深厚表土层地区混凝土井壁变形监测及灰色模型预测

基于深厚表土层地区混凝土井壁破裂变形预测及井壁破裂预防性信息化施工的需要,介绍混凝土井壁变形自动监测的原理、方法及监测特点,基于实测监测信息,建立某井壁混凝土变形预测非等间隔灰色预测模型,实测与预测结果表明该模型可用于混凝土井壁变形超前预测.     

基础沉降变形的灰色预测方法与电子表制作(Ⅱ)——电子表制作方法与技巧

通过工程实例详细说明基础沉降变形灰色预测模型电子表格的制作方法、应该注意的问题、电子表的保护及个性化设计方法。最后总结了如何以“制作好的预测模型电子表”为工具,非常方便地解决其他工程的预测问题,并用实例说明了具体的操作过程。为帮助广大工程技术人员解决程序设计的困难,提供灰色预测的有力工具,同时也为大家用活电子表格系统解决其他实际问题提供了参考。     

煤质预测、预报与配煤入选

根据南桐选煤厂入选的原煤来源复杂、煤质差异大和产品用户多等特点,分析该厂在煤质预测、预报与配煤入选方面的可行性和必要性,并介绍煤质预测、预报和配煤方面的实践经验.     

Research on prediction for coal and gas outburst based on Matlab neural network toolbox and its application

In order to predict the danger of coal and gas outburst in mine coal layer correctly, on the basis of the VLBP and LMBP algorithm in Matlab neural network toolbox, one kind of modified BP neural network was put forth to speed up the network convergence speed in this paper. Firstly, according to the characteristics of coal and gas outburst, five key influencing factors such as excavation depth, pressure of gas, and geologic destroy degree were selected as the judging indexes of coal and gas outburst. Secondly, the prediction model for coal and gas outburst was built. Finally, it was verified by practical examples. Practical application demonstrates that, on the one hand, the modified BP prediction model based on the Matlab neural network toolbox can overcome the disadvantages of constringency and, on the other hand, it has fast convergence speed and good prediction accuracy. The analysis and computing results show that the computing speed by LMBP algorithm is faster than by VLBP algorithm but needs more memory. And the resuits show that the prediction results are identical with actual results and this model is a very efficient prediction method for mine coal and gas outburst, and has an important practical meaning for the mine production safety. So we conclude that it can be used to predict coal and gas outburst precisely in actual engineering.     

仪器安装板振动环境虚拟试验和验证技术研究

基于商用有限元软件MSC.Patran和Nastran,研究了导弹仪器安装板结构的振动环境预示技术。建立了仪器安装板的三维实体模型,单机仪器使用质点模拟,并通过MPC法与安装板连接;设置了多种阻尼特性,通过模态叠加法预示了该仪器安装板在振动条件下的结构动力学环境,通过振动试验验证了预示结果。研究发现,使用大阻尼能较好地预示该仪器安装板结构的动力学环境。     

超、高超声速大长细比飞行器气动特性快速计算

将牛顿碰撞类方法推广应用于超、高超声速细长体导弹的气动特性预测.根据飞行器的外形特征,将外形分成几个部分,根据各自几何特点和流场特性,对不同部分及其迎风面和背风面选用不同的方法,计算方法适用于Ma=3~25、攻角0~30°范围内大长细比导弹类飞行器的气动力特性快速计算.经过与风洞试验数据的对比,证明此方法具有计算速度快、精度高的特点.     

基于多元非线性回归算法的动车组变压器温度预测研究

对动车组状态参数进行预测是实现动车组数字化精准维修的重要前提之一.目前对动车组数据的利用方式主要以定量观测和定性分析为主,缺乏准确的状态预测量.为此,文章提出了一种基于多元非线性回归的预测算法,通过建立变压器温度预测模型,实现了变压器温度值的次日预测,并以此指导由温度导向的变压器日常运维项目.通过对比CRH5A型动车组...     

圆高强钢管UHPC梁抗弯性能研究

高强钢管高强混凝土的应用越来越广泛,但目前对于其徐变特性的试验研究较少。该文对15根不同含钢率的高强钢管高强混凝土轴压短柱进行了365 d的收缩和徐变测试,并将试验结果与常用的徐变预测模型MC90、ACI209和MC2010等进行了对比。试验结果表明：高强钢管高强混凝土的徐变系数远小于素混凝土,当加载365 d后,素混凝土的徐变系数是高强钢管高强混凝土的2倍以上;含钢率对钢管混凝土试件的徐变有一定影响,徐变系数随着含钢率的增大而减小。在对比的3种常用徐变预测模型中,MC2010模型的徐变预测结果与试验结果吻合最好,可推荐用于高强钢管高强混凝土的收缩和徐变效应计算。此外,还将高强钢管高强混凝土与普通钢管混凝土的徐变试验结果进行了对比,结果表明,钢管混凝土的徐变随着核心混凝抗压强度的增加而减小。研究成果可为高强钢管高强混凝土轴心受压构件在正常使用阶段的徐变预测及徐变变形控制提供依据。     

用Weibull模型预测油气田(藏)早期开发指标

油气田(藏)开发早期很难进行开发方案的设计。作者根据探明储量、最大产量、假定采收率、生产年限,提出了采用Weibull开发模型进行油气田(藏)早期开发指标预测的方法,制作了Q_maxt_R/N_o-E_R图版,并根据该图版求取增长指数b,制定了Weibull开发模型的开发方案。     

Life Prediction Based on Transient Dynamics Analysis of Van Semi-trailer with Air Suspension System

The early fatigue damage in the van-body of the semi-trailer is often caused by the unique mechanical characteristics and the dynamic impact of the loads.The traditional finite element method with static strength analysis cannot support the fatigue design of van-body;thus,the dynamics analysis should be adopted for the endurance performance.The accurate dynamics model to describe the transient impacts of all kinds of uneven road and the proper system transfer functions to calculate the load transfer effects...