基于改进FAHP的电力通信网可靠性评估方法研究

论文阐述了可靠性的一般评估方法,在借鉴TMN管理模型的基础上,对电力通信网可靠性进行了分层,构建了可靠性综合评估指标体系.为减少指标体系权重的主观性,提高评估结果的客观性和可信性,提出了一种改进的FAHP综合可靠性评估方法.该方法基于对数最小二乘法(LLSM)进行模糊权重计算,利用限位系数法来实现评估结果的解模糊过程,实例评估验证了该方法的有效性和可行性.最后对电力通信网可靠性的研究方向给出了建议.     

Sampling average approximation method for a class of stochastic Nash equilibrium problems

We consider a class of stochastic Nash equilibrium problems (SNEP). Under some mild conditions, we reformulate the SNEP as a stochastic mixed complementarity problem (SMCP). We apply the well-known sample average approximation (SAA) method to solve the SMCP. We further introduce a semismooth Newton method to solve the SAA problems. The comprehensive convergence analysis is given as well. In addition, we demonstrate the proposed approach on a stochastic Nash equilibrium model in the wholesale gas–oil markets.     

Nonsmooth identification of mechanical systems with backlash-like hysteresis

Backlash-like hysteresis is one of the nonsmooth and multi-valued nonlinearities usually existing in mechanical systems. The traditional identification method is quite difficult to be used to model the systems involved with such complex nonlinearities. In this paper, a nonsmooth recursive identification algorithm for the systems with backlash-like hysteresis is proposed. In this method, the concept of Clarke subgradient is introduced to approximate the gradients at nonsmooth points and the so-called bundle method is used to obtain the optimization search direction in nonsmooth cases. Then, a recursive algorithm based on the idea of bundle method is developed for parameter estimation. After that, the convergence analysis of the algorithm is investigated. Finally, simulation results to validate the proposed method on a simulated mechanical transmission system are presented.     

漏电保护器投运难题的解决方案

分析剩余电流动作保护装置的常见故障,编制常见故障排查口袋书,采取简单易懂、能按图索骥的快速查找方法,破解剩余电流动作保护装置投运难题.     

A novel artificial bee colony algorithm with Powell's method

Artificial bee colony (ABC) algorithm is a relatively new optimization technique which has been shown to be competitive to other population-based algorithms. However, there is still an insufficiency in ABC regarding its solution search equation, which is good at exploration but poor at exploitation. To address this concerning issue, we first propose a modified search equation which is applied to generate a candidate solution in the onlookers phase to improve the search ability of ABC. Further, we use the Powell's method as a local search tool to enhance the exploitation of the algorithm. The new algorithm is tested on 22 unconstrained benchmark functions and 13 constrained benchmark functions, and are compared with some other ABCs and several state-of-the-art algorithms. The comparisons show that the proposed algorithm offers the highest solution quality, fastest global convergence, and strongest robustness among all the contenders on almost all test functions.     

漳河水库入库径流序列变化趋势分析

依据漳河水库1963-2008年入库径流资料,采用R/S分析方法和M ann-Kendall参数秩次相关检验法对其未来入库径流变化趋势进行了分析。结果表明:①水库流域未来径流量将呈缓慢下降的趋势,且未来1月和7月的径流量变化趋势的随机性成份可能很大,应采取必要对策和措施,以应对未来可能出现的干旱或暴雨洪涝等自然灾害。②1995年为突变点,前后两个系列的统计特征值均具有明显的差异,已经不符合"一致性"的要求。③对于20世纪70~80年代的持续枯水期,应理解为这只是其径流丰枯周期变化中的一个枯水期。④流域人类活动日趋频繁,使得流域下垫面条件发生了较大的变化,对入库径流量有较大的影响。     

浅谈计算机硬盘数据丢失原因及恢复

本文主要对计算机硬盘数据丢失的原因、恢复软件的应用方法进行分析。     

项目教学法在开放教育《VB程序设计》辅导中的应用

开放教育教学辅导中“项目教学法”,就是精心设计辅导项目、传授规范知识、优化教学过程和注重操作技能的培养     

运输车辆安全体系评价的研究

该文通过对车辆安全因数的分析、得出子危险集。在分析评价方法特征技术上应用了选用模糊推理模型(FIS)的评价方法对车辆的危险度进行评价与仿真,其结果是可信的。实现了对车辆安全进行量态和动态的评价体系。     

时间序列季节调整方法在中国的发展:PBC版X-12-ARIMA

中国人民银行(PBc)版X-12-ARIMA软件是基于中国特点而定制的时间序列季节调整软件.通过总结时间序列季节调整方法的特点以及相应软件在国外的发展,针对我国应用的特点,尤其是春节因素的考虑,在解剖X-12-ARIMA方法原理的基础上,在春节因素计算方法、软件应用界面以及用户使用帮助等3个主要方面加以改进,具有数据导入、调整设置文件、运行方式以及结果输出4方面的特色.