in this field.     

多参数融合的飞行品质评估模型的建立

目前航空管理机构与航空公司进行飞行品质评估主要是依据经验与简单飞行参数统计数字,这样做难以得出科学、客观的评估结果。基于提升全行业安全保障能力和运行品质的需求,研究了利用计算机技术对飞行品质进行综合评估的方法。选取了理想值逼近法作为飞行品质综合评估的手段,结合波动通道模型作为飞行品质评估的理论基础,基于提出的飞行品质评估模型对飞行品质评估系统进行了设计。对真实的飞行参数数据建立综合评估模型,同时考察多次航班的多个飞行参数,给出综合的飞行品质评估结论,为飞行评估、训练提供理论基础和科学的评判方法。     

Group decision making based on incomplete multiplicative and fuzzy preference relations

The main aim of this paper is to investigate the group decision making on incomplete multiplicative and fuzzy preference relations without the requirement of satisfying reciprocity property. This paper introduces a new characterization of the multiplicative consistency condition, based on which a method to estimate unknown preference values in an incomplete multiplicative preference relation is proposed. Apart from the multiplicative consistency property among three known preference values, the method proposed also takes the multiplicative consistency property among more than three values into account. In addition, two models for group decision making with incomplete multiplicative preference relations and incomplete fuzzy preference relations are presented, respectively. Some properties of the collective preference relation are further discussed. Numerical examples are provided to make a discussion and comparison with other similar methods.     

Effectiveness of Security Control Risk Assessments for Enterprises: Assess on the Business Perspective of Security Risks

ABSTRACT

Today's businesses being IT enabled, the complexity of risks affecting the business has increased manifold and the need to gauge the Information Technology risks acting on the business operations has become paramount. The business managers who run business operations need to operate securely and seamlessly leveraging Information Technology and ability to recover and resume the business without any loss of confidentiality, integrity and availability of business information/data in any event of a security incident.

There is a need to quantify the impact of the IT security risk on the critical business processes, and provide the business-level insight at the management level. It is critical to classifying the Risk Ratings as per the impact on the business operations. This approach allows the organizations to understand and prioritize the security risk management activities that make the most sense for their organization to secure the business operations instead of trying to protect against every conceivable threat.