A Study on the Model of Forecasting System about the Actual Telephone Occupation in the Lead Development

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关于随机集值映象的不动点定理

我们得到几个随机集值映象的不动点定理，它推广了Ｍ．Ｓ．Ｋｈａｍ的结果［５］，文中所使用的方法与其它作者不同     

Comparisons of Urban Travel Forecasts Prepared with the Sequential Procedure and a Combined Model

Detailed analyses and comparisons of urban travel forecasts prepared by applying the state-of-practice sequential procedure and the solution of a combined network equilibrium model are presented. The sequential procedure for solving the trip distribution, mode choice and assignment problems with feedback is the current practice in most transportation planning agencies, although its important limitations are well known. The solution of a combined model, in contrast, results from a single mathematical formulation, which ensures a well-converged and consistent result. Using a real network, several methods for solving the sequential procedure with feedback are compared to the solution of the combined model ESTRAUS. The results of these methods are shown to have various levels of instability. The paper concludes with a call for a new paradigm of travel forecasting practice based on an internally consistent model formulation that can be solved to a level of precision suitable for comparing alternative scenarios.     

深基坑重力式沙袋堆叠挡土工程的实践

本文介绍了湛江金辉煌综合楼工程的深基坑应用沙袋堆叠作挡土结构的设计与施工     

加权算术平均与几何平均关系式的新证法

利用函数极小点的性质,得到了若干个正数的加权算术平均与几何平均关系式的新证法     

连续化,高速化,自动化是提高线材制品在国内外市场竞争力的根本出路

对线材制品从连续化、自动化、高速化等方面与国外企业生产状况进行了分析比较,提出了实现生产过程的连续化、高速化、自动化是发展我国线材制品的必由之路的观点。     

非牛顿流体在气液搅拌槽内强制流动传热特征研究

为了确定非牛顿流体气流搅拌流动传热特征，对气体有效分散区域（载点）提出了无因次准数关联式，并就两种不同叶轮搅拌的通气管外传热系数作了比较。     

Identification environment and robust forecasting for nonlinear time series

In this paper, the methods of time series for nonlinearity are briefly surveyed, with particular attention paid to a new test design based on a neural network specification. The proposed integrated expert system contains two main components: an identification environment and a robust forecasting design. The identification environment can be viewed as a integrated dynamic design in which cognitive capabilities arise as a direct consequence of their self-organizational properties. The integrated framework used for discussing the similarities and differences in the nonlinear time series behavior is presented. Moreover, its performance in prediction proves to be superior than the former work. For the investigation of robust forecasting, we perform a simulation study to demonstrate the applicability and the forecasting performance.     

一种改进的灰度预测模型

灰色预测模型通常是GM模型,但预测精度有时不令人满意。在对模型GM做了进一步研究的基础上,提出了一个预测精度较高的新灰色预测模型,并从理论上证明了这种模型可以有效提高建模数据序列的光滑度。最后把此方法应用于东部某镇GDP的建模中,试验结果表明该方法是可行且有效的,所建模型的精度优于传统GM（1,1）模型的精度。     

主动推送模式下的情报需求预测模型

针对主动推送模式下的情报需求预测问题,提出了基于案例推理的解决方案。设计了进行情报需求预测案例分析的工作流程,建立了案例属性描述模型;应用最近邻法进行案例的相似度评价,并通过信息增益的计算确定每个属性的权值,获得相似案例(集);提出了方案调整和推理策略。