超宽带无线通信技术概述

主要介绍了超宽带(UWB)无线通信技术的起源、概念及其基本工作原理，包括信号产生、系统构成、天线、接收机、调制方式等，阐述了UWB中的关键技术及性能特点，对UWB的局限性作了简要的介绍。     

Boussinesq方程的永形波的级数解

对于用层平均速度势(或速度)与波高给出的非线性等水深Boussinesq方程,与KdV方程一样,存在两类永形波—孤立波和周期波。不同的是,对于Boussinesq方程,孤立波和周期波一样,是以反函数的积分形式给出的,这在使用上是不方便的。本文对这两类波,分别给出了相应的级数形式的正函数解。对于孤立波,级数的收敛速度是十分快的,且文中还给出了一个具有高精度的十分简单的近似解,对于周期波,只要有关参数选得合适,解的收敛速度也是相当快的。这就有效地克服了反函数形式解在使用上的不方便。     

A time series approach to fatigue crack propagation

The inherently nonlinear phenomenon of fatigue crack propagation is modeled as a linear random process. To a first approximation, simple, nonstationary time series models are introduced and standard techniques for determining the parameters of autoregressive integrated moving-average processes are applied. Multiplicative time series models are next utilised for the representation of a group of crack history curves. Implementation of the models on the Virkler experimental data set yields satisfactory results. Reliable Gaussian approximations to the distribution of the time required by a crack to reach a specified critical length are obtained, and the usefulness of the approach is demonstrated when updating lifetime predictions after periodic inspections.     

固定波形时间保护间隔OFDM系统循环卷积特性研究

针对固定波形时间保护间隔OFDM系统接收端OFDM信息符号和信道冲击响应之间不具有循环卷积特性的系统特点,本文提出一种简单有效的信号处理算法对该系统接收端OFDM信息符号和信道冲击响应之间的循环卷积特性进行恢复。理论分析和计算机仿真表明,该算法能够恢复接收端此循环卷积特性;在时延扩展和AWGN信道条件下,系统误符号性能受到的影响微弱。     

变权组合预测模型在大坝安全监测中的应用

简要介绍了组合预测模型的基本原理，该模型改进了单一模型考虑因素的片面性，但常规的组合预测模型的权系数是固定的。考虑到各种模型的预测精度的变化，以及大坝安全监测数据存在的突变、时效等因素，固定权系数的组合预测模型有待进一步改进。文中提出了变权系数组合预测模型，并将其用于实际的大坝安全监测工程。结果表明，变权组合预测模型的预报精度高于其他模型。是一种值得推广的方法。     

Decomposition of Time Series Dynamic Linear Models

This paper derives the admissible decompositions for a time series dynamic linear model, assuming only that the model is observable. The decompositions depend on factorizations of the characteristic polynomial of the state evolution matrix G into relatively prime factors. This generalizes the method of West (1997 ) which considers one decomposition in the particular case where G is diagonalizable. Conditions are derived for a decomposition to be independent. These results show that no autoregressive process of order d has an independent decomposition for any integer d . Two illustrations of this procedure are discussed in detail.     

A classification of predictive-reactive project scheduling procedures

The vast majority of the project scheduling research efforts over the past several years have concentrated on the development of workable predictive baseline schedules, assuming complete information and a static and deterministic environment. During execution, however, a project may be subject to numerous schedule disruptions. Proactive-reactive project scheduling procedures try to cope with these disruptions through the combination of a proactive scheduling procedure for generating predictive baseline schedules that are hopefully robust in that they incorporate safety time to absorb anticipated disruptions with a reactive procedure that is invoked when a schedule breakage occurs during project execution. In this paper we discuss the results obtained by a large experimental design set up to evaluate several predictive-reactive resource-constrained project scheduling procedures under the composite objective of maximizing both the schedule stability and the timely project completion probability.     

Simulation-based sequential analysis of Markov switching stochastic volatility models

We propose a simulation-based algorithm for inference in stochastic volatility models with possible regime switching in which the regime state is governed by a first-order Markov process. Using auxiliary particle filters we developed a strategy to sequentially learn about states and parameters of the model. The methodology is tested against a synthetic time series and validated with a real financial time series: the IBOVESPA stock index (São Paulo Stock Exchange).     

准噶尔盆地三台-北三台地区第三系勘探潜力分析

从沉积及储层组合、油气运移系统等方面全面剖析了准噶尔盆地三台-北三台地区第三系油气成藏条件，建立了成藏模式，对未钻探区勘探潜力进行了预测；通过分析，认为该区第三系储层物性主体差，断裂更多地表现为封闭性，导致沟通深部油气源的运移体系不畅，致使第三系圈闭不能有效捕获和储集油气。圈闭又比较匮乏，主体勘探潜力不大。北25井西背斜紧邻多期活动的甘诃子北断裂，第三系可能发育较好的储层，相对有利，北25井西背斜应是钻探第三系的首选目标。     

基于决策树技术的日前市场清算电价预测

以澳大利亚昆士兰州电力市场为背景,采用决策树技术,建立了提前日的电力市场清算电价预测模型。详细介绍了决策树技术的原理及其在电价预测中的实现方法,考虑了非电价因素对电价预测的影响。实际结果表明该方法具有良好的预测效果和直观性。