The PAR(p) Interconfigurations model used by the Brazilian Electric Sector

This study discusses the characteristics of the Periodic Autoregressive model, PAR(p), which is used to generate synthetic series of inflow energies that serve as entries for computer platforms that implement the planning and expansion of the operations of the BES – the Brazilian Electric Sector (SEB – Sistema Elétrico Brasileiro). The methodology for the design of a generating plant is presented in addition to the fundamentals of the “PAR(p) Interconfigurations” Model, which is referred to as the Inflow Energy Generation Model (IEGM) in this study. The major contribution of this study is to provide the first scientific discussion of the representation of multiple configurations using the PAR(p) model. For this purpose, several topics related to the time series are discussed, such as the definition of the model order, the matter of stationarity and the need to address possible outliers. Finally, a case study is presented, wherein the results of the estimation and generation of the described model’s scenarios are demonstrated.     

Recent-onset ecstasy use: Association with deviant behaviors and psychiatric comorbidity.

Background: Despite increases in ecstasy (MDMA) use in the United States, little is known about characteristics linked with recent-onset ecstasy use, especially psychiatric symptoms and deviant behaviors. Aims: To test whether individuals with high levels of other drug use are more likely to be recent-onset ecstasy users; to test whether psychiatric symptoms in adults are associated with recent-onset ecstasy use; to explore the association between recent-onset ecstasy use and concomitant deviant behaviors in adolescents and adults. Methods: Data from the 2001 National Survey on Drug Use and Health. Findings: Recent-onset ecstasy use was significantly more likely to occur among adolescents and adults (18-34 years old) who engaged in deviant behaviors during the past year as compared with those who did not engage in deviant behaviors during the past year. Higher levels of deviancy indicated a higher likelihood of being a recent-onset ecstasy user, and associations were strongest with nonviolent deviant behaviors such as selling illegal drugs and stealing. Associations between deviant behaviors and recent-onset ecstasy use were similar in strength to associations between deviant behaviors and recent-onset cocaine and marijuana use, respectively. Adults who had past-year psychiatric symptoms (both depressive and panic symptoms) were twice as likely to be recent-onset ecstasy users as compared with those without past-year psychiatric symptoms. Greater levels of drug involvement increased the odds of being a recent-onset ecstasy user. Conclusion: Recent-onset ecstasy use seems to be associated with a range of other behavioral problems and may reflect one aspect of a larger problem behavior syndrome. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

AT89C2051芯片在车载产品中的应用

本文论述了采用单片机技术研制成功的泊车用超声波测距仪的基本原理,用AT89C2051作为控制器的实现方案,以及采用软件校正的方法,提高了测量精度和整机的可靠性.     

A note on the value function for constrained control problems

We consider the Mayer optimal control problem with dynamics given by a nonconvex differential inclusion, whose trajectories are constrained to a given set and we obtain a relation between the costate function that appears in the maximum principle and the value function. This relation extends the known conditions existing in the literature for unconstrained problems to those for problems under state constraints.     

浅析医药包装

随着市场经济的深入，医药包装正成为我国经济发展的朝阳产业，文中意在介绍先进的医药包装材料。分析其应用情况及发展趋势和动态。     

焉耆盆地原油物理化学特征及油源对比研究

在焉耆盆地侏罗系三工河组和八道湾组均发现原油,目前关于侏罗系产层原油的油源问题存在不同的认识。对研究区原油的物理、化学性质进行系统的研究,认为侏罗系三工河组和八道湾组原油不仅在物理性质上有一定的差别,而且在地球化学组成及生物标记化合物上也有一定的差异,应具有不同的来源。侏罗系三工河组原油属于典型腐殖型干酪根成因,而侏罗系八道湾组原油除了具有腐殖型干酪根成因的某些特征外,还具有湖相泥岩生烃的特点。通过原油与各类源岩生物标志物进一步对比分析发现,侏罗系三工河组原油与西山窑、三工河组烃源岩及石炭系、三叠系烃源岩地球化学特征均存在明显差异,与侏罗系八道湾组烃源岩对比性较好。侏罗系八道湾组原油与八道湾组、三叠系源岩有一定相似性,因此认为八道湾组源岩为其主要源岩,三叠系源岩也有一定的贡献。目前勘探生产主要以八道湾组烃源岩为目标,下一步应加强对三叠系烃源岩贡献区带的勘探部署。      

Effect of Strain Rate on Discontinuous Flow and Mechanical Characteristics of High-Nitrogenous Steel

Experimental study on the effect of strain rate on discontinuous flow and mechanical characteristics of the high-nitrogenous steel Kh23AG19F has been performed. Within the range of strain rates from 4.62 · 10^-5 to 1.85 · 10 ^-4 s^-1, discontinuous flow, reflected by serration on the tensile diagram, is chiefly determined by intergranular deformation mechanisms. Under strain rates over 1.85 · 10^-2 s^-1, combined deformation modes prevail, which cause a change in the character of discontinuous flow and transform a serrated tensile diagram into a wavy graph, with the yield stress of steel increased significantly.     

渤海湾盆地济阳——临清东部煤系烃源岩形成环境

钻井、地震、测井及测试资料综合研究认为:渤海湾盆地济阳—临清东部地区石炭—二叠系主要发育一套浅海碳酸盐岩台地相灰岩、障壁—潟湖、潮坪、沼泽及三角洲相陆源碎屑岩和煤层.从纵向发育的沉积特征来看,上石炭统本溪组发育浅海台地相碳酸盐岩和浅海陆棚相(陆表海)砂泥岩,太原组主要发育障壁—潟湖、潮坪、沼泽相碳酸盐岩、陆源碎屑岩和煤的混合沉积;二叠系山西组主要发育三角洲相和三角洲平原沼泽相砂泥岩及煤,下石盒子组和上石盒子组则以发育近海陆相碎屑岩沉积为主,局部有河流沼泽的泥炭和煤发育.沉积环境总体具有自下而上、由南向北由浅海相、海陆交互相逐步过渡为陆相的基本特点.成煤环境以晚石炭世—早二叠世太原、山西期潮坪、潟湖过渡带之潮坪沼泽环境及三角洲平原沼泽环境为最佳.      

催化裂化装置沉降器内结焦物的基本特性分析及其形成过程的探讨

采用扫描电镜（SEM）和X射线能谱分析仪对催化裂化装置（FCCU）沉降器内结焦物的微观组织结构和成分进行了分析，将结焦物划分为软焦和硬焦。焦的硬度与油气液滴和催化剂颗粒的沉积过程有关，尤其是结焦部位的油气流动方式和催化剂颗粒的运动状态，决定着未汽化的重质油组分液滴和催化剂颗粒的沉积形式和沉积物的构成，从而影响着焦的软硬程度。软焦是催化剂颗粒或油气在油气静止空间以自由沉降和扩散方式堆积在器壁表面而产生的结焦，形成的焦块松散，易粉碎，含催化剂比较多，颗粒粒径比较大，是一种堆积型结焦；而硬焦是油气液滴和细小催化剂颗粒在油气流动状态下，在器壁表面的附面层内以沉积方式粘附在器壁表面形成的结焦，焦块质地坚硬，含催化剂比较少。颗粒粒径细小，足沉积型结焦。还有相当一部分结焦物介于软焦和硬焦之间。     

迷宫螺旋泵和密封工作特性研究

介绍了一种实测迷宫螺旋泵和密封工作特性的实验方法,通过该方法可以测得迷宫螺旋泵的泵送特性曲线、迷宫螺旋端面组合密封的最大密封压力以及端面开启的开始转速,具有一定的实用价值。