Study on the Complexity of the Bullwhip Effect

Recent years have witnessed a rapid growth of interest in the study of the dynamic behavior of replenishment rules of bullwhip effect. We prove that bullwhip effect and butterfly effect share a same the self-oscillation amplifying mechanism that is the ordering decisions the supplier self-oscillation amplify the perturbations brought by the errors in the processing of retailers' demand information. This results as an explicit self-similar structure of the sensitivity of the system to the initial values duty to the nonlinear mechanism. In this paper, the causes process of the bullwhip effect is described as the internal nonlinear mechanism and study on the complexity of bullwhip effect for order-up-to policy under demand signal processing. The methodology is based on fractal and chaotic theory and allows important insights to be gained about the complexity behavior of bullwhip effect.     

ㄇ形梁剪力滞效应的解析解

精确分析ㄇ形梁在纵横向荷载共同作用下,其横断面上正应力分布规律对于计算其有效宽度有重要意义,应用力法原理,先将ㄇ形梁和翼板截开成矩形截面梁和平面应力板,在截面上代之以赘余的分布剪力,对于平面应力板,通过利用板变形的对称性来简化其边界条件,然后假设一个满足板的控制方程的Airy应力函数求得板的应力和位移,再利用Timoshenko梁理论求得梁的挠度和转角,根据截面上梁与板的纵向位移相等的变形协调条件便可最终确定截面上的分布剪力,给出的数值算例验证了方法的有效性,并与铜陵长江公路大桥主梁的模型有限元结果和试验结果作了对比,解析解法还可用来检验其他各种数值计算方法的精度,并可推广到其他多跨薄壁结构梁桥的膜应力分析中。     

Review of Alterations of Consciousness: An Empirical Analysis for Social Scientists.

Reviews the book by Baruss (see record 2003-02669-000), which reviews the experimental and phenomenological research on alterations of consciousness, ranging from sleep and dreaming to mystical and near-death experience. The reviewer suggests there is a clear agenda announced by the book's subtitle, "An Empirical Analysis for Social Scientists." In the view of Baruss, all too often in states of consciousness research a preoccupation with theory has kept investigators from full engagement with the actual data. The book provides readable and at times appropriately controversial discussions of empirical literature on dreaming and lucid dreams, daydreaming and fantasy proneness, hypnosis, dissociative identity disorder, shamanism and possession states, psychedelic drug research, parapsychology, trance-chanelling and mediumship, the alien abduction syndrome, classical mystical experience, out-of-body and near-death experiences, and recent attempts by MacDonald and others to assess individual differences in spirituality through multifactor questionnaires. However, the reviewer believes that the breadth of coverage of both recent and past research is too often highly selective, and that the author's rejection of theory is both questionable in itself and more illusion than reality. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

火工品压药机装配误差的研究

针对军用雷管生产线中压药机结构,分别用极值法和概率法对压药机冲子和雷管的配合精度,进行了装配尺寸链的描述和计算,并对所得的结果进行了比较。     

滚动式冷床在高钢级油管生产线中的应用

根据石油开采业对石油机械产品的需求 ,利用机械理论基础知识 ,通过实践设计 ,提出了对几何尺寸长的金属管类进行调质处理后的均匀冷却方法 ,以满足其性能要求。     

δ－Al_2O_3纤维／Al－12Si复合材料室温拉伸强度分析

对δ－Ａｌ２Ｏ３纤维／Ａｌ－１２Ｓｉ复合材料室温拉伸强度的分析表明，在实验条件下该复合材料存在δ－Ａｌ２Ｏ３纤维的最小体积分数Ｖｍｉｎ和临界体积分数Ｖｃｒｉｔ，并求出其基体强度σ＇ｍ和室温强度σｃ－δ－Ａｌ２Ｏ３纤维体积分数Ｖｆ直线方程及纤维的临界长度ｌｃ和复合材料的剪切应力τｉ．确定复合材料的ＲＯＭ预测曲线，应首先判断σ＇ｍ是否等于未增强合金的强度σｕｍ才能得出正确的结论     

非饱和土的抗剪强度理论研究

从孔隙水的存在状态出发 ,围绕Bishop抗剪强度公式中存在的几个疑点展开讨论 .认为非饱和土中支配强度和变形的应力之所以不同 ,是因为非饱和土中存在一种性质与有效应力不同的应力———内部应力 ,它不传递 ,仅影响土的塑性变形 .同时还对Bishop ,Fredlund和卢肇钧提出的抗剪强度公式中的参数测试方法进行分析 ,指出 :各种抗剪强度理论在概念上都是相同的 ,其区别仅在于确定由吸力产生的那部分有效应力时采用的参数和测试方法不同     

用轴向气胎式离合器,制动器改造旧飞剪

采用轴向式气胎离合、制动器，改造了旧飞剪，解决了原剪机电磁离合、制动器控制不准确的问题；该剪机改造后在成品轧机后使用，剪切用１２０ｍｍ×１２０ｍｍ坯生产的大规格产品（１８ｍｍ以上），增产、增效，年总经济效益为９７．８万元     

Kinetics of two-step anionic polymerization

This article deals with the kinetics of two-step anionic polymerization by way of a non-steady state method. Several molecular parameters can be evaluated using the formulae developed. A bimodal molecular weight distribution function for the resulting polymer is derived from the set of kinetic differential equations, which is in agreement with the experimental data reported.     

控制理论的现状及对它的期望

本文首先简述了控制理论的发展过程，侧重叙述促进现代控制理论发展的主要因素，然后叙述了控制理论主要研究方向的进展及有待解决的问题，最后从第十二届ＩＦＡＣ世界大会看人们如何对待控制理论的各个方面。