Disaggregating growth in future retail electricity rates

The retail rate impacts of a number of emerging trends (e.g., rapid deployment of electric vehicles and storage, transmission build-out for large-scale renewables deployment, and grid modernization) are unknown. Importantly, decision-makers are concerned about the potential future rate impacts on energy affordability and equity. We disaggregate the key drivers of retail electricity rates and assess their impacts on future rate growth considering their interactions and uncertainty. Specifically, we develop ranges of future cost growth for a generic investor-owned and vertically-integrated electric utility representing typical cost and operating characteristics. The rate driver growth rate ranges are applied in isolation and jointly to quantify the uncertainty and variability in future retail electricity rates. The results identify what rate drivers and factors may minimize and/or decrease uncertainty in retail rate growth and their linkages to industry trends.     

PPDM中面向k-匿名的MI Loss评估模型

隐私保护数据挖掘（PPDM）利用匿名化等方法使数据所有者在不泄露隐私信息的前提下,安全发布在数据挖掘中有效可用的数据集。k-匿名算法作为PPDM研究使用最广泛的算法之一,具有计算开销低、数据形变小、能抵御链接攻击等优点,但是在一些k-匿名算法研究中使用的数据可用性评估模型的权重设置不合理,导致算法选择的最优匿名数据集在后续的分类问题中分类准确率较低。提出一种使用互信息计算权重的互信息损失（MI Loss）评估模型。互信息反映变量间的关联关系,MI Loss评估模型根据准标识符和标签之间的互信息计算权重,并通过Loss公式得到各个准标识符的信息损失,将加权后的准标识符信息损失的和作为数据集的信息损失,以弥补评估模型的缺陷。实验结果证明,运用MI Loss评估模型指导k-匿名算法能够明显降低匿名数据集在后续分类中的可用性丢失,相较于Loss模型和Entropy Loss模型,该模型分类准确率提升了0.73%~3.00%。     

An element-based formulation for ES-FEM and FS-FEM models for implementation in standard solid mechanics finite element codes for 2D and 3D static analysis

Edge-based and face-based smoothed finite element methods (ES-FEM and FS-FEM, respectively) are modified versions of the finite element method allowing to achieve more accurate results and to reduce sensitivity to mesh distortion, at least for linear elements. These properties make the two methods very attractive. However, their implementation in a standard finite element code is nontrivial because it requires heavy and extensive modifications to the code architecture. In this article, we present an element-based formulation of ES-FEM and FS-FEM methods allowing to implement the two methods in a standard finite element code with no modifications to its architecture. Moreover, the element-based formulation permits to easily manage any type of element, especially in 3D models where, to the best of the authors' knowledge, only tetrahedral elements are used in FS-FEM applications found in the literature. Shape functions for non-simplex 3D elements are proposed in order to apply FS-FEM to any standard finite element.     

Restrictive mechanism of flow control among non-cooperative Internet users

The flow and congestion control methods based on one-shot game model with non-cooperative game theory can explain the non-cooperative behavior of Internet users.However,the low effciency of equilibrium solutions affects their utility.Here the behavior of flow and congestion control based on infinitely repeated game models is addressed;the repeated and infinitely repeated flow and congestion control game model is presented; the existence and optimization of the Nash equilibrium point are proved;the discount ...     

论购物袋装饰图形的实用性与公益性的结合

富有创意的装饰图形的设计,能不同程度地改变购物袋的品位、档次。本文希望通过对购物袋上装饰图形的分析研究,折射出视觉传达的内涵,并以此说明装饰图形的设计是提高购物袋视觉传达力的关键,其目的是以公益广告图形中赋予的文化底蕴和自然状态感动观者的眼睛,触发人们对存在于形式之中某种情景的感动。将实用性与公益性相结合,为更好地探索购物袋上装饰图形设计的创新,寻求一种最合理化、最人性化的表现形式。     

基于图着色理论的最大效用频谱分配算法

研究基于图着色理论的频谱分配算法,提出一种改进的最大效用频谱分配算法。该算法生成类似于ISAA算法的用户效用矩阵和相应的干扰矩阵,选择最大效用用户或干扰值为0的用户进行频谱分配。仿真结果表明,该算法能有效减少频谱分配的时间开销,提高频谱的使用效率,最大化认知无线电系统的总效用。     

Reliability analysis and optimal version-updating for open source software

Context

Although reliability is a major concern of most open source projects, research on this problem has attracted attention only recently. In addition, the optimal version-dating for open source software considering its special properties is not yet discussed.

Objective

In this paper, the reliability analysis and optimal version-updating for open source software are studied.

Method

A modified non-homogeneous Poisson process model is developed for open source software reliability modeling and analysis. Based on this model, optimal version-updating for open source software is investigated as well. In the decision process, the rapid release strategy and the level of reliability are the two most important factors. However, they are essentially contradicting with each other. In order to consider these two conflicting factors simultaneously, a new decision model based on multi-attribute utility theory is proposed.

Results

Our models are tested on the real world data sets from two famous open source projects: Apache and GNOME. It is found that traditional software reliability models provide overestimations of the reliability of open source software. In addition, the proposed decision model can help management to make a rational decision on the optimal version-updating for open source software.

Conclusion

Empirical results reveal that the proposed model for open source software reliability can describe the failure process more accurately. Furthermore, it can be seen that the proposed decision model can assist management to appropriately determine the optimal version-update time for open source software.     

A comprehensive solution for application‐level adaptation

Driven by the emergence of mobile and pervasive computing there is a growing demand for context‐aware software systems that can dynamically adapt to their run‐time environment. We present the results of project MADAM that has delivered a comprehensive solution for the development and operation of context‐aware, self‐adaptive applications. The main contributions of MADAM are (a) a sophisticated middleware that supports the dynamic adaptation of component‐based applications, and (b) an innovative model‐driven development methodology that is based on abstract adaptation models and corresponding model‐to‐code transformations. MADAM has demonstrated the viability of a general, integrated approach to application‐level adaptation. We discuss our experiences with two real‐world case studies that were built using the MADAM approach. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

矩形顶管施工对下卧轨道交通盾构隧道 变形影响的数值模拟

针对苏州市综合管廊项目,为确保邻近既有轨道交通结构的安全,通过midas GTS模拟综合管廊与轨道交通交叉段的矩形顶管施工过程,研究综合管廊顶管施工对下卧轨道交通盾构隧道结构变形的影响。模拟结果认为施工引起的隧道变形在允许的范围之内,不会影响轨道交通正常运营。研究结果可对后续上穿轨道交通类似工程提供参考。     

基于效用曲线改进的前景理论价值函数

针对选取前景理论函数参数时仅考虑决策的不理性而并未区分决策者的风险态度这一特点,基于效用曲线改进了前景理论价值函数的形式并扩展了其参数范围.该函数借鉴效用曲线依据曲线形状区分决策者风险态度的方法,同时对比已有的实验数据,得出价值函数曲线形状与决策者风险态度相关,为价值函数参数选取提供了一定的理论依据.计算实例表明,该方法便于参数选取,决策结果稳定、有效,此外,风险决策时决策结果受参考点变化的影响远大于决策者不同的风险态度,在实际决策时对于参考点的选取需要非常谨慎.