基于GONE舞弊理论的农业上市公司财务报告舞弊研究

基于GONE 舞弊理论,从贪婪、机会、需要、暴露4个维度来剖析了财务舞弊的影响因素。选取 1992-2015年被处罚的农业上市公司作为研究样本,构建农业上市公司舞弊识别模型并进行了分析。结果表明,董事长兼任总经理加大管理者舞弊的贪婪力度;若控股股东为国家,则可降低企业发生财务舞弊的机会;增发配股引发的财务需要越高,企业发生舞弊的风险越大;审计单位的非标准审计意见,增加企业财务舞弊暴露的可能性。     

The alternative financialization of the German housing market

While many European countries experienced a global housing boom in the early/mid-2000s, house prices and mortgage debt in Germany stagnated. Therefore, the German housing system is considered to be operating outside financialized capitalism. Despite Germany’s apparent stability, we argue that an alternative trajectory of financialization in the German housing market can be observed. This trajectory has followed three stages or ‘waves’. The first wave started around the time of German unification and is characterized by the failed attempt of West German banks to marketize and liberalize German housing finance. The second wave started in the late 1990s and is characterized by the ‘financialized privatization’ of many public housing associations and the speculative investments of private equity firms and hedge funds. The third wave started during the global financial crisis and is characterized by booming housing prices and the market entry of listed real estate companies.     

营改增对建筑业上市公司生产效率影响的预测分析

为挖掘营改增对建筑业上市公司生产效率的影响,采用 32 家建筑业上市公司 2011~2015 年的统计数据,结合营改增政策的实施办法,模拟测算其相关财务指标,进一步应用 DEA 模型计算上市公司税改前后的生产效率,并建立面板数据回归模型。通过模拟分析发现,营改增对生产效率的影响与企业规模、生产成本的占比以及营业收入净利率呈正相关,但与企业研发投入、生产经营性固定资产新增投资比率无显著关系。应用营改增对生产效率的影响机制,并结合建筑业上市公司发展现状,为公司提高生产效率、规避营改增的不利影响提出参考和建议。     

白酒上市公司动态竞争水平评价研究

2015年是白酒行业转型发展多变的一年,面临更加复杂多变的宏观形势：经济一体化加快、信息技术传播加速,消费者对产品需求的复杂与精细,产品生命周期缩短;企业竞争模式转向动态竞争,拥有企业动态竞争能力对企业转型发挥着重要作用。白酒上市公司动态竞争水平决定企业的竞争行为、竞争地位及战略转型进程。该文运用主客观结合的熵值-G1组合赋权方法,评价15家白酒上市公司2015年动态竞争水平,结果表明,仅有5家白酒上市公司动态竞争水平高于均值,白酒上市公司间动态竞争水平差异较大,竞争潜力整体较弱。基于评价结果提出了提升白酒企业动态竞争能力的建议。     

Reliable in the long run? Petroleum policy and long-term oil supplier reliability

Accelerating oil import dependence in energy consuming nations highlights the importance of having energy supplies at sufficient levels and at stable and reasonable prices. Consequently, it is crucial that oil exporters realize their full production potential. Current debates on energy security are often focused on short-term risks e.g. sudden disruptions due to wars, domestic instability, etc. However, when it comes to assessing oil supplier reliability it is equally important to assess their longer term ability and willingness to deliver oil to the global market. This study analyzes the effects of petroleum investment policies on crude oil production trends in 14 major oil producing countries (2000–2010) by focusing on the political–institutional frameworks that shape the investment conditions for the upstream oil sector. Our findings indicate that countries with less favorable oil sector frameworks systematically performed worse than countries with investor friendly and privatized sectors. The findings indicate that assessments based on remaining reserves and planned production capacities alone could inflate expectations about future oil supplies in a world where remaining crude reserves are located in countries with unfavorable investment frameworks.     

Cost efficiency of Japanese steam power generation companies: A Bayesian comparison of random and fixed frontier models

This study analyses and compares the cost efficiency of Japanese steam power generation companies using the fixed and random Bayesian frontier models. We show that it is essential to account for heterogeneity in modelling the performance of energy companies. Results from the model estimation also indicate that restricting CO₂ emissions can lead to a decrease in total cost. The study finally discusses the efficiency variations between the energy companies under analysis, and elaborates on the managerial and policy implications of the results.     

房地产上市企业高管团队职能背景对绩效的影响

运用中国房地产上市公司的数据,区分企业短期会计绩效和长期价值成长能力,研究了高管团队职能背景对企业绩效的影响。研究结果表明:对房地产上市公司而言,高管团队职能背景异质性与企业短期会计绩效呈显著正相关关系,对企业长期价值成长能力的影响不大。在3 种一般职能背景中,仅支持型职能背景与企业绩效呈显著相关关系,且与企业短期会计绩效呈负相关关系,与长期价值成长能力呈正相关关系。在2 种特殊职能背景下,有政府背景的高管与企业长期价值成长能力呈显著正相关关系     

我国房地产企业产融结合效果实证研究

随着国家对民营资本进入金融业的鼓励和金融业准入的放宽,诸多优秀房地产公司相继进入金融领域。为了研究我国房地产企业产融结合的效果,以2001~2013 年房地产企业入股金融机构事件为研究对象,运用特征指标分析和Wilcoxon秩和检验法进行实证检验,发现入股金融机构后的房地产企业偿债能力有所提升,企业的融资速度加快,但盈利能力却显著下降,企业的经营绩效没有得到很好的提升;房地产企业产融结合后,企业没有实现管理协同和财务协同。所以房企在实施产融结合时需要重视如何发挥金融资本和产业资本的协同作用。     

会计信用建设及监管中的经济学博弈分析

为进一步加强上市公司的会计诚信意识,推动上市公司的会计信用建设并供给真实的会计信息,运用完全信息静态博弈模型和混合策略博弈模型,对上市公司会计信用建设中上市公司与证监会的博弈关系进行了经济学分析,提出了促进上市公司加强会计信用建设的激励与规制举措.     

基于数据包络分析法的发电商运营效率测算及影响因素

基于数据包络分析法效率评价模型,在考虑传统技术、规模因素的基础上,将影响发电商运营效率的发电可靠性和环境约束等因素纳入分析,建立了输入/输出变量体系,对发电商运营效率实施评估。算例分析表明,数据包络分析法能有效地评估发电商运营效率,并为发电企业的未来发展提供相应的决策支持。