基于BP神经网络的换档品质评价方法

换档品质评价方法的研究是应现代车辆自动变速技术发展需要而提出的前沿研究课题,其评价过程可视为一个非线性动态系统。BP神经网络的非线性系统辨识,能够逼近任意一个非线性函数。通过确定换档品质评定指标,利用BP网络训练获得的数据样本,从而建立主观、客观评价标准之间的联系;利用Matlab/Simulink完成换档品质评价方法的客观描述并进行仿真。通过与实验结果对比,证明这种方法能够有效真实地评价换档品质并与传统主观评价方法具有很好的一致性。     

分散电源并网对供电可靠性的影响分析

分析了分散电源并网对供电可靠性的影响.计算并对比了分散电源并网前后在重合闸、备自投、解列重合闸、孤岛等不同运行方式下的供电可靠性指标.推导出了分散电源并网可靠性预测评估的数学模型和SAIFI-Island曲线.分散电源并网后,不合理的运行方式将降低系统供电可靠性,与重合闸相结合的计划孤岛模式能较好地改善供电可靠性.     

铌酸锂电光调制器的温度特性研究

采用折射率椭球基本理论和数值计算方法,分析了纵向和横向调制下,出射光光强随温度的变化趋势,以及在这过程中与晶体折射率、晶体热膨胀系数及晶体尺寸间的关系,并进行了相应的数值模拟。结果表明,纵向调制下出射光光强随温度的变化趋势只跟晶体折射率的变化有关;横向调制下出射光光强随温度的变化趋势不仅要受到晶体折射率的影响,还要受到晶体尺寸及其膨胀系数的影响,因此可以利用特殊尺寸的晶体来提高电光调制器的温度稳定性。     

1960—2013年昭通市极端降雨时空演变规律研究

气候变化引起的极端降雨量级和频次变化已经引起了广泛的关注,极端降雨演变规律的研究对于区域防洪减灾和水资源管理具有重要意义。基于昭通市及其周边的16个气象站点1960—2013年共54 a的降雨数据,选取世界气象组织推荐的6个极端降雨指数,采用线性趋势分析、Mann-Kendll法和滑动T检验等方法分析了昭通市的极端降雨时间演变规律,并基于ArcGIS10.2采用反距离插值法(IDW)分析了昭通市极端降雨指数的空间分布格局。结果表明:在趋势演变方面,昭通市的总降雨量PRCPTOT有下降趋势;而反映极端降雨量级的3项指数SDII,RX5day,R95p均呈上升趋势,其中RX5day上升趋势显著;而R10mm和CWD这2项反映极端降雨频率的指数均呈下降趋势,其中R10mm下降趋势显著。在空间分布方面,昭通市6项极端降雨指数具有较高的空间异质性,东北部降雨量级和频率较高,中部趋缓,而西南部总体上相对较低。相关分析的结果表明昭通地区极端降雨指数与高程呈现负相关关系,极端降雨主要发生在低海拔地区。研究成果有助于加深对该区域极端降雨发生规律的认识,为区域防洪减灾和水资源管理提供参考。     

沈阳市地下水库建设的技术可行性分析

地下水在我国尤其是北方地区城乡供水中占较大比例。地下水库因具有地表水与地下水资源联合调控、多年调蓄、水资源战略储备及应急供水等功能而受到越来越广泛的关注。在分析地下水库基本结构的基础上,提出了建设地下水库的基本条件,并以沈阳市为例进行分析,给出了论证地下水库补给水源、补给区、地下水库储水空间估算及开采条件的具体分析与计算方法。最后利用建立的地下水流数值模型,模拟预测了地下水库建成后分别按常规水源与应急水源两种方式所产生的供水规模。结果表明,在研究区建设地下水库具有较高可行性。     

Attrition resistance of cobalt F–T catalysts for slurry bubble column reactor use

There exists much current interest in the use of supported Co catalysts and slurry bubble column reactors (SBCR) for the conversion of natural gas to higher hydrocarbons via the Fischer–Tropsch (F–T) synthesis. Catalyst attrition resistance is extremely important in the operation of slurry-phase reactor systems because of potential problems with plugging of system filters and/or contamination of the liquid products. This paper addresses the effects of different supports, promoters, and preparation methods on the attrition resistance of Co F–T catalysts for SBCR use.

The calcined supports had attrition resistances (inversely related to % fines <11 μm generated during attrition testing) as follows:

−Al₂O₃>TiO₂(rutile)SiO₂

Loading of Co onto the supports improved the attrition resistances of both alumina and silica significantly. It has essentially no effect on titania. The resulting catalysts had attrition resistances in the order

Co/Al₂O₃>Co/SiO₂>Co/TiO₂(rutile)>Co/TiO₂(anatase)

The addition of small amounts of metal (Ru, Cu) and oxide (La, Zr, K, Cr) promoters had mainly small effects on the attrition resistance of the supported Co catalysts. However, it would appear that the addition of Zr to Co/alumina had a negative impact on its attrition resistance. The different preparation methods used in this study (aqueous impregnation, non-aqueous impregnation, and kneading) did not appear to have a significant effect on catalyst attrition resistance.     

Calculating first-order sensitivity measures: A benchmark of some recent methodologies

This work compares three different global sensitivity analysis techniques, namely the state-dependent parameter (SDP) modelling, the random balance designs, and the improved formulas of the Sobol’ sensitivity indices. These techniques are not yet commonly known in the literature. Strengths and weaknesses of each technique in terms of efficiency and computational cost are highlighted, thus enabling the user to choose the more suitable method depending on the computational model analysed. Two test functions proposed in the literature are considered. Computational costs and convergence rates for each function are compared and discussed.     

Application of the Water Poverty Index at Different Scales: A Cautionary Tale

Abstract

The Water Poverty Index is an integrated tool developed on the basis of extensive consultation with a range of scientists, practitioners and policymakers. It is primarily designed for use at the community level to enable more holistic water-resource assessments on a site-specific basis. It can however be applied at different scales to suit different needs. One of the motivations to design such a tool was an attempt to move away from the conventional, purely deterministic, approaches to water assessment, relying primarily on models and large-scale data. In today's world such an approach is inappropriate, ill representing the complexities of modern water-allocation decisions where economic, political and social issues all have a powerful role to play. This paper highlights some applications of the Water Poverty Index at different spatial scales and discusses the implications of applying indicators at these different scales.     

Comparative study of indices used in toxicity evaluation of effluents

Several toxicological indices currently proposed (inter)nationally to aid decision-making tasks in effluent control were compared. To evaluate effluent ranking differences between the indices an inversion distance as a similarity measure was proposed. The major factor influencing effluent ranking were found to be a composition of test-battery. Differences in mathematical operator of the indices such as, e.g. arithmetic mean (used in averaging indices) or maximum one (used in an approach of the most sensitive test in a battery), affect the ranking similarity noticeably lesser than the modification of the percentage effect level of the measurement endpoints. Effluent and/or river flow parameters incorporated into the indices substantially modify ranking results of the effluent set. For the analysis, the toxicological information on 23 effluents from municipal wastewater treatment plants operating in cities and small towns of Lithuania as well as test-battery data on industrial effluents published elsewhere were used. It seems that the general statements achieved in the current study can be applied to any set of effluents.