1，4－丁二醇的生产及市场需求

介绍了１，４－丁二醇的生产工艺、生产能力、产量和市场需求。     

Driver detection and recognition of lineside signals and signs at different approach speeds

A study was carried out using simulation to investigate driver responses to lineside signals and signs at various approach speeds. The objectives of the study were: (1) to find out whether train speed would significantly affect signal/sign reading; (2) to examine at which point certain types of signs or signals could be detected or recognised, and (3) to determine a speed cut-off level above which certain types of signs or signals are no longer recognisable or detectable. Fifty-seven train drivers from 12 Train Operating Companies in the UK participated in the trials. Twenty different types of lineside signs and ten types of signals were tested under six different approach speeds ranging from 100 to 350 km/h (62–218 mph). Driver performance measures were ‘time remaining to the signal/sign’ at the point of detection or recognition, and reading error rate. The results showed a significant influence of train speed on driver responses to lineside signals/signs and demonstrated a non-linear relationship between driver responses to signals/signs and approach speed. This has been used to estimate a maximum approach speed limit within which a specific signal or sign can be correctly detected or recognised. The findings and implications of the study are discussed in the paper.     

国内外乙丙橡胶市场供需状况

介绍了国内外乙丙橡胶市场的供需状况，并对我国乙丙橡胶的产业发展提出了建议。     

Measurement of Thermal Diffusivity at Low Temperatures Using an Optical Reflectivity Technique

An experimental arrangement has been developed for measuring the transient temperature responses and the thermal diffusivities of foil materials in the range of 10 to 300K by using the optical reflectivity technique. The cryogenic system with optical windows is designed to provide temperatures from 10 to 300 K. The front surface of a foil specimen is heated by a pulsed Nd:YAG laser. In situ measurement of the reflectivity of a continuous-wave He–Ne laser at the rear surface is conducted on the microsecond time scale. Using the temperature dependence of reflectivity, the transient temperature response is deduced. The thermal diffusivity is obtained by fitting Parker's formulae to the experimental data on temperature rise. Stainless-steel foils are chosen as samples and are studied in the region from 10 to 300 K. The accuracy is examined by comparing the present results with the theoretical temperature responses and thermal diffusivity data from the literature. Good agreement is observed.     

具有初始弯曲转子振动峰值的控制方法

本文从理论上研究了控制初始弯曲引起的转子振动幅值的一种新方法。通过在与转轴初始弯曲方向成较大夹角的方向添加不平衡质量的方法 ,使转子新的不平衡方向与初始弯曲方向夹角接近 180° ,则可以减小转子在临界转速附近的振幅。无论新的不平衡参数大于或小于初始弯曲参数 ,只要新的不平衡参数不至于太大 ,则临界转速附近的振幅响应肯定会得到改善。特别是当新的不平衡参数近似等于初始弯曲参数时 ,无论转速高低 ,振幅都会大幅下降。当重力参数、外阻尼系数和内阻尼系数改变后仍有同样结论。本文援引文献 [2 ]中的实例对这种方法进行了验证 ,并给出了解决类似故障的步骤。本文的方法可用于处理生产实际中转轴初弯引起的振动问题     

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鄂尔多斯盆地油气资源丰富 ,目前已累计探明天然气地质储量 1 18× 10 12 m3 ,成为了中国第一个天然气探明储量超过万亿立方米的大气区。长庆油田作为盆地勘探的主体 ,在 30余年的天然气勘探历程中 ,经历曲折和挫折 ,终于取得了令人瞩目的突破。靖边下古生界气田 (长庆气田 )的发现 ,即是解放思想 ,重新认识 ,改变构造成藏的认识 ,提出风化壳古地貌成藏认识的结果 ;榆林气田和苏里格气田的探明 ,则是解放思想 ,提出上古生界大面积含气背景下 ,存在高渗储层而坚持勘探的成果。天然气勘探取得突破是勘探者解放思想 ,对盆地特征重新认识 ,应用勘探新理论 ,改变勘探思路的结果。     

多变量自回归模型在三江平原井灌水稻需水量预测中的应用

应用多变量自回归模型ARV(n), 利用三江平原腹地-富锦市1985～1999年气象资料, 按水稻生育期划分6个生育阶段, 建立了井灌水稻生育期内需水量预测模型. 经模型拟合与预测, 效果良好, 可以为该地区开展节水灌溉、灌溉用水管理、合理开发利用地下水资源, 缓解地下水危机提供参考依据.     

我国“十五“电力供需预测分析

分析“十五”期间我国电力需求预测和电力预测中的不确定因素,提出建议采取的措施。     

Spare parts inventory management with demand lead times and rationing

We study an inventory system that consists of two demand classes. The orders in the first class need to be satisfied immediately, whereas the orders in the second class are to be filled in a given demand lead time. The two classes are also of different criticality. For this system, we propose a policy that rations the non-critical orders. Under a one-for-one replenishment policy with backordering and for Poisson demand arrivals for both classes, we first derive expressions for the service levels of both classes. The service level for the critical class is an approximation, whereas the service level for the non-critical class is exact. We then conduct a computational study to show that our approximation works reasonably, the benefits of rationing can be substantial, and the incorporation of demand lead time provides more value when the demand class with demand lead time is the critical class. The research is motivated by the spare parts service system of a major capital equipment manufacturer that faces two types of demand. For this company, the critical down orders need to be satisfied immediately, while the less critical maintenance orders can be satisfied after a fixed demand lead time. We conduct a case study with 64 representative parts and show that significant savings (as much as 14% on inventory on hand) are possible through incorporation of demand lead times and rationing.