古尔班通古特沙漠梭梭林地NDVI的时间效应-基于物候变化和MODIS图像的研究

遥感图像信息提取研究是遥感研究中的一个关键问题,也是遥感研究的热点和难点之一。使用2000~2010年MODIS-NDVI 16 d合成数据和物候记录,借助GIS空间分析和统计分析方法,重构了古尔班通古特沙漠梭梭林地Mean NDVI时间序列特征曲线。分析物候与Mean NDVI时间序列表明,梭梭林地内的短命植物生长期早于梭梭。研究梭梭林地Mean NDVI时间序列曲线发现,曲线中存在一个明显区别于其他地物的特征点,该点可以作为梭梭林地信息“诊断点”。根据“诊断点”特征构建了梭梭林地特征指数模型(HFFI),进而反演了古尔班通古特沙漠梭梭林地信息,并利用地面实际观测资料进行验证,结果表明分类精度达到83%。     

基于ADASYN-SFS-RF的欺诈检测模型泛化性能提升及可解释性研究

针对行业欺诈行为形式多样、操作隐蔽,且数据分布极端不平衡等问题,研究采用ADASYN（adaptive synthetic sampling approach for imbalanced learning）算法将分类决策边界向困难的实例进行自适应移动实现数据扩增,以解决不平衡数据造成的过拟合问题。采用基于随机森林的序列向前搜索策略算法筛选出最优特征子集对欺诈进行检测,降低ADASYN算法添加噪声数据对分类边界确定的影响,构建欺诈检测模型,并使用LIME对模型检测结果作出局部解释,提高模型的使用价值。实验表明,该模型可以较好地克服传统欺诈检测模型对多数类样本误分类的缺陷,有助于提高行业对交易欺诈行为识别的效率。同时,通过LIME对模型检测出的随机样本进行有效解析,便于决策者对算法模型的检测结果作出实证分析,起到明显的预警及决策参考价值。     

洪水预报智能模型在中国半干旱半湿润区的应用对比

为探究不同洪水预报智能模型在我国半干旱半湿润区的应用效果,选用决策树、多层感知器、随机森林和支持向量机4种模型在陕西省3个典型流域进行逐时洪水预报;选择相关系数、纳什效率系数、均方根误差、平均绝对误差和相对误差等评价指标,比较不同预见期下4种模型在半干旱半湿润典型流域洪水预报的适用性。结果表明:在短预见期预报中,4种模型在半湿润区典型流域均可获得较高的预报结果,在半干旱典型流域模拟精度相对偏低,仅支持向量机模型满足预报要求;随着预见期延长,不同模型性能变化差异大,支持向量机模型整体稳定,在小流域实时洪水预报中具有明显优势;随机森林模型与决策树模型精度随预见期延长而缓慢下降,前者适应性更好;多层感知器模型精度随预见期延长而骤减,模型稳定性较差。     

A factor mining model with optimized random forest for concrete dam deformation monitoring

The unique structure of a dam complicates safety monitoring. Deformation can provide important information about dam evolution. In contrast to model prediction, actual dam response monitoring data can be used for diagnosis and early warning. Given the poor data mining ability of the conventional methods, it is essential to develop a method for extracting the factors influencing a dam. In this study, a data mining method and a model for evaluation of concrete dam deformation were developed using the evidence theory and a random forest. The model has the advantages of being easily understood, visualization with low complexity of training time, and accurate prediction. The model was applied to an actual concrete dam. The results indicated that the proposed random forest model could be used in analysis of concrete dams.     

Selection of optimized features for fusion of palm print and finger knuckle‐based person authentication

The impact of digital technology in biometrics is much more efficient at interpreting data than humans, which results in completely replacement of manual identification procedures in forensic science. Because the single modality‐based biometric frameworks limit performance in terms of accuracy and anti‐spoofing capabilities due to the presence of low quality data, therefore, information fusion of more than one biometric characteristic in pursuit of high recognition results can be beneficial. In this article, we present a multimodal biometric system based on information fusion of palm print and finger knuckle traits, which are least associated to any criminal investigation as evidence yet. The proposed multimodal biometric system might be useful to identify the suspects in case of physical beating or kidnapping and establish supportive scientific evidences, when no fingerprint or face information is present in photographs. The first step in our work is data preprocessing, in which region of interest of palm and finger knuckle images have been extracted. To minimize nonuniform illumination effects, we first normalize the detected circular palm or finger knuckle and then apply line ordinal pattern (LOP)‐based encoding scheme for texture enrichment. The nondecimated quaternion wavelet provides denser feature representation at multiple scales and orientations when extracted over proposed LOP encoding and increases the discrimination power of line and ridge features. To best of our knowledge, this first attempt is a combination of backtracking search algorithm and 2D²LDA has been employed to select the dominant palm and knuckle features for classification. The classifiers output for two modalities are combined at unsupervised rank level fusion rule through Borda count method, which shows an increase in performance in terms of recognition and verification, that is, 100% (correct recognition rate), 0.26% (equal error rate), 3.52 (discriminative index), and 1,262 m (speed).     

