Model validation and model structure determination

This paper gives a tutorial overview of basic approaches for model validation and model structure determination.Work partially supported by the Swedish Research Council for Engineering Sciences under contract 98-654.     

《宏观经济学》课程教学体系梳理

宏观经济学从资源如何充分利用这一独特的研究视角出发，以国民收入的决定为核心，以从二部门到部门到四部门为横线，从简单模型到扩展模型到总供求模型为纵线，从理论到政策为立线，构造了一个立体的理论框架体系。对宏观经济学的理论脉络进行梳理，能帮助学生提纲挈领地把握宏观经济学的理论体系。     

欧洲无线DSL的发展现状及市场前景

对欧洲的立法者来说，目前最为关注的课题之一便是如何解决数字鸿沟这一困扰欧洲大陆信息与通信技术整体发展水平的矛盾。向人们提供高速因特网接入服务是消除数字鸿沟的有效手段，而无线数字用户线技术以及其成低、通信质量好、覆盖范围大及灵活性等优势成为宽带接入技术中的佼佼者，并获得很多欧洲国家电信运营商的青睐。     

宽带线性调频信号产主技术研究

本文介绍了采用数字基带产生结合倍频链扩展带宽的方法设计与实现了大带宽线性调频信号产生系统。详细分析研究了实现系统的三项关键技术，给出并分析了相应环节的输出信号。对系统进行了预失真补偿处理，成功实现了ＶＨＦ／ＵＨＦ波段、带宽达３００ＭＨｚ线性调频信号的产生。经脉冲压缩处理，主瓣旁瓣比（ＰＳ１Ｒ）在－３７ｄＢ以下。     

用迭代法消除数字图像放大后的模糊

用迭代法对数字图像经过插值放大后产生的模糊问题进行了研究，把数字图像插值放大造成的模糊看成是点扩散函数与清晰图像卷积的结果，根据插值算法可以得到点扩散函数，由于数字图像解卷积是典型的解线性方程组的问题，用雅可比（Jacobi）迭代法得到了很好的结果。与频谱空间变换的方法相比，迭代法没有分母为0的问题和空间变换过程造成的舍入误差。     

Extending boosting for large scale spoken language understanding

We propose three methods for extending the Boosting family of classifiers motivated by the real-life problems we have encountered. First, we propose a semisupervised learning method for exploiting the unlabeled data in Boosting. We then present a novel classification model adaptation method. The goal of adaptation is optimizing an existing model for a new target application, which is similar to the previous one but may have different classes or class distributions. Finally, we present an efficient and effective cost-sensitive classification method that extends Boosting to allow for weighted classes. We evaluated these methods for call classification in the AT&;T VoiceTone^® spoken language understanding system. Our results indicate that it is possible to obtain the same classification performance by using 30% less labeled data when the unlabeled data is utilized through semisupervised learning. Using model adaptation we can achieve the same classification accuracy using less than half of the labeled data from the new application. Finally, we present significant improvements in the “important” (i.e., higher weighted) classes without a significant loss in overall performance using the proposed cost-sensitive classification method.     

Prediction and quality control of the melt index during production of high-density polyethylene

In polyolefin processes the melt index (MI) is the most important control variable indicating product quality. Because of the difficulty in the on-line measurement of MI, a lot of MI estimation and correlation methods have been proposed. In this work a new dynamic MI estimation scheme is developed based on system identification techniques. The empirical MI estimation equation proposed in the present study is derived from the 1 ^st -order dynamic models. Effectiveness of the present estimation scheme was illustrated by numerical simulations based on plant operation data including grade change operations in high density polyethylene (HDPE) processes. From the comparisons with other estimation methods it was found that the proposed estimation scheme showed better performance in MI predictions. The virtual sensor model developed based on the estimation scheme was combined with the virtual on-line analyzer (VOA) to give a quality control system to be implemented in the actual HDPE plant. From the application of the present control system, significant reduction of transition time and the amount of off-spec during grade changes was achieved     

User interfaces for communication bridges across the digital divide

Connecting people across the “digital divide” is as much a social effort as a technological one. We are developing a community-centred approach to learn how interaction techniques can compensate for poor communication across the digital divide. We have incorporated the lessons learned regarding social intelligence design in an abstraction and in a device called the SoftBridge. The SoftBridge allows communication to flow from endpoints through adapters, getting converted if necessary, and out to destination endpoints. Field trials are underway with two communities in South Africa: disadvantaged Deaf users and an isolated rural community. Initial lessons learned show that we have to design user interfaces that allow users to understand and cope with delay. We also learned that social concerns are often more important than the technical issues in designing such systems.     

Sandia National Laboratories Validation Workshop: Structural dynamics application

This article specifies a virtual structural dynamic subsystem and some systems, as well as mathematical models that approximately simulate them. The purpose is to define a setting for model validations conceived by participants in the Sandia National Laboratories Validation Workshop. Some broad guidelines for the model validations are set, as well as a regulatory requirement to be satisfied by the target system. Participants are directed to present techniques for subsystem model validation, to analytically predict whether or not the regulatory requirement will be met, and to estimate the likelihood of accuracy of the prediction.     

无纸化建造

本文通过分析先锋建筑师借鉴汽车制造领域的无纸化技术进行的建造实践,揭示了无纸化建造的操作过程,并探讨了无纸化建造的意义,那就是无纸化不仅改变了传统的设计方法,而且改变了传统的建造方式,这将是人类的建造技术发展史上的一场伟大的变革.文章最后探讨了无纸化建造在中国的实践意义.