A method for multi-parameter PDF estimation of random variables

The probability distribution function (PDF) of a random variable Z is approximated with c·e^Q(z), where Q(z) is a polynomial function and c is normalizing constant. Based upon the weighted residual method, general linear algebraic equations have been derived for the evaluation of the unknown parameters in the polynomial. Numerical examples are presented and the results show that the PDFs obtained using the proposed method converge to those obtained from Monte Carlo simulation as the number of parameters in the approximate PDF increases.     

Early detection of ageing in solder joints through laser probe thermal analysis of the peltier effect

We have recently developed an optical contactless method for testing the quality of solder joints during accelerated thermal cycling ageing processes.¹ The method was based upon the measurement of the dynamic thermal behaviour of the joint to short bursts of Joule heating. It has proved to be efficient in revealing the formation of cracks at the lead-solder interface. We present a method to evaluate ageing at a much earlier stage in the cycling process. We have observed in earlier work,¹ that before cracks appear, structural changes occur in the solder at the lead-solder interface. The thermal response of the solder joint is recorded over time to a Peltier heat perturbation produced by flowing a current pulse through the interface where structural changes occur. The key point in this method is to discriminate the Peltier effect from the Joule thermal response because both effects generate heat. The variation of the early Peltier response in the thermal cycling ageing tests is seen as a quantitative signature of the structural changes in the lead-solder interface.     

病险水工建筑物可靠性评估方法初探

 水工建筑物可靠性评估是水利工程管理中急需解决的问题，将水工建筑物分解为由分部工程组成的层次结构，引入子系统概率重要性系数，用层次分析法导出水工建筑物系统可靠度指标的实用计算方法。     

国外模拟IC的发展现状分析

本文主要根据电子整机的发展要求,从集成化、高性能和高可靠等三方面分析国外模似IC的发展,进而说明模拟IC总的发展趋势及其表现。最后指出,模拟IC正面临一个新的变革时期。     

浅谈土坝测压管的分析论证

通过对几座典型水库大坝原型观测设施的分析论证，总结了土坝测压管观测设备分析论证的步骤和方法，从观测设施的考证及全面性、合理性、可靠性等方面进行分析，以确定各测压管的可操作性，从而为观测资料的准确性以及整编分析提供可靠的保证。     

三维结构可靠度对随机变量的敏感性研究

本文基于三维随机有限元提出了结构点可靠度、失效模式的可靠度及整个结构体系的可靠度分别对随机变量的＂分布参数＂和＂极限状态方程参数＂的敏感性计算方法，并以一典型重力坝为例进行了计算，得出了若干有益的结论。     

铸件浸渗系统脱液机故障树的建立和分析

利用FTA方法对脱液机的各种故障进行系统分析,建立了脱液机的故障树,并对故障树进行定性分析.找出了影响脱液机可靠性的主要因素,提出了提高脱液机可靠性的相应措施.     

考虑抗力退化的公路钢筋混凝土梁抗弯强度可靠性分析

本文采用了一个时变荷载模型和一个考虑了钢筋锈蚀，钢筋屈服拉力，混凝土抗压强度和粘结力等多个影响因素的多参数抗力劣化模型，对公路钢筋混凝土梁抗弯强度可靠性在服役期内的变化趋势进行了研究，并针对一实例对各影响参数对可靠性分析的敏感性进行了分析。     

螺旋管簧的可靠性优化设计

讨论了螺旋管簧的可靠性优化设计问题。在基本随机变量的概率特性已知的情况下，采用二阶矩法和可靠性优化设计方法对螺旋管簧进行了可靠性优化设计。通过计算机程序可以直接实现螺旋管簧的可靠性优化设计，迅速准确地得到螺旋管簧的可靠性优化设计信息。     

载人航天高可靠伺服技术

回顾了载人航天高可靠伺服技术的研制道路，介绍了用于载人航天火箭推力矢量控制中的新型三余度伺服机构的技术特点，对载人航天伺服技术的未来发展进行了分析和展望。