机械结构相似度评价及可靠性预计研究

在用传统的相似产品法进行可靠性预计时,所选取的相似产品与评价对象之间差异较大,会造成预计结果的偏差较大。为解决这一问题,提出了一种基于"功能—运动—动作"结构化分解的可靠性预计新方法。通过明确产品的各大运动功能建立功能层,分析完成各功能的机械部件运动建立运动层,确定实现各机械部件运动的元动作运动单元建立元动作层,建立了可靠性预计的"功能—运动—元动作运动单元"层次模型。引入区间层次分析法,确定了"功能—运动—元动作运动单元"层次模型中各子代运动单元对父代运动单元的可靠性影响权重,并构建了由子代运动单元预计父代运动单元可靠性的数学模型。确定影响评价机械结构相似度的因素,构建了区间数综合评判云模型并选取与元动作运动单元相似的参考结构,以区间数综合评价云模型得出的相似度值修正参考结构的可靠性数据来预计元动作运动单元的可靠性。将元动作运动单元的可靠性预计值代入数学模型,层层预计父代运动单元的可靠性,从而得出整个产品的可靠性水平。最后以数控转台为例进行了分析,得出了可靠性预计值,并将该方法与传统方法进行了比较。结果表明,新的可靠性预计方法具有较好的可行性和较高的准确性。     

Formulation to obtain the most reliable aggregate mix with quantity and other constraints

The aggregate batch mixing problem determines the proportion (or relative masses) in which aggregate batches with different gradations are to be blended so as to achieve a target mix with a given gradation. As shown in previous studies, the gradation of a batch is not homogeneous and should be considered stochastic. Also, when batches are blended in the field there are random variations in the masses or proportions of individual batches in the mix. Assuming batch gradation and blend masses as stochastic implies that the notion of a mix (blend) satisfying the gradation of a target mix becomes stochastic. In such a framework, every mix has a reliability with which it satisfies the definition of the target mix. In addition, a mix is also required to satisfy various restrictions. This article presents an optimization formulation to determine the most reliable mix while satisfying restrictions on available quantity, budget, etc.     

液氦温区大型低温制冷系统的可靠性评估

针对改进Claude循环的大型氦低温制冷系统,以制冷量不足为顶事件建立了故障树模型。利用结构法对故障树模型进行定性分析,分析得到系统的最小割集为18个。利用来自不同数据库的部件失效率对故障树模型进行定量计算,得到了不同的结果,并分析其原因。对各部件的关键重要度进行了计算,以衡量各个部件对系统发生故障的贡献程度。并通过增加系统冗余部件和提高关键部件可靠度等措施,为提高系统可靠性找到了有效的解决途径。     

以实施机关为主体的行政许可标准化评价

本文在分析我国行政许可评价制度的基础上,从标准化角度分析了行政许可评价制度的问题,在此基础上提出以实施机关为主体的行政许可标准化评价.     

Efficient conditional probability theorem and importance sampling-based methods for global reliability sensitivity analysis

Global reliability sensitivity (GRS) analysis can measure the effect of random inputs on failure probability (FP). To efficiently solve GRS, two conditional probability theorem (CPT)-based methods are proposed by combining adaptive Kriging (AK) with importance sampling (IS) (CPT-AK-IS) and combining AK with Meta-IS (CPT-AK-Meta-IS) respectively. Firstly, differentiation approximation and CPT are used to convert the estimation of conditional probability density function (PDF), which is required by the existing Bayes theorem-based methods, into that of a series of probabilities. Secondly, GRS can be directly estimated by the failure samples of IS, while the existing Bayes theorem methods based on IS need to transform the failure samples of IS into those of original PDF. Both the first and second strategies can reduce the computational complexity of solving GRS. Thirdly, by selecting a suitable differentiation interval with a proposed adaptive strategy, the estimation of a series of probabilities can be accurately completed as a byproduct of one IS based simulation for solving FP without additional computational cost. Finally, by introducing AK into IS and Meta-IS, it can reduce the number of evaluating performance function and the size of candidate sample pool simultaneously. These novelties are sufficiently verified by the presented examples.     

Monte Carlo and variance reduction methods for structural reliability analysis: A comprehensive review

Monte Carlo methods have attracted constant and even increasing attention in structural reliability analysis with a wide variety of developments seamlessly presented over decades. Along the way, a number of specialized reviews and benchmark studies have been provided from time to time, aiming at summarizing and comparing selected few approaches in detail, mainly from an implementation point of view. In contrast, the aim of the present survey is to play a comprehensive role as a methodological guidebook on Monte Carlo simulation and its related, especially variance reduction, techniques through a covering of 444 references in the relevant literature. To achieve this goal, we present an extensive review of formulations and techniques along with insightful summaries of developments of existing numerical methods, ranging from the general formulation, sub-categories and variants, to their combined uses with other simulation techniques and surrogate models, as well as the key advantages and assumptions.     

Reliability analysis on systems with self-healing and self-repairing under different environments and shock models

Inspired by the process of self-healing of biological damage, high technology materials with self-healing and self-repairing mechanisms have been developed for high reliability and long lifetime. Therefore, the reliability modeling on intelligent systems with healing performance has become a research hotspot. Based on the diversity of healing mechanisms, this paper proposes a two-phase reliability model method on self-healing and self-repairing systems. Impacts of environments, shock loads, self-healing, and self-repairing mechanisms are taken into account in this novel model. Besides, system lifetime and some reliability indexes under two shock models are derived, respectively. Moreover, Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to verify the accuracy of reliability under two models. Finally, an engineering case of metallized film capacitor is provided to illustrate the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed models by comparing numerical results and simulation results.     

车辆四轮转向系统的控制方法

系统地评述了车辆四轮转向系统的原理及其控制方法的发展,在此基础上指出四轮转向系统的研究必须以闭环综合评价为出发点,并与其它主动安全技术相结合才能真正达到实用阶段。     

改革实践教学模式、培养学生综合能力──增设给水排水专业质量检测实习的体会

对给排水专业在优化专业教学体系,深化专科教学模式及教学内容改革中,实施的四次大型综合性实践教学,进行了认真总结．经过改变随课跟进的实验教学旧模式,在教学计划中增设了“水质指标综合测试与水质评价”实习内容使分散的教学实验得以“水质监测与评价”为骨架,有机穿插在实践教学中,为专科学校培养复合应用型人才,进行了有益的探索与实践,并获得较好效果．     

基于网络的主题协作学习模式的探索

以微型计算机原理及应用课程网络教学改革为例,详细介绍一种基于网络资源利用的主题协作学习的模式,并提出网络环境下学生学习态度、网络教学环境、教师指导和自我评价表质量等建议。