Performance comparison of reduced models for leak detection in water distribution networks

This paper presents a methodology for comparing the performance of model-reduction strategies to be used with a diagnostic methodology for leak detection in water distribution networks. The goal is to find reduction strategies that are suitable for error-domain model falsification, a model based data interpretation methodology. Twelve reduction strategies are derived from five strategy categories. Categories differ according to the manner in which nodes are selected for deletion. A node is selected for deletion according to: (1) the diameter of the pipes; (2) the number of pipes linked to a node; (3) the angle of the pipes in the case of two-pipe nodes; (4) the distribution of the water demand; and, (5) a pair-wise combination of some categories.The methodology is illustrated using part of a real network. Performance is evaluated first by judging the equivalency of the reduced network with the initial network (before the application of any reduction procedure) and secondly, by assessing the compatibility with the diagnostic methodology. The results show that for each reduction strategy the equivalency of networks is verified. Computational time can be reduced to less than 20% of the non-reduced network in the best case. Results of diagnostic performance show that the performance decreases when using reduced networks. The reduction strategy with the best diagnostic performance is that based on the angle of two-pipe nodes, with an angle threshold of 165°. In addition, the sensitivity of the performance of the reduced networks to variation in leak intensity is evaluated. Results show that the reduction strategies where the number of nodes is significantly reduced are the most sensitive.Finally this paper describes a Pareto analysis that is used to select the reduction strategy that is a good compromise between reduction of computational time and performance of the diagnosis. In this context, the extension strategy is the most attractive.     

Limit load and shakedown analysis of plastic structures under stochastic uncertainty

Problems from plastic analysis are based on the convex, linear or linearised yield/strength condition and the linear equilibrium equation for the stress (state) vector. In practice one has to take into account stochastic variations of several model parameters. Hence, in order to get robust maximum load factors, the structural analysis problem with random parameters must be replaced by an appropriate deterministic substitute problem. A direct approach is proposed based on the primary costs for missing carrying capacity and the recourse costs (e.g. costs for repair, compensation for weakness within the structure, damage, failure, etc.). Based on the mechanical survival conditions of plasticity theory, a quadratic error/loss criterion is developed. The minimum recourse costs can be determined then by solving an optimisation problem having a quadratic objective function and linear constraints. For each vector a(·) of model parameters and each design vector x, one obtains then an explicit representation of the “best” internal load distribution F^∗. Moreover, also the expected recourse costs can be determined explicitly. Consequently, an explicit stochastic nonlinear program results for finding a robust maximal load factor μ^∗. The analytical properties and possible solution procedures are discussed.     

多源信息处理的实时集群计算机应用平台的实现

本文针对集群计算机系统实现的关键技术,重点分析了基于以太网的网络传输速率和操作系统实时性实现的特征,实现了国内首个基于动态任务分配表机制的多源信息处理的实时集群计算机系统应用平台;介绍了将该平台应用于测控系统的成功范例;证明了该系统的有效性。     

复方降脂中药的性味归经与药效的BPNN研究

针对复方中药药效与其性味归经之间复杂的、不确定的关系,建立适于复方降脂中药的BP神经网络模型,运用Matlab快速预测复方降脂中药的药效指标。经验证,该方法为一种快速、可靠的方法。     

基于改进的Capon滤波器组谱估计新方法

为了解决Capon滤波器组谱估计方法在α稳定分布噪声下性能出现退化的问题,提出了一种改进的Capon滤波器组谱估计方法,利用分数低阶协方差(FLOC)对传统的Capon滤波器组进行重构.由于分数低阶协方差的作用范围是0＜α≤2整个分数低阶空间,因此在α稳定分布噪声下其谱估计性能比基于二阶统计量方法的谱估计性能更好.计算机仿真结果显示了这种方法的优越性能,并且在高斯噪声环境下,其性能与二阶统计量下的方法类似.     

求解弹头散布均匀度的分布估计算法

未来空域窗射击体制是一种新型的高炮射击体制, 这种射击体制对近程防空反导具有显著的效果. 在对未来空域窗进行设计和评价时, 必须计算未来空域窗内弹头散布的均匀度, 并要求算法具有全局收敛以及解的精度高. 文章描述了未来空域窗弹头散布均匀度的问题, 提出了一种求解弹头散布均匀度的分布估计算法; 然后, 提出了一种变焦算法用来提高算法的搜索效率和解的精度, 并给出了混合算法的流程图. 仿真结果表明, 混合算法具有全局收敛、解的精度高以及搜索效率高的优点, 适合于在实际工程中用来求解弹头散布均匀度.     

短期负荷预测Volterra滤波器模型

讨论依据相空间邻近轨道演化相似性的特点构造训练模式,建立短期负荷预测Ｖｏｌｔｅｒｒａ滤波器模型的问题．以距离相似度和趋势相似度来衡量电力负荷吸引子轨道的相似度,提出了电力负荷吸引子邻近轨道判别的新方法．从模型训练充分性的角度出发,探讨了模型训练集规模的选择依据．仿真结果表明该模型是有效的．     

基于中间节点效应的无标度网络演化模型研究

原BA模型以网络中已存在的各个节点与新增节点的连接相互独立为前提。然而,在真实系统中,当网络中一个节点与新增节点连接后,该节点对其邻居节点与新增节点的连接会存在影响。针对该现象,提出了基于中间节点效应的无标度网络演化模型。首先描述与定义了中间节点效应,然后给出了中间节点效应模型的生成算法,并从理论上分析了该模型的度分布情况,最后利用仿真验证了理论分析的正确性,并就度分布、群聚系数、平均路径长度等复杂网络参数与原BA模型进行了对比,结果表明此模型能生成无标度网络并且更符合现实网络的演化过程。     

基于访问结构上秘密共享的自治愈群组密钥分发方案

自治愈的群组密钥分发能够在不可靠的网络中建立安全的群组会话密钥.基于用户可自行选取子秘密访问结构上的秘密共享方法,提出了一个自治愈的群组密钥分发方案,该方案能够让群组成员自行选取个人秘密信息,而不需要在群组管理员和每个群组成员之间建立安全信道.安全性分析表明,该方案是一个具有撤销能力的、保证前向保密性和后向保密性的、计算上安全的自治愈群组密钥分发方案.性能分析表明,该方案具有较小的存储开销和通信开铕.     

基于扩充的GIX/M/1/N排队系统的主动队列管理算法性能评价模型

为了评价主动队列管理(AQM Active Queue Management)算法的性能,通过在标准的排队系统GIX/M/1/N中嵌入主动队列管理(AQM)算法的方法,建立了一个扩充的GIX/M/1/N排队系统。利用该扩充的GIX/M/1/N排队系统和Internet业务流量自相似性的特征,提出了一种评价AQM算法在非响应业务流量下的性能的分析方法,并据此评价了TD,RED,GRED和Adaptive RED等4个经典的AQM算法。为了验证该分析方法的合理性,利用NS2进行了一系列的仿真实验。结果表明,该分析方法所得结果与仿真实验所得结果一致,因此该分析方法能用于评价AQM算法的性能。