Decomposition of Time Series Dynamic Linear Models

This paper derives the admissible decompositions for a time series dynamic linear model, assuming only that the model is observable. The decompositions depend on factorizations of the characteristic polynomial of the state evolution matrix G into relatively prime factors. This generalizes the method of West (1997 ) which considers one decomposition in the particular case where G is diagonalizable. Conditions are derived for a decomposition to be independent. These results show that no autoregressive process of order d has an independent decomposition for any integer d . Two illustrations of this procedure are discussed in detail.     

Dynamics of Balancing Space and Time in Memory: Tau and Kappa Effects Revisited.

In 3 experiments, the authors studied the organization of spatiotemporal information in memory. Stimuli consisted of configurations of dots, presented sequentially. The stimuli were either proportional, with interdot distances corresponding to interdot durations, or not proportional, with interdol distances not corresponding to interdot durations. After a learning phase, participants reproduced the spatial (Experiment 1), temporal (Experiment 2), or spatial and temporal (Experiment 3) characteristics of the target 60 times in succession. In the nonproportional conditions, effects of variable interdot durations or distances on the reproduction of, respectively, constant distances (tau effect) or durations (kappa effect) were observed, whereas no such effects were observed when variable distances or durations were to be produced. Tau and kappa effects influenced the accuracy but not the variability of responses. The results are discussed in light of the distinction between properties of the stabilized mental image and the process of stabilization. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

A Working Memory Workout: How to Expand the Focus of Serial Attention From One to Four Items in 10 Hours or Less.

Five individuals participated in an extensive practice study (10 1-hr sessions, 11,000 trials total) on a self-paced identity-judgment n-back task (n ranging from 1 to 5). Within Session 1, response time increased abruptly by about 300 ms in passing from n = 1 to n > 1, suggesting that the focus of attention can accommodate only a single item (H. Caravan, 1998; B. McElree, 2001). Within Session 10, response time was dramatically reduced and increased linearly with n for n ≤ 4, with a slope of about 30 ms. The data suggest that working memory consists of a focus of attention governed by a limited-capacity search, expandable through practice, and a content-addressable region outside the focus of attention. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

油气输导体系的类型及配置关系

将输导体系划分为储集层输导体系、断裂输导体系和不整合输导体系3大类，8种类型，指出输导体系的时空配置关系是决定油气藏的重要因素；着重阐明了输导层在空间和时间上的配置关系，认为这些配置关系是影响输导体系有效性的重要因素；提出了运移级次性的概念，讨论了划分运移级次对油气运移研究的意义，指出准噶尔盆地西北缘邻近玛湖以储集层输导体系和不整合输导体系为主．边缘地区以断层输导体系为主。浅层油气成藏期主要取决于断层的活动期。     

中国海上时移地震技术应用的可行性研究

针对中国海上油田的具体情况，参照国外风险评估方法，进行了一些初步的时移地震可行性研究。总的来说，在中国海上开展时移地震是基本可行的，是必然的发展趋势，但中国海上油田的储层结构和成分比较复杂，因此必须针对不同油田的具体问题，做好各种风险性研究及相应的技术和策略，才能最大限度地降低风险，发挥时移地震技术的效益。     

PAN聚合物一次性溶解新技术

阐述了一个全新的聚丙烯腈高聚物溶解理论，取代了以往人们思维中的高聚物大分子必须经过先溶胀再溶解的漫长的静态溶解过程。对于年产50kt/a腈纶装置可减少一次性投资约1500万元，减少运转费用360万元／a，在现有腈纶大装置上实施，经济效益十分可观。     

塔巴庙区块气层录井参数分析研究

塔巴庙区块气藏属于低压、低渗气藏,储集层物性差异大、含气级别高,但含气非均质性强,录井解释评价困难。针对这一问题,开展了综合判断储集层物性和含气性方面的研究,分别探讨了钻时与全烃、钻井液性能与全烃、钻井液粘度与全烃、气测显示与测井参数和烃组分与气显示之间的关系,分析了其相关性及其在塔巴庙区块气层解释评价中的意义及作用。通过相关性研究,不但摸索出定性解释评价气层的方法,同时为今后深入研究录井相关参数关系,探索其内在规律,为实现准确解释评价储集层奠定了基础。     

Simulation-based sequential analysis of Markov switching stochastic volatility models

We propose a simulation-based algorithm for inference in stochastic volatility models with possible regime switching in which the regime state is governed by a first-order Markov process. Using auxiliary particle filters we developed a strategy to sequentially learn about states and parameters of the model. The methodology is tested against a synthetic time series and validated with a real financial time series: the IBOVESPA stock index (São Paulo Stock Exchange).     

Review of Can Love Last? The Fate of Romance Over Time.

Review of book: Stephen Mitchell. Can Love Last? The Fate of Romance Over Time. New York: Norton, 2002, 223 pp. Reviewed by Timothy J. Zeddies. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Estimation of errors of hydrogen standard time scale preservation taking account of systematic frequency changes

Metrological characteristics of active hydrogen frequency standards are investigated on the basis of internal and external comparisons. The stability of random changes and drift of hydrogen frequency standards and also the potential capabilities of time scale preservation with effective consideration of systematic changes in their frequency are demonstrated. __________ Translated from Izmeritel’naya Tekhnika, No. 3. pp. 42–45, March, 2007.