Iterative analysis of Markov regenerative models

Conventional algorithms for the steady-state analysis of Markov regenerative models suffer from high computational costs which are caused by densely populated matrices. In this paper, a new algorithm is suggested which avoids computing these matrices explicitly. Instead, a two-stage iteration scheme is used. An extended version of uniformization is applied as a subalgorithm to compute the required transient quantities “on-the fly”. The algorithm is formulated in terms of stochastic Petri nets. A detailed example illustrates the proposed concepts.     

Model-based cognitive diagnosis

This paper considers the problem of cognitive diagnosis as an instance of general diagnosis, as studied in artificial intelligence. Cognitive diagnosis is the process of inferring a cognitive state from observations of performance. It is thus a key component of any system which attempts to build a dynamic model of the user of that system. Many issues in cognitive diagnosis, previously discussed informally, are mapped onto formal techniques, with consequent increased clarity and rigour. But it is concluded that the general theories for diagnosis must be broadened to fully encompass the problems of cognitive diagnosis.     

On the probability theory on MV algebras

 The paper contains a review of some results concerning probability theory on MV algebras (laws of large numbers, central limit theorem, martingale convergence theorem). Also some algebraic and methodical aspects are discussed.     

ON THE PARTIAL SUMS OF RESIDUALS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE AND MOVING AVERAGE MODELS

Abstract. The limiting process of partial sums of residuals in stationary and invertible autoregressive moving-average models is studied. It is shown that the partial sums converge to a standard Brownian motion under the assumptions that estimators of unknown parameters are root- n consistent and that innovations are independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean and finite variance or, more generally, are martingale differences with moment restrictions specified in Theorem 1. Applications for goodness-of-fit and change-point problems are considered. The use of residuals for constructing nonparametric density estimation is discussed.     

Robust joint modeling of mean and dispersion through trimming

The Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) and Extended Quasi-Likelihood (EQL) estimator have commonly been used to estimate the unknown parameters within the joint modeling of mean and dispersion framework. However, these estimators can be very sensitive to outliers in the data. In order to overcome this disadvantage, the usage of the maximum Trimmed Likelihood Estimator (TLE) and the maximum Extended Trimmed Quasi-Likelihood (ETQL) estimator is recommended to estimate the unknown parameters in a robust way. The superiority of these approaches in comparison with the MLE and EQL estimator is illustrated by an example and a simulation study. As a prominent measure of robustness, the finite sample Breakdown Point (BDP) of these estimators is characterized in this setting.     

水煤浆管道输送模型

本文介绍了描述加压气化用水煤浆管道流动性能的数学模型－Ｍｅｔｚｎｅｒ－Ｒｅｅｄ通用计算法。在试验范围内（Ｒｅ＇＝１６．８￣１７６０），用该模型处理２８５个实验数据的平均相对误差为６．９６％，管道输送试验可评价各种水煤浆的管道流动性能并提供管道输送参数。     

Stochastic Models for Pad Structure and Pad Conditioning Used in Chemical-Mechanical Polishing

Stochastic models are presented for the structure and conditioning of pads used in chemical-mechanical polishing of wafers. First the one-dimensional distribution function of surface depth in the case of a conditioned solid pad is described. Then, for characterizing the structure of a foamed pad, the theory of random closed sets is applied. An important distributional characteristic of a random closed set, the linear contact distribution function, yields the contribution to surface depth resulting from pores. As a special example the Boolean model is considered. This leads to a formula that describes the variability of the surface of a conditioned foamed pad after a certain time. Simulations and experimental data show a good agreement between theory and reality.     

无刷双馈电机及其调速系统的发展

通过回顾无刷双馈电机的原理、数学模型和闭环控制策略的发展情况，介绍了无刷双馈电机本体及其调速系统在国内外的发展及现状，分析了研究意义，并展望了其发展前景。