Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Chart and Two‐Component Measurement Error

The two‐component measurement error (TCME) model effectively quantifies both the additive and multiplicative errors in analytical measurements. The performance of control charts in presence of TCME model has been investigated by researchers in recent past, but these studies are based on only considering fixed levels for the two‐component model parameters. In this study, we investigated the exponentially weighted moving average chart's performance in presence of TCME for varying levels of two‐component model parameters. A cost function analysis is also presented to determine the optimal number of multiple measurements and the sample size for reducing the effect of TCME. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

反渗透海水淡化技术最新研究动态

从降低海水反渗透淡化产水成本和环境友好过程的开发两个方面探讨了国内外海水反渗透淡化技术的最新研究成果和应用情况，包括能量回收器的研究、新型工艺过程的设计、海水反渗透膜的研究和应用、用膜法预处理代替传统化学器预处理以及NF—SWRO—MSF过程集成5个部分．     

Hybrid Petri-nets for modelling and performance evaluation of supply chains

Modelling and analysis of complex and co-ordinated supply chains is a crucial task due to its inherent complexity and uncertainty. Therefore, the current research direction is to devise an efficient modelling technique that maps the dynamics of a real life supply chain and assists industrial practitioners in evaluating and comparing their network with other competing networks. Here an effective modelling technique, the hybrid Petri-net, is proposed to efficiently handle the dynamic behaviour of the supply chain. This modelling methodology embeds two enticing features, i.e. cost and batch sizes, in deterministic and stochastic Petri-net for the modelling and performance evaluation of supply chain networks. The model is subsequently used for risk management to investigate the issues of supply chain vulnerability and risk that has become a major research subject in recent years. In the test bed, a simple productive supply chain and an industrial supply chain are modelled with fundamental inventory replenishment policy. Subsequently, its performance is evaluated along with the identification and assessment of risk factors using analytical and simulation techniques respectively. Thus, this paper presents a complete package for industrial practitioners to model, evaluate performance and manage risky events in a supply chain.     

关于风险检测安全阀失效的分析系统

安全阀是保障石油化工设备正常运行的重要绀成部分,本文以目前广泛采用的AP1581标准为基础,建市安全阀的失效分析系统.该系统在计算机理和界向交互方式上改进原标准,可以根据工厂设备和安全阀管理数据,分析安伞阀的开启失效和泄漏频率,为提高石油化工牛产的安全性和可靠性提供重要的分析依据.     

区域水资源短缺风险决策研究

为选择区域水资源短缺风险管理方案,在水资源短缺风险分析和评价的基础上,研究了水资源短缺风险决策的期望益损值法,最后对包括北京和天津在内的首都圈进行水资源短缺风险决策.结果表明,要彻底解决首都圈的水资源短缺问题,南水北调具有重要的作用,在南水北调存在的情况下,其他水资源管理措施的投资规模应该适度,这样才能保证区域社会经济的可持续发展和区域水资源的可持续利用.     

基于文本挖掘的WUI火灾致灾因子网络构建及特征分析

为预防和减少WUI火灾的发生, 挖掘WUI火灾关键致灾因子, 厘清致灾因子间的作用机制. 本文首先基于本文挖掘技术从WUI火灾事故案例中得到致灾因子, 使用Apriori算法得到致灾因子之间的关联规则. 然后使用复杂网络理论构建WUI火灾致灾因子网络, 计算网络拓扑特征参数, 探析WUI火灾致灾因子网络特征. 最后引入WUI火灾致因链风险度指标, 挖掘出高风险连边, 并提出断链措施. 结果表明: WUI火灾致灾因子网络具有小世界特性, 高温、强风、干旱等对其他致灾因子影响较大. 燃烧废弃物、植物起火、应急响应速度、人为纵火、强风在不同致灾因子转换中具有重要作用, 应加强管控. 网络中风险度最高的边是燃烧废弃物→植物起火, 通过颁布禁止擅自燃烧废弃物等规定, 即可切断该风险链, 实现对WUI火灾的预防和主动控制.     

