DHMM＋SVM在切削颤振中的应用

根据切削颤振的特点,结合隐马尔可夫模型（Hidden Markov Model,HMM）和支持向量机（Support Vector Machine,SVM）的特点,提出了一种新的状态预测技术,同时也提出了一种新的特征提取方法。首先在等时间间隔内对切削信号实时进行小波包分解,然后通过SVM对各频带区间能量变化趋势进行回归预测,最后通过HMM对预测结果进行分类。结果表明,该方法取得了较好的预测结果。     

Hybrid evolutionary algorithms in a SVR-based electric load forecasting model

Accurately electric load forecasting has become the most important issue in energy management; however, electric load often presents nonlinear data patterns. Therefore, looking for a novel forecasting approach with strong general nonlinear mapping capabilities is essential. Support vector regression (SVR) reveals superior nonlinear modeling capabilities by applying the structural risk minimization principle to minimize an upper bound of the generalization errors, it is quite different with ANNs model that minimizing the training errors. The purpose of this paper is to present a SVR model with a hybrid evolutionary algorithm (chaotic genetic algorithm, CGA) to forecast the electric loads, CGA is applied to the parameter determine of SVR model. With the increase of the complexity and the larger problem scale of electric loads, genetic algorithms (GAs) are often faced with the problems of premature convergence, slowly reaching the global optimal solution or trapping into a local optimum. The proposed CGA based on the chaos optimization algorithm and GAs, which employs internal randomness of chaos iterations, is used to overcome premature local optimum in determining three parameters of a SVR model. The empirical results indicate that the SVR model with CGA (SVRCGA) results in better forecasting performance than the other methods, namely SVMG (SVM model with GAs), regression model, and ANN model.     

基于EEMD和SVR的单自由度结构状态趋势预测

为了解决结构早期损伤难以正确识别的问题,本文结合聚类经验模式分解（EEMD）解决随机不确定性问题和支持向量机（SVM）解决预测问题这两者的优势,提出了一种基于EEMD特征提取的支持向量机回归（SVR）结构状态趋势预测方法。先对单自由度结构渐进损伤的加速度振动信号进行EEMD,再进行希尔伯特变换（HT）,计算瞬时频率,然后用回归支持向量机对反映结构健康状态的瞬时频率进行趋势预测。研究表明：对于渐变损伤该方法可以准确地、高精度地预测结构状态趋势。     

支持向量回归机在逆向选择合约模型量化分析中的应用

为解决激励合约理论的量化分析和实际应用问题,提出了基于支持向量回归机(SVR)的逆向选择合约模型的数值分析方法。利用SVR对效用函数建模,解决了效用函数无法用解析函数表达的问题。在此基础上,分别推导出了自然条件好与差两种情形下逆向选择模型的梯度表达式、代理人高效率类型和低效率类型的逆向选择模型的梯度表达式,并给出了相应的梯度法迭代算法。利用这一算法进行数值计算和量化分析,观察上述两种逆向选择模型中参数变化对合约均衡点变化趋势的影响。计算结果表明用基于SVR的数值分析方法定量分析激励合约模型是可行的。     

支持向量回归在不确定面向订单装配环境下交货期预测中的应用

针对面向订单装配(ATO)生产环境,如何根据订单信息、生产系统特性快速地估算出准确、可靠的交货期问题,在分析不确定性要素对交货期影响机制的基础上,构建了订单交货期预测模型。模型参数包括三个部分：订单上线时间、装配周期和异常拖期。订单上线时间基于零部件、生产能力的可用性,订单装配周期和异常拖期采用基于实际生产历史数据的支持向量回归(SVR)方法进行预测。案例研究表明该模型预测结果与实际交货期接近,可以用于指导订单交货期协商。     

