基于模型的动态评估军事决策方案的方法研究

对军事决策方案(决心方案)的评估，是军事决策过程中的一个重要环节，其评估结论直接影响军事决策的结果。提高方案评估的科学性和可信度，是军事辅助决策迫切需要解决的问题。该文通过对军事决策方案及传统评估方法存在问题的分析，提出了基于模型的动态评估军事决策方案的方法，其核心是采用定性与定量分析方法的有机融合来实现对方案的评估，并提出实现的途径和重点需要解决的问题。     

电力市场中的定量决策方法

电力工业的市场化改革，使市场中各方成员都将面临不同程度的风险，也就意味着面临如何测量风险并进行决策的问题。本文对电力市场中的经济定量决策方法进行初步探讨，介绍3种定量决策方法：决策表方法、风险价值(VaR)方法及效用函数法，并分析比较这3种方法的优缺点。     

房地产开发规模的优化决策

针对我国房地产供求失衡状况，从需求管理的角度，以控制房地产投资规模保持供需平衡为目标，利用经济控制论的库存理论，建立了房地产开发规模优化决策数学模型，推导出模型的最优解．经实例验证，该数学模型对于确定最优的房地产开发规模，简洁、实用，对于提高房地产市场管理及投资经营决策水平具重要意义．     

由灰色关联度确定权重的客观多目标决策法

提出一种由灰色关联度确定权重的客观多目标决策方法，该法充分利用了实际指标因素值的相互关联性，建模思路明确，决策结果区别度大，实证分析表明本法是可行，有效的。     

简论产品定价法

随着社会主义的不断完善，在企业的经营决策中，产品的价格确定是一个十分重要的内容．售价决策正确与否，直接关系到企业经济效益的好坏．本文对产品定价的方法作一探讨，试图找到一种对企业来说比较实用的方法．     

火电厂多代理控制系统

针对火电厂非线性、多变量和多控制目标的特点,设计了一个火电厂多代理控制系统(PPMACS).在PP MACS中,前馈控制代理(FFCAs)采用神经模糊系统进行决策,反馈控制代理(FBCAs)采用基于遗传算法的模糊系统进行决策.优化任务分解代理(OTDAs)通过一个优化代理和一个分解代理来进行多目标优化分解PPMACS的任务.协调代理根据运行条件协调PPMACS的各个代理.仿真结果显示了火电厂多代理控制系统能够实现火电单元机组的多目标运行和大范围负荷跟踪.神经网络、模糊逻辑和遗传算法是PPMACS中的智能代理进行决策的有效工具.     

A model to support the search for consensus with conflicting rankings: Multitrident

A general problem of collective decision‐making can be formulated in terms of the N rankings of a discrete set of alternatives expressing the preferences of the N members of the group. Helping to reach a consensus is quite important for team building and organizational development and several contributions were developed by different disciplines like organizational sciences, human resources management and operational research. However, very few models were proposed to support the process of reaching consensus and such models assume a concept of distance between rankings implying an assumption of equal distance between adjacent alternatives. Unfortunately, this hypothesis is hardly acceptable in most cases. In this paper, a model is proposed to search for a ranking in terms of the weights space avoiding the previous assumption and providing useful insights to help decision‐makers adopting such ranking as a consensus decision.     

采用模糊决策的功能分配模型及其应用

文章讨论了如何将模糊决策应用到复杂系统的功能分配中,建立了功能分配的决策模型。最后,通过实例来进行验证,得到了满意的结果。     

现代制造环境下基于作业字典的成本决策研究

作业成本法(ABC)作为一种新的成本核算方法，顺应了现代制造环境对成本核算的要求，目前国内研究还处于理论阶段，没有开发出完整成熟实用的ABC成本核算软件，并且很少有企业真正地实施作业成本法。本文主要介绍了一种新型实用的ABC成本核算软件的设计及作业字典的生成，并在作业字典的基础上进行成本决策的方法。     

A multi-objective decision-making method for the treatment scheme of landslide hazard

The treatment engineering of landslide hazard is a complicated system engineering. The selecting treatment scheme is influenced by many factors such as technology, economics, environment, and risk. The decision-making of treatment schemes of landslide hazard is a problem of comprehensive judgment with multi-hierarchy and multi-objective. The traditional analysis hierarchy process needs identity test. The traditional analysis hierarchy process is improved by means of optimal transfer matrix here. An im-proved hierarchy decision-making model for the treatment of landslide hazard is set up. The judgment matrix obtained by the method can naturally meet the requirement of identity, so the identity test is not necessary. At last, the method is applied to the treatment decision-making of the dangerous rock mass at the Slate Mountain, and its application is discussed in detail.