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油气圈闭地质评价方法及应用 总被引:18,自引:3,他引:15
本从含油气系统理论出发,对圈闭成藏的油源,储层,圈闭,保存,配套史制定分级评价标准,并赋予相应的评价系数,在此基础上应用地质风险概率理论与模糊数学的方法,在微机上定量评价圈闭含油气性。 相似文献
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茅金根 ,梁秀文 ,杨午阳 ,冯有奎 .等偏移距自动初至静校正 .石油地球物理勘探 ,2 0 0 2 ,37(5 ) :4 6 9~ 4 72 本文提出一种自动计算静校正量的新方法。它首先在等偏移距道集内对相邻道的初至波采用高精度相关构建一个关于炮、检时差的超大矩阵方程 ,然后采用优化统计迭代算法求解炮点和检波点的静校正量 ,并用概率分布函数确定精确的炮、检静校正量 ,最后用误差校正函数消除炮、检静校正误差。实际资料处理结果表明 ,本方法自动、省时、精度高。 相似文献
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A probabilistic model for cleavage fracture with a length scale--parameter estimation and predictions of stationary crack experiments 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This study presents a large experimental investigation in the transition temperature region on a modified A508 steel. Tests were carried out on single-edge-notch-bend specimens with three different crack depth over specimen width ratios to capture the strong constraint effect on fracture toughness. Three test temperatures were considered, covering a range of 85 °C. All specimens failed by cleavage fracture prior to ductile tearing. A recently proposed probabilistic model for the cumulative failure by cleavage was applied to the comprehensive sets of experimental data. This modified weakest link model incorporates a length scale, which together with a threshold stress reduce the scatter in predicted toughness distributions as well as introduces a fracture toughness threshold value. Model parameters were estimated by a robust procedure, which is crucial in applications of probabilistic models to real structures. The conformity between predicted and experimental toughness distributions, respectively, were notable at all the test temperatures. 相似文献
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The discrimination problem for two normal populations with the same covariance matrix when additional information on the population is available is considered. A study of the robustness properties against training sample contamination of classification rules that incorporate this additional information is performed. These rules have received recently attention where their total misclassification probability (TMP) is proved to be lower than Fisher's linear discriminant rule. The results of a simulation study on the TMP which compares the behaviour of the new rules against Fisher's rule and some of its robustified versions under different types of contamination are presented. These results show that the rules that incorporate the additional information not only have lower TMP, but they also prevent against some types of contamination. In order to achieve prevention from all types of contamination a robustifed version of these rules is recommended. 相似文献
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Evans Jonathan St. B. T.; Handley Simon J.; Over David E. 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》2003,29(2):321
The authors report 3 experiments in which participants were invited to judge the probability of statements of the form if p then q given frequency information about the cases pq, p?q, ?pq, and ?p?q (where ? = not). Three hypotheses were compared: (a) that people equate the probability with that of the material conditional, 1 - P(p?q); (b) that people assign the conditional probability, P(q/p); and (c) that people assign the conjunctive probability P(pq). The experimental evidence allowed rejection of the 1st hypothesis but provided some support for the 2nd and 3rd hypotheses. Individual difference analyses showed that half of the participants used conditional probability and that most of the remaining participants used conjunctive probability as the basis of their judgments. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved) 相似文献
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