面部表情的深度卷积级联森林识别

面部表情识别广泛应用于各种研究领域,针对面部表情识别使用深度神经网络方法结构复杂、可解释性差和传统机器学习方法特征提取缺乏多样性、识别率低的问题.提出了一种新的深度卷积级联森林(Deep Convolution Cascade Forest,DCCF)方法用于人脸面部表情识别,该方法通过卷积神经网络深度学习人脸面部显著特征,并采用基于随机森林的级联结构森林逐层学习识别出不同的面部表情特征,提高了人脸表情的识别准确率.DCCF在JAFFE、CK+和Fer2013 3个公开面部表情数据集进行了实验,并对面部表情提取的5种特征和7种分类方法进行了比较分析,结果显示DCCF在对比的算法中人脸表情识别性能最好,3个数据集的准确率分别达到91.4%,98.7%,71.6%.     

基于北斗卫星的森林火灾监控终端设计

针对传统森林火灾监控方式存在的受地形限制,导致火灾发现不及时和定位难的缺陷,设计了基于北斗卫星的森林火灾监控系统,实现了火灾智能识别和预警,并且可以对火源、火场进行快速定位和信息通报;终端包括烟采集处理模块、图像采集模块、DSP处理模块、ARM主控模块和北斗卫星通信模块五部分,从烟和火焰两个方面对森林实时进行监控,分别采用离子烟雾传感器和DSP火焰识别混合算法,提取火焰图像差值和火焰图像边界参数的方法,提高了识别的准确率;试验证明,系统具有结构简单、使用方便和识别智能化的特点。     

基于随机森林的多站融合项目优先业务筛选机制

在“双循环”新发展格局和“电力数字化”战略中顺势发展“多站融合”项目。基于多站融合布局,提出了一个多站融合项目区域性优先业务筛选的技术方法,从经济发展与能源产业视角,依据各区域属性特征将中国31个省市划分为四类区域,并结合多站融合项目业务清单所梳理的三大类业务范畴,利用随机森林算法的大数据分析法,通过选择区域数据样本,形成了多站融合项目区域性优先业务筛选机制,进而依据优先业务匹配组合预测,实现了各区域优先发展业务的精准甄别和科学选择。实证分析验证了基于随机森林算法的多站融合项目区域性优先业务筛选模型的科学合理性以及有效可靠性,以期为多站融合推进提供有益参考。     

森林植被改善对鄱阳湖流域径流和输沙过程的影响

以河流基流为切入点,研究流域植被调节径流、水土保持等微观作用影响大中型河流湖泊径流过程和水沙过程宏观效应的机理。鄱阳湖流域60年来天然降水没有发生趋势性变化。流域森林覆盖率由34.73%上升到63.00%,植被质量改善,赣江等入湖河流基流增加83 m~3/s,河流输沙量减少。2000年以后和2000年以前相比较,枯水期降水径流系数增大,年流量过程平坦化,一定程度上减小洪灾风险,有利于水资源利用和生态环境保护。2001年以后进入鄱阳湖泥沙平均每年减少1 007×10~4t;出湖泥沙增加314×10~4t。因此,鄱阳湖入江水道由淤积转变为冲刷,但出湖流量过程没有趋势性变化。     

A hybrid intelligent system for medical data classification

In this paper, a hybrid intelligent system that consists of the Fuzzy Min–Max neural network, the Classification and Regression Tree, and the Random Forest model is proposed, and its efficacy as a decision support tool for medical data classification is examined. The hybrid intelligent system aims to exploit the advantages of the constituent models and, at the same time, alleviate their limitations. It is able to learn incrementally from data samples (owing to Fuzzy Min–Max neural network), explain its predicted outputs (owing to the Classification and Regression Tree), and achieve high classification performances (owing to Random Forest). To evaluate the effectiveness of the hybrid intelligent system, three benchmark medical data sets, viz., Breast Cancer Wisconsin, Pima Indians Diabetes, and Liver Disorders from the UCI Repository of Machine Learning, are used for evaluation. A number of useful performance metrics in medical applications which include accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, as well as the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve are computed. The results are analyzed and compared with those from other methods published in the literature. The experimental outcomes positively demonstrate that the hybrid intelligent system is effective in undertaking medical data classification tasks. More importantly, the hybrid intelligent system not only is able to produce good results but also to elucidate its knowledge base with a decision tree. As a result, domain users (i.e., medical practitioners) are able to comprehend the prediction given by the hybrid intelligent system; hence accepting its role as a useful medical decision support tool.