单一时段和多时段下区域旋转备用的获取

在满足区域购买备用成本最小的目标下,基于"协调运作"的备用交易模式提出了单一时段内获取区域旋转备用容量的两种方法:①报价排队法,按照区域统一边际备用价格结算.②非线性规划法,按照机组实际报价结算,然后扩展至多时段内区域备用获取的计算,通过全局优化得到了优化后的区域备用容量,体现了区域间的备用支持,降低了获取的备用容量,优化了各地的电力资源.仿真算例分别说明了单一时段和多时段下区域备用获取的方法和计算结果.     

基于潮流跟踪的最小负荷削减费用计算

电网可靠性的经济性价值日益受到人们的重视,如何对其进行定量计算具有重要的现实意义.该文建立了体现电网可靠性经济价值的负荷削减费用模型,模型中综合考虑了节点负荷用户类型的分类和缺电损失评价率随停电时间的变化情况.在潮流跟踪法的基础上,提出了衡量负荷削减对缓解系统过负荷支路程度的经济性指标,并利用该指标对模型进行求解.算例结果验证了该方法的有效性和实用性.     

栀子食用人群栀子苷暴露评估

目的 了解我国居民栀子食用情况,评估我国栀子食用人群栀子苷暴露水平及健康风险。方法 通过文献检索和专项监测收集我国栀子中栀子苷含量数据,结合2019—2022年我国食药物质消费量调查数据,采用简单分布方法和概率评估方法获得我国不同人群通过食用栀子的栀子苷暴露水平及健康风险。结果 我国9省栀子食用率为10.32%,每日食用量均值为0.36 g,高消费人群每日栀子食用量为1.48 g。简单分布评估显示,9省栀子食用人群的栀子苷每日平均暴露量为0.29 mg/kg·BW,高消费人群（P95）栀子苷暴露量为1.28 mg/kg·BW,9省栀子食用人群中有17.20%的居民通过食用栀子的栀子苷暴露量超过其每日可耐受摄入量（TDI,0.386 mg/kg·BW）。河南省食用人群每日平均暴露量最高,为0.54 mg/kg·BW。概率评估结果显示,我国14.70%的栀子食用人群栀子苷暴露量超过TDI,具有潜在健康风险。结论 我国栀子食用人群的栀子苷暴露风险总体较低,但部分高消费人群（P95）存在健康风险。     

The Role of Polymorphisms at the Interleukin-1, Interleukin-4, GATA-3 and Cyclooxygenase-2 Genes in Non-Surgical Periodontal Therapy

Periodontitis is a multifactorial disease. The aim of this explorative study was to investigate the role of Interleukin-(IL)-1, IL-4, GATA-3 and Cyclooxygenase-(COX)-2 polymorphisms after non-surgical periodontal therapy with adjunctive systemic antibiotics (amoxicillin/metronidazole) and subsequent maintenance in a Caucasian population. Analyses were performed using blood samples from periodontitis patients of a multi-center trial (ClinicalTrials.gov {"type":"clinical-trial","attrs":{"text":"NCT00707369","term_id":"NCT00707369"}}NCT00707369=ABPARO-study). Polymorphisms were analyzed using quantitative real-time PCR. Clinical attachment levels (CAL), percentage of sites showing further attachment loss (PSAL) ≥1.3 mm, bleeding on probing (BOP) and plaque score were assessed. Exploratory statistical analysis was performed. A total of 209 samples were genotyped. Patients carrying heterozygous genotypes and single-nucleotide-polymorphisms (SNP) on the GATA-3-IVS4 +1468 gene locus showed less CAL loss than patients carrying wild type. Heterozygous genotypes and SNPs on the IL-1A-889, IL-1B +3954, IL-4-34, IL-4-590, GATA-3-IVS4 +1468 and COX-2-1195 gene loci did not influence CAL. In multivariate analysis, CAL was lower in patients carrying GATA-3 heterozygous genotypes and SNPs than those carrying wild-types. For the first time, effects of different genotypes were analyzed in periodontitis progression after periodontal therapy and during supportive treatment using systemic antibiotics demonstrating a slight association of GATA-3 gene locus with CAL. This result suggests that GATA-3 genotypes are a contributory but non-essential risk factor for periodontal disease progression.