PSO-SVM模型的构建与应用

为了使支持向量机(SVM)获得更好的分类效果,针对人为选择参数的随机性,提出了利用粒子群算法(PSO)进行参数自动选取的优化方法,构建了PSO-SVM模型.在个人信用评估中,通过对粒子适应度函数的设置来控制造成较大损失的第二类误判,应用结果表明:模型在训练和测试样本中的分类精度可以达到95%,第二类误判率分别仅为0.78%和2.02%.利用PSO对SVM中的参数进行优化,可以避免人为选择的随机性,并且在解决分类问题中表现出较好的稳健性.     

基于熵权的郑州市城市生态系统健康评价

城市生态系统是以人工为主导的自然、经济、社会3个子系统的复合生态系统,为使城市生态系统健康发展,根据健康评价指标体系建立原则,构建了一个4层的城市生态系统健康指标评价体系,采用基于熵权的模糊综合评判法,从时间纵向上研究了郑州市城市生态系统的发展趋势.结果表明：从2003年到2007年,反映生态系统结构功能的各要素,表现出了不同的发展趋势;郑州市城市生态系统健康状况呈总体上升的趋势;3个子系统间不能够协调发展,主要是社会子系统存在结构不合理等原因引起,可为制定进一步的城市发展政策借鉴.     

石油企业财务风险评价神经网络模型的建立

石油企业财务风险评价是石油行业的重要课题.在确立石油企业财务风险评价指标体系的基础上,建立了基于模糊神经网络的石油企业财务风险评价模型.该评价模型分为模糊量化模块和模糊神经网络(FNN)模块,可根据实际问题进行具体调节,具有学习的功能.经过对200多家石油企业的实证分析,结果表明该模型网络预测误差小,是一种可靠、有效的...     

Polybrominated Diphenyl Ethers in Surface Sediment from Songhua River Basin, Northeast of China

Sixty sediment samples were collected from the main Songhua River in three years. Twelve polybrominated diphenyl ether ( PBDE) congeners ( BDE17, 28, 47, 66, 99, 100, 153, 154, 138, 183, and BDE?209) w...     

Risk reduction in Sechahun iron ore deposit by geological boundary modification using multiple indicator Kriging

Uncertainty on the geological contacts and the block volumes of the models along boundaries is often a major part of the global uncertainty of reserve estimation.This work introduces a geostatistical technique that has been developed and tested in an iron ore deposit at Bafq mining district,in central Iran,and that,based on a probability criterion,helps to objectively model the geometry of this iron ore deposit.The main problem in reserve estimation of this ore body is its geometrical modeling and uncertainty in geological boundaries.This work deals with the geostatistical method of multiple indicator kriging,which is used to determine the real boundaries of ore body in different categories.This approach has potential to improve project performance and decrease operational risk.For this purpose,the ore body is separated into two categories including rich iron zone （w（Fe）〉45%） and poor iron zone （20%〈w（Fe）〈45%）.It significantly benefits to decrease the risk of reserve evaluation in the deposit.This case study also highlights the value of multiple indicator kriging as a tool for estimates the position of grade boundaries within the deposit.Comparison of the resultant probability maps with the real ore/waste contacts on the extracted levels shows that the first indicator model could separate the whole ore body （poor plus rich） from the waste zone by probability of more than 0.35,which concludes the total reserve of 53 million tons.The second indicator model applied to separate the rich and poor domains and the results show that the blocks with the estimated probability of equal to or more than 0.4 lay within the rich ore zone consisting of 15.8 million tons reserve.     

Thermodynamic reassessment of the Cd−Zn system

The Cd−Zn system has been thermodynamically reassessed with the CALPHAD method by combining more recent experimental data, in particular the activities of zinc in the liquid phase. A good agreement is obtained between the calculated and experimental thermodynamic parameters as well asphase boundaries.     

水电站大坝安全等级评定中边坡因素的影响剖析

基于我国水电站大坝安全定期检查的长期实践经验,分析了运行水电站边坡失稳对大坝运行安全的主要影响后果,归纳了边坡稳定状况评价的主要工作和原则,提出了边坡安全级别确定的原则。     

港口油库安全监控系统的设计与实现

港口油库安全监控系统是在油库区域内按规范设置可燃、有毒气体监测探头报警装置,能够全面检测油库区域气体浓度情况,一旦超过预警值,立即进行自动报警至监控中心,并结合实时的气象监测(如风速、风向、温湿度、气压等气象状况)进行事故风险评估,预测可燃有毒气体危险危害扩散范围,从而采取有效防范措施,避免事故的发生。     

淮北平原主要农作物涝渍灾害 损失评估研究

针对淮北平原除涝减灾综合治理与规划中缺乏主要农作物受涝损失调查与评估基础资料的实 际问题,于2010年9月初区域降雨成灾之际,对受涝区进行主要农作物受涝经济损失调查。依据实 地调研成果,通过综合统计分析推求了不同耕地类型不同暴雨强度下的受涝损失率,在此基础上实现 了对淮北平原受涝经济损失的合理评估。     

武汉职院实训成绩评估系统的设计与实现

本文阐述了武汉职院实训效果评估系统的实现和设计过程。着重描述了在项目反映理论框架下实训任务分析模型的建立、问题的转换和算法实现的具体过程。将项目反映模型与极大似然算法结合,在极大似然算法的支持下的改进型双参数模型可以更高效、更客观的对技能水平做出预测。