Technical Note: Selecting a Classification Method by Cross-Validation

If we lack relevant problem-specific knowledge, cross-validation methods may be used to select a classification method empirically. We examine this idea here to show in what senses cross-validation does and does not solve the selection problem. As illustrated empirically, cross-validation may lead to higher average performance than application of any single classification strategy, and it also cuts the risk of poor performance. On the other hand, cross-validation is no more or less a form of bias than simpler strategies, and applying it appropriately ultimately depends in the same way on prior knowledge. In fact, cross-validation may be seen as a way of applying partial information about the applicability of alternative classification strategies.     

A prediction method for thermal conductivity of alternative refrigerants in the liquid phase

A prediction method for the thermal conductivity of halocarbon refrigerants in the saturated liquid state in the reduced temperature range 0.3 to well above 0.9 is presented in this paper. The aim of the method is to present a very simple calculation of the transport property useful for engineering purposes. The method determines thermal conductivity as a sole function of the reduced temperature and requires the knowledge of a parameter dependent upon easily available physical constants characteristic of each compound. The method is validated against experimental data available in the literature, giving average absolute deviations which are usually less than 5%, with maximum absolute deviations generally less than 10%. An extension of the method to estimate thermal conductivity of binary mixtures is also presented, along with a comparison with the few experimental data available in the literature.Paper presented at the Twelfth Symposium on Thermophysical Properties, June 19–24, 1994, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A.     

Predictive modelling of the 3-D structure of interleukin-13

Several atomic structures are now available for the family ofhelical cytokines, which includes growth hormone as well asmany of the interleukins. Using structural information fromfive members of this family, two alternative models of interleukin(IL)-13 are proposed. IL-13 has biological properties similarto those of IL-4 and, like the other interleukins, is a potentiallyimportant pharmaceutical target. The model of IL-13 is discussedand compared with the known interleukin structures.     

正庚烷-甲苯-三甘醇三元体系液-液相平衡数据的测定与关联

利用气相色谱法测定了常压下２５℃、４０℃和５０℃时正庚烷－甲苯－三甘醇体系的液－液相平衡数据，采用峰面积归一化法定量，所得数据准确、可靠。用ＮＲＴＬ模型对所测数据进行了热力学关联，求出了相应的模型参数。用该模型对本三元体系进行了预测，结果令人满意。     

大庆油田深层岩石力学特性参数的试验研究

通过对岩石可钻性、硬度、抗压强度等参数的测量 ,对大庆油田深井不同深度、不同层位、不同岩性的具有广泛代表性的岩心进行试验。并通过线性回归分析 ,建立了适用性较广的钻井岩石力学特性参数预测模型 ,为深井钻头选型提供了依据。     

现场地质预测与决策技术

油气的生成、运移、分布、成藏、保存具有规律性，技术人员可以依据其规律性对地下地质情况进行推理、预测和决策。钻井过程的现场地质预测技术方法主要是外推法、因果法和直观法三大类。外推法是常用的预测方法，包含了岩性、沉积旋回、标志层、标准层、重矿物等岩石地层学对比方法和生物地层学方法及地球物理方法。现场地质预测与决策是通过确定预测目标、收集相关资料、进行对比分析、形成地质预测结果、拟定地质决策方案、方案优选、方案实施等环节来完成。该技术是现场地质监督的核心技术，在实践中取得显著成效。     

升平气田产能预测方法

依据升平气田的试井资料，建立了气井产能与压差之间的二次项产能方程。运用此方程可以预测升平气田的单井产能，并且建立了压差平方与kh值相关的气田综合产能方程。当求得气田的平均kh值后，利用该方法可以求得气田的平均产能或生产压差。     

金属矿山深热矿井空气温度的灰色预测

金属矿山深热矿井气温的预测计算是一个难题，本文探讨了应用灰色系统预测理论来解决这一难题的新途径，并通过实例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

货运调车场减速顶噪声及治理的探讨

铁路货物运输枢纽的调车场中，驼峰调车是主要的调车手段，为提高生产效率和确保安全，沿驼峰下滑道布置的减速器（减速闸，减速顶）的噪声是调车场噪声的主要声源之一，本文通过对昆明东站铁路降噪工程的观测试验项目，探讨了减速顶噪声的特性及治理措施。     

Predicting postdischarge opiate abstinence from admission measures of motivation and confidence.

Admission scores from a model comprising 3 motivation factors concerning the cessation of heroin use and a confidence scale concerning postdischarge abstinence were tested for their ability to predict postdischarge outcomes in patients beginning inpatient opiate detoxification. Statistically significant prediction of abstinence from heroin 30 days after discharge and the number of heroin-free days in the 3 months following admission was based on the confidence scale and a factor concerned with externally imposed constraints on continued heroin use. The single-scale confidence measure made the largest contribution to each prediction, indicating that such scales may be potentially useful outcome predictors for postdischarge abstinence. External constraints on heroin use may not provide a basis for success in this treatment modality. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)