ADHESION OF ELASTOMERS: DWELL TIME EFFECTS

The strength of adhesion of elastomers to rigid substrates generally increases with time of contact. This effect has been studied for samples of butyl and chlorobutyl rubber adhering to some rigid substrates. The peel strength increased continuously over long periods of contact until in some cases failure became cohesive within the elastomer layer. At higher temperatures the strength increased more rapidly, consistent with the WLF relation governing molecular motions. It is postulated that slow molecular rearrangements occur at the interface and increase the bond strength. A criterion for the observed transition from interfacial to cohesive failure is suggested.     

宽带功率放大器PGSC建模方法及预失真研究

针对宽带功率放大器的强记忆效应特性,提出一种功放建模和数字预失真方法——PGSC模型。利用广义记忆多项式(GMP)、特定交叉项(SCT)及记忆时刻信号交叉项(CIMT)3个基函数来构造功放行为模型及数字预失真器,并搭建实际测试平台对模型的精度及线性化效果进行验证。测试结果表明,与PMEC方法相比,PGSC方法建模时的归一化均方误差减少了2.1 dB,数字预失真时输出信号的三阶邻信道功率比降低了4.94/2.03 dB;与GMP方法相比,PGSC方法仅利用73%的系数即可得到更高的模型精度和更好的线性化效果。     

FAST LINEAR ESTIMATION METHODS FOR VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING-AVERAGE MODELS

Abstract. Three linear methods for estimating parameter values of vector auto-regressive moving-average (VARMA) models which are in general at least an order of magnitude faster than maximum likelihood estimation are developed in this paper. Simulation results for different model structures with varying numbers of component series and observations suggest that the accuracy of these procedures is in most cases comparable with maximum likelihood estimation. Procedures for estimating parameter standard error are also discussed and used for identification of nonzero elements in the VARMA polynomial structures. These methods can also be used to establish the order of the VARMA structure. We note, however, that the primary purpose of these estimates is to generate initial estimates for the nonzero parameters in order to reduce subsequent computational time of more efficient estimation procedures such as exact maximum likelihood.     

一种关于模糊时间序列模型论域划分的多尺度比率算法

针对模糊时间序列研究中比率划分论域方法存在对非均匀数据划分效果不理想的缺陷, 提出一种基于模糊C 均值聚类(FCM) 算法的多尺度比率划分论域的方法. 首先利用FCM算法对样本数据进行分类; 然后计算各类数据的平均相对误差, 并基于各类的平均误差划分论域, 产生非等间隔的多尺度论域划分方法; 最后, 通过算例表明了多尺度比率论域划分方法的有效性.     

REVERSED RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Abstract. Both linear and non-linear time series can have directional features which can be used to enhance the modelling and investigation of linear or non-linear autoregressive statistical models. For this purpose, reversed p th-order residuals are introduced. Cross-correlations of residuals and squared reversed residuals allow extensions of current model identification ideas. Quadratic types of partial autocorrelation functions are introduced to assess dependence associated with non-linear models which nevertheless have linear autoregressive correlation structures. The use of these residuals and their cross-correlation functions is exemplified empirically on some deseasonalized river flow data for which a first-order autoregressive model is a satisfactory second-order fit. Parallel theoretical computations are undertaken for the non-linear first-order random coefficient autoregressive model and comparisons are made. While the data are shown to be strongly non-linear, their correlational signatures are found to be convincingly different from those of a first-order autoregressive model with random coefficients.     

一种基于过零点的时延测量方法

信号传输时间（时延）的测量,是雷达、声纳系统的关键技术之一。本文研究了一种基于过零点的时延测量方法,在建立过零点搜索模型的基础上推导得出时延测量的测量结果表达式;定量分析了高斯白噪声条件下过零点时延测量的测量精度,得到测量误差的理论表达式。仿真与实验表明,过零点时延测量精度与信号频率、过零点数目、信噪比密切相关,当信噪比较高时,其测量精度与经典FFT法相当,而优势在于过零点时延测量的算法简单、计算量小,适用于对实时性要求较高的测量场合。     

基于接收信号强度的非视距检测与修正算法

为了减少非视距（NLOS）误差对基于到达时间（TOA）的无线定位系统性能的影响,本文提出一种采用接收信号强度（RSS）与TOA测量值相结合的方法对含有NLOS误差的TOA测量值进行检测并修正。在视距（LOS）传播的TOA与RSS之间关系已知的前提下,利用定位基站得到的TOA与RSS测量值,计算TOA测量值中含有NLOS误差的可能性,并利用该可能性对TOA测量值进行修正。该方法在不增加通信次数的情况下,大大提高了定位精度。本文最后在一个无线定位系统上实现了该算法,并进行了对比实验。实验结果表明,该算法不需对多次定位结果进行统计,即可有效降低NLOS误差对系统性能的影响,适用于对功耗要求苛刻的场合。     

一种无线传感器网络中自主选择簇头的聚类算法

在无线传感网络中,传感器节点要定期向基站发送收集的数据。为了支持数据汇总,通过高效的网络组织将节点划分成若干簇。在这种类型的系统中,随着簇头的轮转,每个簇中的簇头选择方法是最具有挑战性的问题,有效的簇头选择算法可以提高网络的续航时间,并减少在WSN中的节点之间的通信开销。提出一个簇内民主方式选举算法来选择簇中的节点作为簇头,用MatLab对算法进行仿真,证明该算法的性能可以有效改善网络的性能。     

一种面向金融数据的基于ARIMA的模糊时间序列预测模型

时序分析方法在金融数据挖掘中扮演着越来越重要的角色,然而,历史数据的不完整、不确切性制约着传统金融时间序列预测方法的准确性。创新地定义ARIMA模型的相似性和模,并融合模糊时间序列方法,提出新的基于ARIMA的模糊时间序列预测模型。该模型能够高效处理不完整的、含糊的历史数据,并对未来走势进行有效预测。一方面, ARIMA模型的简约灵活性使得对高维金融时间序列的特征提取大为简化;另一方面,由于结合模糊逻辑的理论,该方法能够有效发现历史数据中的相似模式。以人民币兑美元汇率为例,通过对预测结果的分析,验证了的新模型的有效性。     

基于改进符号化度量方法的机场噪声异常检测

机场噪声中的异常情况拥有很大价值,利用它能够及时完善飞机和机场的设备。结合机场噪声数据的特点,对上述问题进行研究并提出一种基于改进的符号化聚集近似(Symbolic Aggregate Approximation,SAX)相似性度量的单监测点的时间序列异常检测方法。其运用相似性度量方法计算出度量结果,再运用k近邻异常检测方法进行异常发现,最后发现异常时间段。该方法在理论验证可行性之后在某机场的实测数据中进行应用,取得了良好的效果。