基于相似样本和多模型动态最优组合的光伏功率预测

针对传统单一预测方法存在的局限性,引入了考虑特征加权的模糊聚类方法,进行关于天气类型的划分以得到相似样本;提出多模型动态最优组合预测方法,根据各窗口期预测误差的波动情况,设置合适的临近历史样本窗口宽度,利用窗口期中的数据和构建的最优赋权模型进行组合权重的求解,在避免单一预测方法片面性的同时,提高了对各种天气的适应性。通过算例验证分析表明,所提出的组合预测方法在各种天气类型下的预测效果都优于理论预测、BP预测和LSSVM预测等单一预测方法,能够有效提高预测的有效性和准确性,具有较高的工程实用价值。     

数值模拟铸件充型过程中的液/固两相流动

铸造过程中熔融金属内的固体渣粒的运动轨迹是非常重要的。文中给出了粒子传输轨迹的数学模型,该数学模型采用显示法来确定粒子的位置。模拟研究结果与用其它数学模型的模拟结果比较,吻合良好。该模型可用于固体粒子位置的确定,并应用到SUTCAST软件中。     

Mensuration and simulation of mold filling process in semi-solid die-cast of aluminum alloy

To understand the flow trace of semi-solid slurry in mold cavity, some thermocouples were inserted in mold cavity, and the reaction timing of thermocouples showed the arrival of fluid. The filling time and rate were estimated by comparison between the experiment and calculation. The introduction of computer simulation technique based on ADSTEFAN was to predict injectionforming process and to prevent defects during trial manufacture of various parts. By comparing the formed appearance of parts in experiment and in simulation, and observing the relationship between internal defects inspected by X-ray or microscope and the flow field obtained in simulation, it was indicated that both have quite good agreement in simulation and experiment. Right predictions for cast defects resulted from mold filling can be carried out and proper direction was also proposed. The realization of numerical visualization for filling process during semi-solid die-cast process will play an important role in optimizing technology plan.     

模具敏捷制造系统研究

针对模具设计制造过程复杂、条件苛刻和单件或小批量生产的特点 ,论述了模具产业发展敏捷制造技术的必要性。提出了模具敏捷制造系统框架和基于STEP与特征技术实现信息集成与过程集成的运行机制。阐述了基于Internet/Intranet的开放式可视化协同工作平台的模具敏捷制造实施方案。     

20 kg铝锭铸造机铸模改进方案探讨

为了适应火车全面调速后货运高度的要求，提出了有效的铸模改进方案。对铸模改造前后的使用寿命进行了分析。通过改造达到了降低铝锭垛高的目的，同时延长了铸模的使用寿命。     

基于Web的模具制造工艺的协同规划

针对模具制造特点，从面向生产管理的角度，提出了基于Web的模具制造工艺协同规划方法，探讨了实现这一方法的相关技术，并用Java语言开发了基于Web的模具CAPP原型系统。     

Cardioinotropic Effects in Subchronic Intoxication of Rats with Lead and/or Cadmium Oxide Nanoparticles

Subchronic intoxication was induced in outbred male rats by repeated intraperitoneal injections with lead oxide (PbO) and/or cadmium oxide (CdO) nanoparticles (NPs) 3 times a week during 6 weeks for the purpose of examining its effects on the contractile characteristics of isolated right ventricle trabeculae and papillary muscles in isometric and afterload contractions. Isolated and combined intoxication with these NPs was observed to reduce the mechanical work produced by both types of myocardial preparation. Using the in vitro motility assay, we showed that the sliding velocity of regulated thin filaments drops under both isolated and combined intoxication with CdO–NP and PbO–NP. These results correlate with a shift in the expression of myosin heavy chain (MHC) isoforms towards slowly cycling β–MHC. The type of CdO–NP + PbO–NP combined cardiotoxicity depends on the effect of the toxic impact, the extent of this effect, the ratio of toxicant doses, and the degree of stretching of cardiomyocytes and muscle type studied. Some indices of combined Pb–NP and CdO–NP cardiotoxicity and general toxicity (genotoxicity included) became fully or partly normalized if intoxication developed against background administration of a bioprotective complex.     

无机盐对新疆油田三元复合驱界面性能影响研究

界面性能对复合驱提高采收率有重大的影响,界面张力越低,洗油效率越高;Zeta电位越高,油水乳状液越稳定。研究了各类无机盐对新疆油田复合驱界面性能的影响。结果显示,Zeta电位的绝对值随着无机盐浓度的增高而增大;无机碱中,碳酸根离子降低界面张力效果最好,氢氧根次之,碳酸氢根最差;阳离子中,钾离子降低界面张力效果最好,其次是钠离子,镁离子会略微提高界面张力,钙离子则会大幅度提高界面张力;阴离子中,与硫酸根相比,氯离子能更好地降低界面张力。通过以上研究,确定了Q站污水处理站外排水更适合三元复合驱配液。     

PASSAT GP雾灯壳体注射模设计

针对于PASSATGP雾灯壳体模具结构设计进行了探讨。采用了先进的热流道技术，可以缩短加工周期，提高加工质量，节约材料，降低成本。     

管模工艺的优化

管模是生产离心球墨铸铁管的模具,其毛坯的锻造成型非常困难。本文介绍了管模锻造工艺的优化过程。采用优化后的工艺,解决了管模在锻造生产中出现的各种问题,使管模的成品率大幅提高。同时也为长筒型锻件的成型提供了可靠的参考依据。