基于支持向量回归的立体图像客观质量评价模型

立体图像质量评价是评价立体视频系统性能的有效途径,而如何利用人类视觉特性对立体图像质量进行有效评价是目前的研究难点。该文根据图像奇异值有较强稳定性的特点,结合立体图像的主观视觉特性,提出了一种基于支持向量回归(Support Vector Regression, SVR)的立体图像客观质量评价模型。该模型通过分析立体图像的视觉特性,提取左右图像的奇异值作为立体图像的特征信息,然后根据立体图像的不同失真类型情况对其特征进行融合,通过SVR预测得到立体图像质量的客观评价值。实验结果表明,采用该文提出的客观评价模型对立体数据测试库进行评价,Pearson线性相关系数值在0.93以上,Spearman等级相关系数值在0.94以上,均方根误差值接近6,异常值比率值为0.00%,符合人眼视觉特性,能够很好地预测人眼对立体图像的主观感知。     

Machine learning methods for short‐term bid forecasting in the renewable energy market: A case study in Italy

In liberalized markets, there usually exists a day‐ahead session where energy is sold and acquired for the following production day. Owing to the high uncertainty of its production, renewable energy (wind in particular) can significantly influence the network imbalance of the following day. In this work, we consider the problem of predicting the sum of the bid volumes for wind energy of all the producers inside the day‐ahead energy market. This is a valuable tool to be used by an energy provider in order to determine the imbalance of a market zone and, thus, properly size its bids. In particular, we focus on the estimation of the possible relationship between the meteorological forecasts and the wind power offered on the market by the companies for a market zone. We propose a machine learning model which is used to compute a 1‐day‐ahead forecast. The input‐output mapping is obtained by support vector regression. The input feature vector is defined by a suitable feature extraction technique since the meteorological forecasts are given on a lattice of thousands of geographical points. The computational experiments are performed considering the Italian market as a case study (years 2012‐2016). The results show that the proposed feature extraction technique, selecting only some geographical zones, manages to reduce the error attained using all the features. Moreover, classical statistical methods are shown to be outperformed by machine learning models. The analysis reveals also some weaknesses of the model, which may be due to other nonmeteorological factors at play.     

高动态范围图像客观质量评价方法

针对当前高动态范围（HDR）图像质量评价方法未考虑图像色度和结构信息的问题,提出了一种新的HDR图像客观质量评价方法。首先,利用HDR-VDP-2.2中的基于视觉感知的模型得到关于亮度与对比度的视觉保真度特征;然后,将HDR图像转换到YIQ彩色空间,对彩色空间中的Y、I、Q通道分别进行处理,求得色度相似度和结构相关度特征;最后,利用支持向量回归（SVR）的方法对特征进行融合,预测得到高动态范围图像质量的客观评价值。实验结果表明,与HDR-VDP-2.2相比,该方法的Pearson相关系数和Spearman等级相关系数分别提升了23.09%和25.34%;均方根误差（RMSE）降低了38.01%。所提出的方法与主观视觉感知具有更高的一致性。     

特征互补的图像美学质量评分方法*

深度卷积神经网络(DCNN)难以针对性地分析图像的特定区域及其相互关系.文中将深度特征与人工设计的特征进行互补结合,提出对图像美学质量评分的方法.首先确定并抽取对美感起主导作用的特定区域,针对该区域及其与其它区域的关系,选择和设计5组美学相关的人工特征,特别是提出线条角度特征和清晰度对比特征.基于Siamese网络结构获取深度特征.选用支持向量回归(SVR)对上述两类特征进行回归预测,并设计基于spearman秩相关系数的权值调节最终的分数.实验表明,文中方法效果较优,与图像美学质量的主观评价具有较好的一致性.     

基于支持向量机的属性优选和储层预测

本文采用基于支持向量机(SVM)的特征选择方法进行地震属性优选,根据油井的产油气情况将油井分为高产井和低产井,利用SVM对这些样本进行训练,然后根据每个属性对应的权值进行筛选,便可以选取对油气敏感的属性,进而更好地预测储层。具体过程为:①提取一定量的地震属性;②根据已知井的信息,获得训练样本,训练线性SVM;③计算各个特征的权值;④选取较大权值绝对值对应的多个属性;⑤将支持向量回归机(SVR)应用于优选出的属性,获得储层预测的结果。实际资料应用结果表明,文中方法不仅能筛选出有效的地震属性,还能够有效地预测储层。