基于多分辨率SVM回归估计的短期负荷预测

针对短期负荷预测支持向量机（SVM）方法的局部逼近能力和泛化能力进行研究，将多分辨率支持向量机（M-SVM）用于短期负荷预测中节点负荷预测曲线的回归估计。该理论在保持曲线总体逼近能力的同时提高了局部区域的逼近能力。文中根据短期负荷预测的具体特点，设计了负荷预测数学模型，采用96条回归曲线进行日负荷的曲线预测，并在该模型的基础上采用实际数据进行验证，分析了这种回归模型的泛化能力。实验结果表明M-SVM模型在预测精度和预测速度方面具有优良的特性。     

Update on Glycosphingolipids Abundance in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent type of primary liver cancer. Low numbers of HCC patients being suitable for liver resection or transplantation and multidrug resistance development during pharmacotherapy leads to high death rates for HCC patients. Understanding the molecular mechanisms of HCC etiology may contribute to the development of novel therapeutic strategies for prevention and treatment of HCC. UDP-glucose ceramide glycosyltransferase (UGCG), a key enzyme in glycosphingolipid metabolism, generates glucosylceramide (GlcCer), which is the precursor for all glycosphingolipids (GSLs). Since UGCG gene expression is altered in 0.8% of HCC tumors, GSLs may play a role in cellular processes in liver cancer cells. Here, we discuss the current literature about GSLs and their abundance in normal liver cells, Gaucher disease and HCC. Furthermore, we review the involvement of UGCG/GlcCer in multidrug resistance development, globosides as a potential prognostic marker for HCC, gangliosides as a potential liver cancer stem cell marker, and the role of sulfatides in tumor metastasis. Only a limited number of molecular mechanisms executed by GSLs in HCC are known, which we summarize here briefly. Overall, the role GSLs play in HCC progression and their ability to serve as biomarkers or prognostic indicators for HCC, requires further investigation.     

基于ANFIS的长期电力负荷预测模型

某电力公司的长期负荷预测模型,利用自适应神经网络模糊推理系统(ANFIS)建立.其结构分为计算输入的模糊隶属度、每条规则适用度、适用度归一化、每条规则输出及模糊系统输出5层.系统网络中含14个待定的前件和后件参数.采用Matlab编程,通过Sugeno和evalfis函数训练ANFIS,按指定指标得到这些参数,实现模糊预测.     

三维稳态晶体生长的物理本质

考虑在均匀流场的作用下,分析了金属熔液凝固过程中晶体生长的三维稳态数学模型.应用傅里叶级数展开法,在周期性条件下得到了相应的八阶常微分方程的精确解析解,并确定了解中各系数之间的关系.该解揭示了在均匀流场的作用下,晶体生长呈现了一种周期性振荡式的模式,从理论上证实了固液界面前沿浓度呈现指数振荡衰减性是晶体生长的一个本质特性.     

A note on the time travel approach for handling time windows in vehicle routing problems

In this paper, we identify two cases in which the proposition for calculating time window penalties presented in Nagata, Y., Bräysy, O. and Dullaert, W. A penalty-based edge assembly memetic algorithm for the vehicle routing problem with time windows, Computers & Operations Research 2010;37(4): 724–37 yields incorrect results. We derive the corrected proposition and use numerical studies to show that a significant proportion of the evaluations performed by a Tabu Search for VRPTW falls under the two incorrect cases. Moreover, we demonstrate that the incorrect time window handling has a significant negative impact on the solution quality of the Tabu Search.     

负荷时间序列波动性的动态时变结构研究

采用广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)族模型分析了负荷时间序列波动性的动态时变结构,提出了模型系的概念,使用滚动数据窗技术估计了指数广义自回归条件异方差(EGARCH)和幂自回归条件异方差(PARCH)模型系;在研究动态显著性水平线(DSL)的基础上,探究了时序波动性的动态时变结构,讨论了贯穿各子样本空间的波动不对称效应。算例分析中,将所建模型应用于短期负荷预测,比较了GARCH族模型的预测能力,得到了较高的预测精度。     

高速动车组网侧电流谐波特性的研究

研究了高速动车组注入牵引网电流的谐波特性。分析了两电平及三电平4象限变流器的主电路拓扑及控制策略。利用双边傅立叶级数法,给出了两种4象限变流器网侧电流的谐波公式,总结了谐波分布规律。编制了CRH2和CRH5型动车组4象限变流器的仿真软件,研究了不同牵引和制动功率下,网侧电流的THD及各次谐波电流大小,验证了理论分析的正确性。     

激光电容半桥串联谐振充电电源研究

在重复率脉冲固体激光器中,由于储能电容需要频繁的充放电,通常采用谐振充电电路以适应其负载的大范围变化。为此研制了开关频率为20kHz,充电电流为2.1A,最高充电电压为1.86kV的半桥串联谐振充电电路。该电路工作于电流断续模式,开关管的开通和关断均为软开关。通过对周期电压、电流递推公式的分析,表明该工作模式中每个周期的平均充电电流均为恒定。应用递推公式计算稳态和暂态谐振电容电压和电流,结果显示暂态最大工作电压是稳态最大电压的2倍,暂态最大电流为稳态最大峰值电流的1.5倍,为谐振电容和开关管的选取提供了依据。     

Fast and exact synthesis of stationary multivariate Gaussian time series using circulant embedding

A fast and exact procedure for the numerical synthesis of stationary multivariate Gaussian time series with a priori prescribed and well controlled auto- and cross-covariance functions is proposed. It is based on extending the circulant embedding technique to the multivariate case and can be viewed as a modification and variation around the Chan and Wood algorithm proposed earlier to solve the same problem. The procedure is shown to yield time series possessing exactly the desired covariance structure, when sufficient conditions are satisfied. Such conditions are discussed theoretically and examined on several examples of multivariate time series models. Issues related to prescribing a priori the spectral structure rather than the covariance one are also discussed. Matlab routines implementing this procedure are publicly available at http://www.hermir.org.     

A real time FFT-based impedance meter with bias compensation

A real time FFT-based impedance meter is here presented. It is realized simply by a standard PC in addition to a low cost two channels hardware device, and is based on a cost-effective algorithm to meaningfully reduce the known problem of the bias introduced by the relative phase and amplitude error between channels. The impedance meter exploits the implementation of an ad hoc cost-effective algorithm and a synchronous sampling allows eliminating the leakage error. The aliasing and the spectral interference are eliminated by means of an anti-aliasing filter and the use of very low distortion sinusoidal signals. Automatic measurements can be managed too, capturing different measures at different test frequencies and displaying them graphically on the PC screen. To validate the measured results comparative test were performed with respect to certified and calibrated commercially available multimeters known with good accuracies.Finally, this novel impedance meter integrates a home-made software, previously reported [1] capable to implement real time virtual instruments.