Estimation in Random Coefficient Autoregressive Models

Abstract. We propose the quasi‐maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters of an RCA(1) process, i.e. a random coefficient autoregressive time series of order 1. The strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the estimators are derived under optimal conditions.     

The role of the surface free energy in the selection of a suitable excipient in the course of a wet-granulation method

Pellets containing metronidazole were produced in a centrifugal granulator, with hydroxypropylcellulose (Klucel LF®) as binding agent, and corn starch, microcrystalline cellulose (Vivapur 101®) and lactose as excipients. The wettability of the pharmaceutical powders was assessed by means of contact angle measurements, and the dispersive and polar surface energies were determined. The spreading coefficients, the work of adhesion and the work of cohesion were calculated and correlated with the pellet properties (friability, bulk and tapped density, and porosity). The aim was to investigate the role of the surface free energy of one- and two-component powder compositions in pellet production. The interactions between the particles were found to be connected with the measured pellet parameters. It was concluded that, in the course of the growth of the pellets, the particle sizes of the pharmaceutical powders and the interactions between them are important. If the work of cohesion of the binder is lower than the work of cohesion of the substrate and the work of adhesion, then the optimal amount of the binding agent is that which coats the particles uniformly in minimal quantity and in continuous layer.     

单参数Wilson方程预测C_9-DMP体系汽液平衡

根据实测γ~∞_1用单参数Wilson方程预测均三甲苯-DMP和偏三甲苯-DMP二元体系汽液平衡,并推算均三甲苯-偏三甲苯-DMP三元体系的汽液平衡,与实测数据比较,均获得良好结果。     

基于改进自由体积和无规因子贡献的聚合物热力学模型

给出了一个基于改进的自由体积和无规因子的聚合物溶液热力学模型，其无规因子项(NRF)用来描述聚合物溶液中聚合物与溶剂的局部交互作用对剩余Gibbs自由能的贡献，改进的自由体积项(Entropic-FV)用来描述聚合物溶液的混合效应对剩余Gibbs自由能的贡献。文中对45组二元聚合物与溶剂体系进行了关联计算，并与Zafarani-Moattar模型，Flory-Huggins模型和UNIFAC-FV模型的计算结果进行了比较，其平均绝对误差分别为1．910％，2．465％，3．738％和10．149％。     

两相闭式热虹吸管冷凝换热规律的实验研究

本文通过可视化热虹吸管实验,拍摄了冷凝段内部冷凝液的各种基本流型和特殊流型,设计了试验用多节风冷热虹吸管以及相应的风道系统。采用自行组装的高精度微机控制的测试系统测量温度,对不同工质(水、乙醇、丙酮、氟里昂-11)热虹吸管进行了不同工况的实验。获得了各种工程实际工况下的冷凝换热系数,还获得了冷凝换热系数随热流密度、蒸汽压力变化的规律以及沿2.5米长冷凝面长度上的变化规律。实验结果表明,热虹吸管的冷凝换热系数在很大范围内偏离努塞尔特理论解。本文结合可视化实验,对其进行了分析。     

Effect of cation exchange on the distribution and movement of cations in soils with variable charge. I. Effect of lime on potassium and magnesium exchange equilibria

The influence of Ca(OH)₂ on K and Mg exchange equilibria in three New Zealand soils was studied. Calcium hydroxide was mixed with each soil to raise the pH to about 6 or 7. For each Ca(OH)₂ treatment, K and Mg exchange isotherms were determined, from which the equilibrium activity ratios were derived. Exchange coefficients and solution activity ratios were calculated according to the Gapon convention.The addition of Ca(OH)₂ produced varying effects in the Gapon exchange coefficient for both K and Mg. The magnitude and direction of change in the exchange coefficient were related to the cation initially dominating the exchange sites, rate of Ca(OH)₂ addition, soil colloids contributing to the CEC and specific interactions of Ca with these soil colloids.Addition of Ca(OH)₂ reduced the equilibrium activity ratio of all soils. Changes in the bonding strength of K and Mg with increasing CEC were suggested as a possible mechanism for this decrease.     

垂直管内弹状气泡上升中壁面传递的实验研究

垂直管内弹状流壁面传递是诸多工业应用中需研究的重要问题之一。今用极限扩散电流技术,对弹状气泡上升时瞬时壁面剪应力和传质系数进行了测定,结果显示:当基于表观气速的Froude数FrG < 0.74时,壁面剪应力随弹状气泡和液塞的到来呈现方向相反的交替变化,壁面传质系数亦相应变化;而当FrG > 0.74时,剪应力方向一直向下,说明液膜向下流动,且弹状气泡和液塞的到来对壁面传质系数的影响很小。这说明下落液膜射流穿透了液塞段,控制了整个壁面传递过程。研究还对下落液膜区、尾迹区及液塞段的不同传递特征及机理进行了分析, 并结合气泡塔熔融结晶器中弹状气泡上升时的传热,对结晶操作条件的合理选择进行了讨论。     

复合材料夹层结构产品固化变形分析

本文讨论产生复合材料产品固化变形的主要原因是树脂收缩引起的各方向上不同的线膨胀系数具体分析了复合材料夹层结构的的固化变形，经技术上的改进解决了固化变形，以满足产品的设计要求。     

森林植被改善对鄱阳湖流域径流和输沙过程的影响

以河流基流为切入点,研究流域植被调节径流、水土保持等微观作用影响大中型河流湖泊径流过程和水沙过程宏观效应的机理。鄱阳湖流域60年来天然降水没有发生趋势性变化。流域森林覆盖率由34.73%上升到63.00%,植被质量改善,赣江等入湖河流基流增加83 m~3/s,河流输沙量减少。2000年以后和2000年以前相比较,枯水期降水径流系数增大,年流量过程平坦化,一定程度上减小洪灾风险,有利于水资源利用和生态环境保护。2001年以后进入鄱阳湖泥沙平均每年减少1 007×10~4t;出湖泥沙增加314×10~4t。因此,鄱阳湖入江水道由淤积转变为冲刷,但出湖流量过程没有趋势性变化。     

水工隧洞地震作用计算模型的适用性研究

针对水工隧洞在地震作用下的计算问题,对水工隧洞地震作用计算模型进行了计算对比和适用性研究。分析常用的4种计算模型用于计算水工隧洞地震作用的可行性,通过理论和数值计算确定"径向和切向反力弹簧模型"的计算参数,研究了地震作用下隧洞上方计算土体对隧洞衬砌的作用方式。结合试验验证,该方法和数值计算对比的结果表明:围岩的法向和切向弹性抗力系数受隧洞埋深、围岩类型和衬砌不同部位的影响,随埋深的增加先增大,然后趋于一个定值,围岩条件越好,数值越大,在隧洞两侧部位的数值较大;在地震作用下,隧洞上方计算土体以切向力的方式作用在隧洞衬砌的上半部分,可以通过将隧洞上部计算土体分条后进行计算。该方法可充分考虑地震对隧洞的动力和约束作用,适用于水工隧洞抗震计算。